WxWatcher007 Posted September 1, 2021 Author Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The rates are going to get some. Like areas maybe north of pike have longer duration. It's possible near and south of pike get a break and then just monster rates for 3-4 hrs will be the main rain event. It's possible during this time that 3-5"+ falls in that 3-4 hrs. Yeah down here the rates and widespread nature of the rainfall could make it really ugly. BOX is using some strong language in the flash flood watch, as they should. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Looks like CT starts like 8 -10 hours before Some eastern areas 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks like we’ll probably avoid the worst here…. Still a solid 2-3” nothing to sneeze at You could easily still jack there is no consensus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 It's not snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 this is the one time in my life that i hope the Tolland mastiff is the jackpot, with a sharp north cut-off. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 I'm scared 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 49 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rain just started. Let the flooding begin It's even raining very lightly here. Just a head-fake I imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Sofaking screwed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 26 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It's not snow But what if it was! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Sofaking screwed The sofa king is definitely screwed if his house is low lying and he doesn’t get moving in time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 HRRR is nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just now, ineedsnow said: HRRR is nuts 9" in 6hrs in SW CT and still raining at the end of the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 I'm tired of the rain. It's slowing the progress of our addition and the last rains we got caused water to get into our basement. Luckily it didn't cause an issues but I'd like to not flirt with that again. They need about another week to get the roof on and tight enough so water won't come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: 9" in 6hrs in SW CT and still raining at the end of the run. i found a 10 inch amount probably would have been over a foot if it kept going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 SRN CT jack. Congrats on water issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: 9" in 6hrs in SW CT and still raining at the end of the run. Uggh....my garden is going to look like the everglades, minus the alligators 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll probably lose 100 feet of elevation from this to erosion 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 it’s been raining down here near new haven since 6am. We are on a hill, but ground water comes up at times during certain weather events. Following because the last time we flooded basement wise was about 15 years ago. Ground was still frozen and we got inches of rain in a short time. Went to go to work and heard a splash in our basement. Sure enough we had 3-4 feet of water down there. The sump pump was unplugged. Keep in mind we were told it was never used and there just incase when we bought the house… not looking forward to this potential. Never mind our garage may flood too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Uggh....my garden is going to look like the everglades, minus the alligators havent watered my lawn once this summer....reminds me of 2009 just warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 4 hours ago, moneypitmike said: here you go. Definitely can see it's elevation dependent for heaviest snowfall in this ... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 That's 7-10” for all of CT. Rivers will be at record levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Getting a bit concerned about TOR potential tonight across southern Connecticut. Models getting a bit more aggressive with (at least coastal CT) warm sector getting into the state. Models spitting out some pretty damn impressive CAPE to go along with tremendous shear. A strong tornado couldn't be ruled out if this pans out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Getting a bit concerned about TOR potential tonight across southern Connecticut. Models getting a bit more aggressive with (at least coastal CT) warm sector getting into the state. Models spitting out some pretty damn impressive CAPE to go along with tremendous shear. A strong tornado couldn't be ruled out if this pans out. I'm shocked lol 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Take the smeared guts of a TC and flop it over the top of a baroclinic axis that has modest synoptic lift support by weak 500mb jet running by enhancing lift, and you get deposition results that end up much, much larger than the sum of the individual parts going into the ordeal. Synergistic flood. The PWAT alone is hefty but not enough - or is it? The jets of the synoptic field are weak and wouldn't do it. The boundary isn't impressively defined, but is enough there to define an elevated frontal slope, nonetheless... I think it is interesting that model physics 'see' that synergy. The next 6 hours of now-cast and observations may also be useful in this, up stream ... See how the hourly bucket rates are comparing to model omens there over NE PA and so forth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Started raining here about 6:30 this morning..and it’s been steady from the start. Radar looks juiced and primed. Moderate rain currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 58 minutes ago, JC-CT said: But what if it was! Snowfall associated with a tropical system actually occurred in NE in 1804 (New England Snow Hurricane) and 1963 (Hurricane Ginny) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 HRRRGW again south of the Pike...a little over 1" up here. Still thinking/hoping the convection steals the show and robs some of the moisture for the synoptic lift up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 This has a lot of the hallmarks of a serious flood event. I'm pretty concerned for what unfolds tonight somewhere in CT/SE NY. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 I imagine a lot of the general public in CT may not be taking this seriously enough since Henri was a little less memorable than forecast and so recent. Flooding is serious business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: This has a lot of the hallmarks of a serious flood event. I'm pretty concerned for what unfolds tonight somewhere in CT/SE NY. Plus, Not a whole lot of room left to put all this water that’s coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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