IDA remnants OBS-nowcasts (storm total rain and/or unusual flooding, wind damage-power outage, gusts ~45+ MPH) Wed-Thu morning Sept 1-2, 2021

[pstar3182]

Absolutely wild how little rain has come down in the past three weeks in Coastal Monmouth between Long Branch and Squan. 

[Brian5671]

some downpours rotating through here.   68 degrees

[donsutherland1]

Through 2 pm, Scranton has picked up 2.84” of rain. That broke the daily record of 2.59” from 2003. Harrisburg had reported 3.51” of rain. That was just short of the daily record.

[LibertyBell]

37 minutes ago, pstar3182 said:

Absolutely wild how little rain has come down in the past three weeks in Coastal Monmouth between Long Branch and Squan. 

Im not sure how correct that radar is, on the south shore of Nassau County we've been getting sporadic heavy tropical rains for 10-15 min each for the past hour and a half or so.

 

[LibertyBell]

5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Through 2 pm, Scranton has picked up 2.84” of rain. That broke the daily record of 2.59” from 2003. Harrisburg had reported 3.51” of rain. That was just short of the daily record.

Don can you report on MPO and ABE also?  Thanks!

 

[winterwarlock]

Very meager here and getting some lawn cutting

[donsutherland1]

6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Don can you report on MPO and ABE also?  Thanks!

 

If they get near or reach their records, I will. 

[Brian5671]

convection firing SW of Philly-that will work its way up here later on....

[snywx]

1.81” as of 2:15pm

[hudsonvalley21]

1.56 as of 2:30 pm.

[IrishRob17]

1.78" as of 2:30pm 65/63

[Rtd208]

Picked up 0.22" of rain so far today. 

[the_other_guy]

2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

True. 

All it takes is a couple hours to drop 2-4"+ amounts.

Wouldnt that still be below what most models were showing?

 

You need that rain thats been falling all morning upstate to get those strong totals

 

[gpsnavigator]

Meanwhile, heat indexes are well into the 90s from Atlantic City south.

[psv88]

wind picking up a bit in the Poconos, nothing crazy, but gusts 20-25 blowing the rain around. Approaching 2" here. Rates are moderate so the property flooding hasnt gotten much worse, still ponding everywhere, but nothing crazy yet.

[forkyfork]

are some of you looking at the same radar loops i am? we're a few hours away from mayhem 

[jets]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

are some of you looking at the same radar loops i am? we're a few hours away from mayhem 

Still thinking just Nw of 95 near front will makeup  a ton of rain. ne pa Nw nj have rain now but at lower rates and less instability 

[CIK62]

Current Outlooks for the rain:

ICON  1.5",     EURO/GFS  2.5",       NAM   3.0",      SREF  5,0",      CMC  6.0".

At 3:10pm................

[forkyfork]

19 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

are some of you looking at the same radar loops i am? we're a few hours away from mayhem 

 

[Rtd208]

You can see the precipitation is starting to expand and move east on radar so we should start seeing heavier rain/storms over the next 2-3 hours in the immediate NYC metro.

[donsutherland1]

As of 3:05 pm, Harrisburg had picked up a September 1 record 4.08” of rain. Today is only the 8th September day on record with 4” or more of rain and the 7th wettest September day on record at that city. Records go back to 1888.

[hudsonvalley21]

11 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

You can see the precipitation so starting to expand and move east on radar so we should start seeing heavier rain/storms over the next 2-3 hours in the immediate NYC metro.

1.69 so far here in Orange County, Ny

The way the radar is looking we will give the 5-6” of forecasted rain a good shot.

 

[psv88]

Pouring still in the Poconos, approaching 2.50" of rain now

[HeadInTheClouds]

2 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

1.69 so far here in Orange County, Ny

The way the radar is looking we will give the 5-6” of forecasted rain a good shot.

 

I don't think there is a question the HV will be in the in 5-6 inch range, some spots may get even more. Up here in Dutchess county where I am 20 miles north of 84 it's been raining all day and approaching 2 inches. Main event I suspect will be 8pm-1am, something like that. 

[hudsonvalley21]

5 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said:

I don't think there is a question the HV will be in the in 5-6 inch range, some spots may get even more. Up here in Dutchess county where I am 20 miles north of 84 it's been raining all day and approaching 2 inches. Main event I suspect will be 8pm-1am, something like that. 

Agree with the main event later on. The only good thing is it’s past commuting time. Hopefully there won’t be too many road closures or people stranded on the roadways.

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
334 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Orange County in southeastern New York...

* Until 530 PM EDT.

* At 334 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the
  warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen.
  Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the
  warned area. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.

[EasternLI]

Mt. Holly radar is pretty nuts. 

[Rtd208]

 

[forkyfork]

ukmet/rgem are going to win

[bluewave]

Several 5”+ reports in PA.

Bedford County...
Saxton                       5.10 in   0130 PM 09/01   CWOP    

Blair County...
Claysburg                    5.52 in   0135 PM 09/01   CWOP      

AWS                  

...Lancaster County...
Middletown                   5.66 in   0131 PM 09/01   CWOP   

[snywx]

2.38” as of 3:45pm