CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Convection on cape robbing moisture 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 New MD Mesoscale Discussion 1679 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 PM CDT Wed Sep 01 2021 Areas affected...far northern New Jersey...southern New York...Long Island...and far southern New England Concerning...Tornado Watch 484... Valid 020320Z - 020445Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 484 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorms currently moving across Long Island and southern New England will continue to pose a risk of strong thunderstorm winds and a couple of tornadoes. A new watch downstream of Tornado Watch #484 will be issued. DISCUSSION...The remnant low-level circulation of post-tropical cyclone Ida continues to move northeast toward the greater New York City area. The low-level wind field continues to advect a very warm, moist air northward into southern New England as a warm front slowly lifts north across Long Island. Time-evolution VAD winds from Upton, NY, (KOKX) suggests that the warm front is very near or just north of the radar. Additionally, the time evolution of KOKX's VAD winds indicates a strengthening wind field that veers with height, leading to 0-1 kilometer SRH in excess of 800 m2/s2. As thunderstorms continue to move east from northern New Jersey/southern New York, across Long Island and southern New England, they will interact with this extremely favorable kinematic environment. The result is a continued potential for a couple of tornadoes and strong thunderstorm winds along and south of the warm front. The most appreciable tornado risk will be in the vicinity of this lifting warm front, but how far north it lifts before being overtaken by the approaching thunderstorms is uncertain. Portions o coastal and near-coastal areas downstream from Tornado Watch #484 across southern New England will need a new tornado watch. ..Marsh.. 09/02/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 It's like there's a waterfall above me pouring onto my house. Some of the heaviest rain I've ever heard right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Wow, this is incredible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Seeing all these NYC videos makes me wonder if I should be moving my car.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 2, 2021 Author Share Posted September 2, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Thunderblizzard said: It's like there's a waterfall above me pouring onto my house. Some of the heaviest rain I've ever heard right now. Exactly!! Sounds like it’s gonna pound through the roof. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Areas east of you in CT are getting wrecked. That would be here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Well worst already almost to wolfie. Maybe 1-2” from here on out near him on west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Gawddamn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 This probably won’t be the HRRR forecast amounts of 8-10” in a wide swath. I think more 4-6” maybe an iso spot more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: This probably won’t be the HRRR forecast amounts of 8-10” in a wide swath. I think more 4-6” maybe an iso spot more? There was a noticeable drop in QPF between 01z HRRR and 02z HRRR.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 4.5” and counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radiator Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Hearing the sound of more trees crashing down - no way to know exactly where in this darkness, but at least so far no damage or power outage here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Idiots are trying to drive through flooded streets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Idiots are trying to drive through flooded streets here. Lots of idiots there where you are Anthony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Upper Cape getting annihilated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Never seen rain this heavy. Visibility akin to a decent blizzard. Just thundering in torrents. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Courtesy of Samantha Augeri 4th Ave in Brooklyn 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 When can we get radar returns in January that look like this…..lol….please mommy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Just now, ice1972 said: When can we get radar returns in January that look like this…..lol….please mommy Be careful what you wish for, we will get all of that as rain instead of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This probably won’t be the HRRR forecast amounts of 8-10” in a wide swath. I think more 4-6” maybe an iso spot more? There’s already a wide swath of 8-10” it’s just about 25 miles south of where it had it and not as widespread north to south. From Philly to NYC to HVN about 10-15 miles north to south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 This beats the hell out of Henri. Clearly we need to abolish French/names with silent letters from the NHC name list. Boot Henri and Eduoard out! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 95 in Bridgeport https://fb.watch/7M2eaJHjMI/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoth said: This beats the hell out of Henri. Clearly we need to abolish French/names with silent letters from the NHC name list. Boot Henri and Eduoard out! How much rain? I swear it looks like Feb 13 on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Look out FMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How much rain? I swear it looks like Feb 13 on radar Don't have a gauge sadly, so couldn't tell you. Lightening up a bit now, but I've never seen water come down like that before. Totally overwhelmed my gutters, yard looks like a lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 “EWR reported 3.24" in 1 hour.” Wait wait wait wait… just DAYS ago, when Henri came in, NYC broke its ALL-TIME1 Hour Rational Total…. Of 1.74” or so. THIS is almost DOUBLE that!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: “EWR reported 3.24" in 1 hour.” Wait wait wait wait… just DAYS ago, when Henri came in, NYC broke its ALL-TIME1 Hour Rational Total…. Of 1.74” or so. THIS is almost DOUBLE that!! Central Park 3.15" in one hour. About 7" total now. Thankfully in NYC this is about done now but an absolutely insane 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: “EWR reported 3.24" in 1 hour.” Wait wait wait wait… just DAYS ago, when Henri came in, NYC broke its ALL-TIME1 Hour Rational Total…. Of 1.74” or so. THIS is almost DOUBLE that!! Ya they had 1.94” in that, now 10 days later they smashed it again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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