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Ghost of Ida Impacts Thread


WxWatcher007
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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I have a hunch Jack zone will run from about DXR to HVN to PVD on south side and NW CT up to CEF to ORH on north side. That whole area looks to me like ground zero given warm front is farther north than it looked 

What time? Are we waiting for that stuff in the mid Atlantic to slide east?

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7 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

What time? Are we waiting for that stuff in the mid Atlantic to slide east?

There’s a 6-8 hour window from about 10- 4am tonight. Today’s rains have already overperformed . It just helped to prime all the waterways and ground for main show tonight . Most of us in C and N Ct closing in on an 1” already. 

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There’s a 6-8 hour window from about 10- 4am tonight. Today’s rains have already overperformed . It just helped to prime all the waterways and ground for main show tonight . Most of us in C and N Ct closing in on an 1” already. 

I think today’s rains in your area were reasonably modeled?

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3 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

I don’t know…. I recall the forecast the way they said yesterday was just supposed to be “increasing clouds” for most of Wednesday 

Yesterday AM disc

Wednesday...

Clouds will be lowering and thickening in advance of Ida/s
remnants Wednesday morning. As the remnant low approaches from
the southwest, the forcing for ascent will increase from
southwest to northeast. There are some timing differences
amongst the models with pockets of lingering dry low/mid level
air. That being said, the threat for showers will increase from
southwest to northeast Wednesday afternoon. High temperatures
will mainly be in 70s, but its possible a few spots in eastern
MA/RI could take a run at 80.

We do think though that the heavy rain/flood threat will hold
off until Wednesday night into Thursday when the better dynamics
arrive. This will be discussed in the long term portion of the
forecast.
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11 minutes ago, Mr. Windcredible! said:

Evacuations ongoing in Wilmore PA now. A taste of what's to come...

I dunno ... might wanna get this underway -

For east of the Hudson rad keeps eating back. The heavier band extension into CT appears to modestly weaken.   Probably just panic but ...heh, if this/these trends continue, may wanna change this thread title to 'Ghost of Any Impacts Thread' ... 

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2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:
Yesterday AM disc

Wednesday...

Clouds will be lowering and thickening in advance of Ida/s
remnants Wednesday morning. As the remnant low approaches from
the southwest, the forcing for ascent will increase from
southwest to northeast. There are some timing differences
amongst the models with pockets of lingering dry low/mid level
air. That being said, the threat for showers will increase from
southwest to northeast Wednesday afternoon. High temperatures
will mainly be in 70s, but its possible a few spots in eastern
MA/RI could take a run at 80.

We do think though that the heavy rain/flood threat will hold
off until Wednesday night into Thursday when the better dynamics
arrive. This will be discussed in the long term portion of the
forecast.

Yeah models held off in CT until mid- late PM up till yesterday. Nothing had it raining here by 6:00 am

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4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I dunno ... might wanna get this underway -

For east of the Hudson rad keeps eating back. The heavier band extension into CT appears to modestly weaken.   Probably just panic but ...heh, if this/these trends continue, may wanna change this thread title to 'Ghost of Any Impacts Thread' ... 

Blowing its load early it seems, nothing but blanks by the time it gets here. 

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It was supposed to start in the afternoon . I’ll be over 1” by 4:00.. with a juicer of a radar to the WSW 

I was taken by surprise on the start time.  I thought it was supposed to hold off till after sunset today for my area.  Started around 10am.  Not much has fallen but it ruined a solid day of work for my GC.

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15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I dunno ... might wanna get this underway -

For east of the Hudson rad keeps eating back. The heavier band extension into CT appears to modestly weaken.   Probably just panic but ...heh, if this/these trends continue, may wanna change this thread title to 'Ghost of Any Impacts Thread' ... 

I certainly think the RT 2 corridor is pretty safe from any damaging floods.  The past few hours I've been watching the northern advance of the heavier precipitation held in check.

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