Hoth Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Radar starting to light up across Long Island. It's go time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Radar starting to light up across Long Island. It's go time. A bunch of us had early start too. We wild uns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 It’s coming. We pour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 I said it was suddenly closing in half an hour ago and people made fun of me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: Jesus. Those are some damn expensive homes too any guesses on strength? Strong EF1 of EF2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: any guesses on strength? Strong EF1 of EF2 Looks like a 3 to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: any guesses on strength? Strong EF1 of EF2 Ef3 homes torn apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: Looks like a 3 to me. Agree. That's some impressive damage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 61* and all this rain---it feels like Christmas Eve. 2 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Jesus. Those are some damn expensive homes too The damage to a couple of those manicured lawns alone outdid the entire state of Oklahoma this year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: any guesses on strength? Strong EF1 of EF2 The only one close to that tonight was 2011 in Brimfield/ Monson. That was easily high end EF3. That one was bigtime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: Jesus. Those are some damn expensive homes too I am struggling to evaluate this comment. Surely it's better a tornado hits the houses of rich people. Less dense, less economic impact, over insured, more able to absorb temporary impact on loss of home... Or am I supposed to care about some suburban house in Jersey out of some reverant middle class consciousness? 1 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 wasn't '79 kinda like this? though in early Oct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: any guesses on strength? Strong EF1 of EF2 Sam Emerson does some really good and highly accurate radar analysis of some of these TORs. You know it’s bad when the top three analogs were storms in MS, OK, and SD. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1.25 so far outside Springfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: wasn't '79 kinda like this? though in early Oct That was totally different. That wasn’t a TS remnant. That was south flow funneling up valley 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, NeonPeon said: I am struggling to evaluate this comment. Surely it's better a tornado hits the houses of rich people. Less dense, less economic impact, over insured, more able to absorb temporary impact on loss of home... Or am I supposed to care about some suburban house in Jersey out of some reverant middle class consciousness? Would you care more if they buried their power lines? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said: Sam Emerson does some really good and highly accurate radar analysis of some of these TORs. Very interesting analysis but given the low sample size of northeastern tornadoes specifically you might be comparing primarily against systems on the prairies/plains. Not totally clear if the lofted debris has the same characteristics everywhere... In other words are rain soaked deciduous leaves showing up the same as dry cottonwood leaves, grasses, roof shingles, etc? I don't know the answer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
All Wet Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, NeonPeon said: I am struggling to evaluate this comment. Surely it's better a tornado hits the houses of rich people. Less dense, less economic impact, over insured, more able to absorb temporary impact on loss of home... Or am I supposed to care about some suburban house in Jersey out of some reverant middle class consciousness? I think it's a tragedy when anyone's home is damaged or destroyed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 It’s not EF4. That’s stronger than the Springfield 2011 TOR which you could argue reached that briefly. Probably high end EF2. McMansions can be cookie cutter structures that are made well but not that well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 2, 2021 Author Share Posted September 2, 2021 A lot of flooding reports coming in from NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 It's basically looking like a few tors, a flash flood or ten, and power outages for months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, radarman said: Very interesting analysis but given the low sample size of northeastern tornadoes specifically you might be comparing primarily against systems on the prairies/plains. Not totally clear if the lofted debris has the same characteristics everywhere... In other words are rain soaked deciduous leaves showing up the same as dry cottonwood leaves, grasses, roof shingles, etc? I don't know the answer Good points. I don’t know the answer either. What I do know is a lot of his previous analysis has been within ~10mph or so of being correct. Either way I’d guess EF3 but as @CoastalWxjust said just because they are nice houses, doesn’t mean they were constructed all to well. It will be interesting to see the survey that’s for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: A lot of flooding reports coming in from NJ Being nearby in adjacent SENY I can verify—4” and counting, likely seeing 6+ here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Rain is steady here now, mostly dark greens. Heavier yellow is just to our west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 minute ago, crossbowftw3 said: Being nearby in adjacent SENY I can verify—4” and counting, likely seeing 6+ here. And we have also largely avoided the severe threat by being on the more stable side of the storm, have been just a constant steady stream of moderate rain all day long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Very light rain up here the past 2 hours. Seems like the northern edge (me) might have been overdone. New Euro says 2" for me but I don't see it 18Z Euro precip amounts came down slightly in SNE but still 3 to 4.25" for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That was totally different. That wasn’t a TS remnant. That was south flow funneling up valley Yeah I went back and compared the U/A stuff, not much similarity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s not EF4. That’s stronger than the Springfield 2011 TOR which you could argue reached that briefly. Probably high end EF2. McMansions can be cookie cutter structures that are made well but not that well. Agreed. The 2011 damage was significantly greater and that was a high end EF3 (though you can make a legit argument for low EF4). Hard to say what that NJ one was without more damage pics to reference...it was at least a solid EF2 anyway. Possibly EF3. If those structures were pretty high-end, then EF3 for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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