Flying MXZ Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 Frosty! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Flying MXZ said: Frosty! 58 indoors? Hoodie and blanket time! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 125% - 149% of average would yield 150”-180” here and would be absolutely epic. Sign me up haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 39 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: 58 indoors? Hoodie and blanket time! Indeed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 Sep. Final Numbers BUF: +3.1 ROC: +0.4 WAT: +1.7 SYR: +3.1 BING: +1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 The northeast has missed the forecasted heat the last few days. The midwest ridge has been baking them. Chicago the last 5 days for highs. Looks to be in the 80s today and tomorrow too. 26 83 27 87 28 73 29 82 30 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 The next week look above normal here with temps in low 70s every day. Keeping the pool open until end of October. Today Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Monday Cloudy, with a high near 73. Tuesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 74. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Sep. Final Numbers BUF: +3.1 ROC: +0.4 WAT: +1.7 SYR: +3.1 BING: +1.1 Seriously. What is the deal with Syracuse? Did they install a mall-sized heating system here recently? Always WARM WARM WARM ABOVE NORMAL bullcrap. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Seriously. What is the deal with Syracuse? Did they install a mall-sized heating system here recently? Always WARM WARM WARM ABOVE NORMAL bullcrap. Well you guys tied Buffalo so we're both sizzling together. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Well you guys tied Buffalo so we're both sizzling together. Ha! Noticed how I am the ONLY ONE questioning the Syracuse high temperatures though....lol You guys have been discussing the abnormal high readings for Buffalo, while it's just been accepted that the Cuse is a furnace. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 Looking at the pulaski COOP which is missing several days this month unfortunately, highs have been right around average (71°) but lows have been quite a bit above average (54°), average min for the month is 48°..Now it's only updated till the 26th so the last 4 days of the month will lower these numbers but with the missing data earlier in the month it's hard to know the exact numbers lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 28 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Ha! Noticed how I am the ONLY ONE questioning the Syracuse high temperatures though....lol You guys have been discussing the abnormal high readings for Buffalo, while it's just been accepted that the Cuse is a furnace. Good point. Syracuse doesn't have a giant warm lake to its west keeping them warm at night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 Deeper moisture will begin to reach WNY late Saturday evening, and gradually bring greater chances for rain showers Saturday night into the first half of Sunday. Weak upper level ridging should initially keep activity light, with just a tenth or two of an inch of QPF Saturday Night through midday Sunday. Lows Saturday night will be in the mid/upper 50s across the Lake Plains, with low 50s elsewhere. Sunday afternoon and Sunday Night will see the better chances for rain showers as the main surface low over the Western Great Lakes approaches the region. Isentropic lift combined with deep moisture within now diffluent flow aloft will likely bring widespread rain to our entire region. Highest chances for precip will be across WNY, and lower to the east where diffluent flow will be weaker. Upward to a half an inch or more of rain is possible within prolonged rain and drizzle later Sunday afternoon and through the overnight time period Monday there should still be plenty of shower activity around with weak low pressure approaching from the west. However, guidance hasn`t completely nailed down the timing and then when this whole system potentially departs the eastern Great lakes. Right now, it does look like there will be a general trend towards drier conditions as we head into Tuesday. Tuesday and beyond (end of this period), it appears Canadian sourced sfc high and also building heights aloft will likely provide dry weather across most of the forecast area. However, not all guidance supports this idea completely (ECMWF) and holds on to low end chances for a few showers. That said, it does look like temperatures will average above normal during this entire time frame with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 It's going to rain all Bills game isn't it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 26 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Good point. Syracuse doesn't have a giant warm lake to its west keeping them warm at night. I could see how my delightful SW winds can serve the same function of keeping us warmer at night. The downsloping.... "scowl" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 The end of the EPS hints at a negative EPO with colder air working into the northwest/midwest. Will the atlantic blocking prevent it from coming east? Looks like the start of a typical La Nina winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 4 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: 58 indoors? Hoodie and blanket time! I broke down and turned the heat on this morning. But yes, the wife and kids don't need to hang around in shorts and t shirt all winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: I broke down and turned the heat on this morning. But yes, the wife and kids don't need to hang around in shorts and t shirt all winter. I also caved this morning and we ran the furnace. I'm not ready to deal with the pellet stove yet, and we shouldn't need it after today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Flying MXZ said: I broke down and turned the heat on this morning. But yes, the wife and kids don't need to hang around in shorts and t shirt all winter. Damn. Holding out, but you're definitely in a colder spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 1, 2021 Author Share Posted October 1, 2021 Heat doesnt go on in my house until the first snowflakes fall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 So, our highs and lows for the next 2 weeks look to be 10 to 15 degree above average. In the past, you'd think eventually cool air would move in and things would average. But, my gosh, it just seems like relentless warmth and above average anymore these days. So discouraging for cooler weather people like myself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 Maybe, just maybe the game will just be"showery".. Depends what model does best.. Euro for example has 0.4" between 12z and 18z but no measurable precipitation between 18z and 0z.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 For here in pulaski the average high the first week of October is 62°-64°, forecast high is 67°-70° all week.. Average lows are between 42°-44°, forecast lows are in the mid-upper 50s lol Much higher +anomalies for the minimums, not that it won't be warmer than average during the day lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted October 1, 2021 Share Posted October 1, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Heat doesnt go on in my house until the first snowflakes fall. We have a no furnace until November 1st pact in our house. It’s gets pretty tough the last week or two of October but we make it nearly every year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 8 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: It's going to rain all Bills game isn't it. Sure looking that way… better bust out the ponchos! At least it’s going to be a seasonally warm rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 9 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Ha! Noticed how I am the ONLY ONE questioning the Syracuse high temperatures though....lol You guys have been discussing the abnormal high readings for Buffalo, while it's just been accepted that the Cuse is a furnace. Hmm so just the airport location goes sizzle sizzle in a Syracuse too… Strange… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Heat doesnt go on in my house until the first snowflakes fall. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 59 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Hmm so just the airport location goes sizzle sizzle in a Syracuse too… Strange… Yeah, sometimes it's a noticeable difference, and then others times all the stations in general match up with the airport. (Usually with the furnace SW winds) It's very fickle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manhattanandcatskills Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 I turned it on 9/30 and I dont' think we've gone below 36 or 37. My house was 53 at 2pm on 9/30 and I just gave in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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