WEATHER53 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 hours ago, Kmlwx said: Point accepted. However - we did just have a pretty well formed supercell track over a large portion of the area during the overnight period - with no sun. The sun stuff is mistaken. 75 degrees+ and 80%+ humidity don’t need no stinking sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Incoming wall of water. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just in case. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just in case. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, frd said: Watch that cluster of heavy storms North of Richmand as it moves NNE. Tornado watch is up a few miles to my West in Maryland. Hope to get active later this afternoon. Maybe the tornado watch will be expanded to cover the three counties in Delaware later. I’d be shocked if you don’t get a watch, and mildly surprised if the area doesn’t get a warning at some point today. But I’m still weenie-ing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Mrs.J said: Incoming wall of water. yep, the soaker has begun here. can no longer see the catoctin's. kinda cool being able to watch the cloud deck lowering as the storms move in from the west. no lightning, though...just a steady downpour. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Definitely on the lookout for discrete cells in Burke. Seems like things are popping and filling in to our south and rotating up here on the double quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Supercells starting to form Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 70/30 probs on that new watch for E MD/PA/NJ. Pretty stout probabilities for this region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Could be just me (well and EJ), but I think EJ might be right. Just looking at radar, this looks likely to be just a 95 and east threat for tornadoes now, except maybe up in Northern MD. Fine by me. I'd rather just get some heavy rain. Two tornado warnings out and they are already sitting along 95 in VA and it seems like everything would likely form along that line or pop up east of that line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Kid is home safe. Was in a lull for a little bit but looks like cells popping up to my south. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’d be shocked if you don’t get a watch, and mildly surprised if the area doesn’t get a warning at some point today. But I’m still weenie-ing. Yep ! TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 483 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1240 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2021 TORNADO WATCH 483 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC001-003-005-020200- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0483.210901T1640Z-210902T0200Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Pretty decent cell just west of Middleburg moving NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 The stuff to watch for DC for the moment is that puny stuff near Manassas. Beefy stuff elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 seeing lightning show up with the cells towards harpers ferry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just absolutely torrential for the past hour. Zero wind... Just a still, humid, tropical downpour. Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 oof crazy downpour right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 The stuff near Clifton, VA, although tiny - does look interesting. Will be curious to see if that can grow a bit. Almost looks like a baby supercell. Radar is looking messy otherwise - not good for areas that are waterlogged from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just now, Kmlwx said: The stuff near Clifton, VA, although tiny - does look interesting. Will be curious to see if that can grow a bit. Almost looks like a baby supercell. Radar is looking messy otherwise - not good for areas that are waterlogged from this morning. Keeping an eye on that one. In a meeting right now with a coworker who is in Oakton. I’ll get ground truth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 TOR warning for Charles/PG on a tiny cell (not much bigger than the Clifton one). Think things could be interesting here in the next little while. Seems even the small stuff is spinny. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandyHolt Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 32 minutes ago, WeatherShak said: Just in case. Good idea 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Keeping an eye on that one. In a meeting right now with a coworker who is in Oakton. I’ll get ground truth! It's trying! But perhaps it's fighting for dominance with the two cells east of the fall line and that activity up in Loudoun Co. Not too concerned about that little one unless it can grow upscale. That Charles/PG cell looks nice, though. Heavy rain down near Culpeper could be problematic for flooding in spots later if it holds together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Unless things really start filling in to the south, I'm not even sure how much more rain some of us will get. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Was just about to post some spinny velocity scans on the cell near King George VA. But I see it’s already warned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Unless things really start filling in to the south, I'm not even sure how much more rain some of us will get. I know Leesburg laughed at this, but latest HRRR actually says most of us in the metro don't get much more rain at all. Sure, some will win with isolated cells that dump, but perhaps the main show for most was actually overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Pretty much in between everything since the start. Less than .10 so far and radar looks skippy for me. All in all the models showed an area of dry with wet west and east and north of it. That jumped around some but was always close by...I think that's pretty cool that the models picked up on that from a distance. Stay safe all...I think my pocket will remain dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Best discrete cells are hugging the bay +-10 miles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDphotog Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Really started downpouring again. Curious what the rivers around here look like, but for some reason the flood gauge updates all stopped at 11:45AM on NWS site. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Report from my father from this morning (so, pre-whatever's about to start):It must have been quite some storm last night. I rode down into the park this a.m. and I was blocked by water on the bike path from Rock Creek both ways within a mile of the beltway. Rock Creek was flowing just below the bottom of the bike path bridge coming up the hill out of the park, so I biked back up the road I had come down into the park on. I haven't seen that much flooding in the almost 45 years I have been biking in the park. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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