IDA remnants OBS-nowcasts (storm total rain and/or unusual flooding, wind damage-power outage, gusts ~45+ MPH) Wed-Thu morning Sept 1-2, 2021

[gravitylover]

1.2. I've been on the edge of the heavy stuff all day. Just north or west by a few miles is a half to an inch higher.

[uncle W]

0.27" so far...I'll probably get lashed later on...The Poconos are tied to the whipping post all day...its been very wet up there the last few weeks too...

[Rtd208]

Things should really start ramping up in the immediate NYC metro over the next hour or so. 

[LibertyBell]

2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Things should really start ramping up in the immediate NYC metro over the next hour or so. 

Lee Goldberg just told people to shelter in place and don't go anywhere tonight.  They should shut down all roads and highways to make sure everyone stays home and we don't need to have any water rescues like we did last time.  No one should be allowed outside tonight period.

 

[donsutherland1]

Harrisburg had 5.17” of rain as of 4:20. That is the 2nd wettest September day and only 5th day overall with 5” or more of rain. Records go back to 1888.

[MJO812]

Getting really dark here in Brooklyn 

[Maureen]

The wind is starting to pick up here that’s for sure. Few drops of rain here and there, but it looks like conditions here are deteriorating rather quickly. A bit more ominous looking out there right now. 

[uncle W]

raining again...my pool will overflowith...

[matt8204]

20 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Lee Goldberg just told people to shelter in place and don't go anywhere tonight.  They should shut down all roads and highways to make sure everyone stays home and we don't need to have any water rescues like we did last time.  No one should be allowed outside tonight period.

 

Wow.  He's usually not that alarmist.  This thing must mean business.

[Stormlover74]

Getting a downpour at the moment

[MJO812]

Starting to rain here

Very dark and windy in Brooklyn 

[Rjay]

Pop up downpour on the way home from work 

[Maureen]

No doubt there will be plenty of these warnings.
 

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flood Warning for the Raritan River At Manville. 

* From late tonight to Friday morning. 

* At 4:15 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 4.4 feet. 

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 

* Major flooding is forecast. 

* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late tonight to a crest of 20.8 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Friday morning. 
 

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flood Warning for the Raritan River At Bound Brook. 

* From late tonight to Friday afternoon. 

* At 4:15 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 17.5 feet. 

* Flood stage is 28.0 feet. 

* Major flooding is forecast. 

* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late tonight to a crest of 34.1 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Friday morning. 

[psv88]

Really nasty here in the Poconos. Howling winds and pouring rain. 

[LibertyBell]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Starting to rain here

Very dark and windy in Brooklyn 

Rain is quickly expanding eastward now and it's getting windy.

There is also talk of expanding the Tornado Watch north and east to include NYC and Long Island, we could all be in a 10% risk of tornadoes tonight!

 

[LibertyBell]

Just now, psv88 said:

Really nasty here in the Poconos. Howling winds and pouring rain. 

Do you have any idea how much rain might have fallen there already and how high the winds might be?

 

[nycsnow]

Winds really picking up 

[Brian5671]

bunch of pop up cells forming east of NYC

[dmillz25]

A downpour right on my doorstep here in Williamsburg 

[donsutherland1]

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Do you have any idea how much rain might have fallen there already and how high the winds might be?

 

About 3 1/2” at MPO.

[Eduardo]

Mayhem about to ensue in NYC.  Looks like this is gonna come in like a wall.  I live on Roosevelt Island 11 floors up facing west and it looks mighty dark to the west of Manhattan!

[WE GOT HIM]

24 minutes ago, uncle W said:

raining again...my pool will overflowith...

I lowered mine by 6" this am

[Stormlover74]

It's going to be a long 8 to 10 hours

[Snowlover11]

here we go!

[EasternLI]

Radar lighting up now. Should be interesting. 

[MJO812]

Raining harder now

[kat5hurricane]

Wind picking up and first few raindrops here in Midtown. That convection to the southwest means business. Those who were crying out bust earlier today are going to eat those words shortly.

[EasternLI]

Tornado warning in Philly. 

[Neblizzard]

Forky is right about the UKMET.   We’re in for an assault the next 6-8 hours 

[SnowGoose69]

4 minutes ago, Neblizzard said:

Forky is right about the UKMET.   We’re in for an assault the next 6-8 hours 

It does appear based off current radar maybe the last 2 runs of the HRRR are too dry or NW with the low for places like NYC and Long Island but it’s hard to tell just yet