madwx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 You can tell we’re in the doldrums here. Lake effect clouds were forming off Lake Mendota this morning. Will grab a satellite pic in a bit Big fan of the cooler and less humid air sticking around 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 If September can stay 70-80s, that would be neat provided it rains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 It's a little difficult to see but you can notice the patch of clouds headed WSW from MSN 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Nice respite after the wonderfully stormy (regionally speaking) but often warm/oppressively humid August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Thought I'd post Labor Day's extremes for max temp. Think we're safe this year. BTW, my forecast for the upcoming weekend that I posted in the "Holiday Forecast" thread looks to be pretty close based on 12z GFS today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 I have worked up the rankings for June and July. August I'll post in a few days to let data submissions make it into the system. There are a few stations out there that still submit monthly reports instead of daily internet reports. The dense ranking method (data comes from MRCC cli-mate tool) ranks by each unique temp as the place holder, and the years associated with them. For June and July, the average number of monthly temps is around 80 for max, and 70 for high min (more ties). So you can, by the aforementioned numbers, see how far from average each station was during the month. For those lower ranked stations, I noted if they were top 20 on the cool side to highlight their significance. June was definitely a warm one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, Spartman said: Spartman Special in Dayton this summer. Tied 2007 for 10th warmest August, plus 10 90+ days during the month. 14th warmest summer on record and, more importantly, the warmest since 1995 and third warmest on record at the airport (surpassed only by 1995 and 1988). Most of those early years should be tossed from the downtown rooftop station. August Summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 34 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Spartman Special in Dayton this summer. Tied 2007 for 10th warmest August, plus 10 90+ days during the month. 14th warmest summer on record and, more importantly, the warmest since 1995 and third warmest on record at the airport (surpassed only by 1995 and 1988). Most of those early years should be tossed from the downtown rooftop station. August Summer Under dense ranking, August will be tied 6th, and summer 11th. Dense ranking weights with the temps. Unlike standard method that weights between temps and years. Temps are more important to me, so dense ranking is my preferred system. I think MRCC cli-mate tool offers that option because others see its value, too. But, to each his own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 Today's system has been a big overachiever here in east-central Iowa. The first band of rain moved in early this morning and it did not stop until 2pm. My rain total is 1.57". Up to 2" has fallen just north of me. For days most models were spitting out a couple tenths, or maybe up to a half inch for a few lucky spots. I love days like this (cloudy/rain/60s) after a few months of heat and humidity. It is very refreshing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 0.01" here so far today. Another little blob of rain moving in from eastern Iowa shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 We may very well have a crappy weekend on tap. Cloud cover has already increased significantly ahead of the upcoming system that is supposed to arrive tomorrow night into Sunday. Labor Day looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Tuesday is starting to get my attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avon Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 The nam is kind of looking interesting for Tuesday afternoon/evening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Tuesday could be quite good. That is a strong front coming down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 From northern Indiana "We then turn our attention to a deepening low moving through the upper Great Lakes. A warm front may lift in Tuesday morning, followed by a cold front in the evening. At this distance, conditions seem favorable for severe thunderstorms: bulk wind shear of 40-50 knots, low-level lapse rates near 9C/km and plenty of CAPE. Upper-level support locally appears favorable as well with the right entrance region of the 500-mb jet nearby. Check back for updates in the coming days." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 SPC didn't even introduce a marginal lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 3 hours ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: SPC didn't even introduce a marginal lol They usually always underplay our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 From KIND A closed upper low and associated surface low are progged to track through the northern Great Lakes Region on Tuesday. This will be a quick moving system though with any shower/thunderstorm chances out of the area by Tuesday night. However, thunderstorms will be a threat on Tuesday afternoon/evening as the environment destabilizes in the warm sector of the surface low. Southwest surface flow will push daytime highs back into the mid to upper 80s for a day with dew points in the 60s. With the moderate instability and forcing, would not rule out isolated strong thunderstorms at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 KIWX An upper level trof will amplify over the eastern CONUS downstream of an anomalously strong upper ridge over the North American Rocky Mountains. Temperatures will become briefly warmer Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front associated with the amplifying trof. GFS has been consistent the past 4 (6hr) runs with mass fields and general timing of the front. The 00Z GFS still favors a cold front passage from late Tuesday afternoon into early Tuesday night providing a diurnally favorable time for convection. Low level theta E will surge northeast in a narrow band during the day Tuesday. In addition to the advection of a modified elevated mix layer (EML), mid levels winds from 50 to 75 knots and thermal profiles of CAPE values reaching 1500 to 2000 J/Kg indicate favorable chances for damaging thunderstorm winds. The CIPS analogs continues to support chances for severe weather as very strong mid level winds develop. Have been keeping a watch on an analog from 9/10/1992 which matches mass fields quite well and portends in a severe direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Doesn't get much better than today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 1.50" since July 30th here. Grass is pretty fried. Looks like tomorrow's stuff may blow up just southeast of us unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 Definitely a warm August for the region. Edit: Replaced with new baseline chart from 1981-2010 to 1901-2000 base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 Summer recap shows a very warm 2021. July was closer to average, but still a little warmer. Edit: Replaced with new baseline chart from 1981-2010 to 1901-2000 base. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 For the second time recently, MDW snuck in a 90 yesterday.30 - Ex Home28 - RFD27 - MDW22 - ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 10, 2021 Share Posted September 10, 2021 very cool sky this evening, looked fake. sooo have that Fall Fever 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 10, 2021 Share Posted September 10, 2021 Nothing that extreme but looks like some unseasonably warm temps on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 10, 2021 Share Posted September 10, 2021 good time of year for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted September 10, 2021 Share Posted September 10, 2021 Keep the lakes a little warmer until that first cold snap and maybe the LES can fire up and be a little more reliable this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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