Scraff Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 VA Tech better take cover! Now AND when they play WVU. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Pretty clear hook on wider range radar as well: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT FORCENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY...At 659 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Merrimac, or nearBlacksburg, moving northeast at 20 mph.HAZARD...Damaging tornado.SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught withoutshelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damageto roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage islikely.Locations impacted include...Blacksburg...Christiansburg...and Merrimac.This includes The following Location Virginia Tech.TORNADO...OBSERVEDMAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Tornado Watch Fredericksburg and points South and West til 3:00 AM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Another tornado warning for VT. Confirmed damage is what I have heard as well from the first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Yeah there is some training going on down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 WB 18Z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 2 hours ago, GATECH said: Everyone relax, I pumped 4 inches of water out of my pool, this insures a few tenths of in inch of rain. Water will be re-added to pool costing me roughly $58 dollars on Friday…but on the plus side, I am refusing to put down my deck umbrella thus insuring I decent tornado outbreak. If you would like flooding rain and no tornados, please send me $58 and I will add the water back to the pool and take the umbrella down. The choice is yours…unfortunately I have yet to find the correct superstition combo to yield snow in winter…working on it though. To keep this legit for this thread…obs: cloudy, temp 82.7, DP 74.1, wet bulb is 77.7. As a pool owner, this made me laugh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Seeing all the action down in southwestern VA, I’m a little surprised to see the center of Ida still down and back along the TN / GA border. That suggests to me that somewhere in these parts is going to get clobbered tomorrow. Though I might just be weenie-ing. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 24 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Seeing all the action down in southwestern VA, I’m a little surprised to see the center of Ida still down and back along the TN / GA border. That suggests to me that somewhere in these parts is going to get clobbered tomorrow. Though I might just be weenie-ing. I love Weenie-ing 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 25 minutes ago, mappy said: As a pool owner, this made me laugh The struggle is real! Only had to do it twice this year! Good luck tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, GATECH said: The struggle is real! Only had to do it twice this year! Good luck tomorrow! Above ground or in ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Above ground or in ground? In ground, problem is when it overflows the water can find its way to a basement stairwell, plus the pool gets trashed with mulch and stuff. Events like this make me nervous, I have sandbags for the basement well, but those are a pain to drag out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 HRRR definitely seems to indicate there could be a predawn threat as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Sprinkles! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 14 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: HRRR definitely seems to indicate there could be a predawn threat as well You may be on to something here. I wasn't worrying too much about the late night threat due to what I thought would be a lack of instability, but even though it's somewhat of an outlier, the HRRR has a modest shear/instability combo here towards morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, high risk said: You may be on to something here. I wasn't worrying too much about the late night threat due to what I thought would be a lack of instability, but even though it's somewhat of an outlier, the HRRR has a modest shear/instability combo here towards morning. The last few runs have seemingly brought some sort of cellular/cluster activity over DC or nearby areas. Some of the runs have shown a decent UH track as well. It honestly wouldn't surprise me...tropical stuff can do weird off-hours stuff for us. Not sure it'd be enough for a tornado watch...but if we do get one - it could be one of those rare days where we have 2+ tornado watches in a single day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDphotog Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, high risk said: You may be on to something here. I wasn't worrying too much about the late night threat due to what I thought would be a lack of instability, but even though it's somewhat of an outlier, the HRRR has a modest shear/instability combo here towards morning. Maybe outside of your area of expertise, but is tonight’s action part of those numbers people were posting from the models today? I say this because up in PA from Breezewood to Chambersburg has been getting slammed already with several hours of storms. If it’s going to add another 5 inch plus tomorrow, ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, MDphotog said: Maybe outside of your area of expertise, but is tonight’s action part of those numbers people were posting from the models today? I say this because up in PA from Breezewood to Chambersburg has been getting slammed already with several hours of storms. If it’s going to add another 5 inch plus tomorrow, ouch. I'm not high risk - but it depends on the model output you are referring to. Some maps are 6hr precip, some are 24hr etc. Some are also simply "total precip" If it was total precip - then certainly yes any rainfall already down would count. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, MDphotog said: Maybe outside of your area of expertise, but is tonight’s action part of those numbers people were posting from the models today? I say this because up in PA from Breezewood to Chambersburg has been getting slammed already with several hours of storms. If it’s going to add another 5 inch plus tomorrow, ouch. Up there, it's likely a Predecessor Rainfall Event (PRE) and there's even some weak rotation on those cells. They're going to jackpot on flooding and maybe even the tornado potential up there. I'm considering heading up there tomorrow. Going to be a memorable event in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, MDphotog said: Maybe outside of your area of expertise, but is tonight’s action part of those numbers people were posting from the models today? I say this because up in PA from Breezewood to Chambersburg has been getting slammed already with several hours of storms. If it’s going to add another 5 inch plus tomorrow, ouch. Yes, most guidance had a modest chunk of the huge predicted rainfalls for PA occurring tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Tornado Warning for Bedford and Botetourt counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Tornado Warning for Bedford and Botetourt counties.Tempted to stay up in my area tonight. Things seem to want to spin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Tempted to stay up in my area tonight. Things seem to want to spin. Maybe not the worst idea. Maybe I’m glad I didn’t start classes out there this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: Tornado Warning for Bedford and Botetourt counties. That radar look is impressive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 57 minutes ago, GATECH said: The struggle is real! Only had to do it twice this year! Good luck tomorrow! Thanks, we will both be home and can drain it if we need too, no threat to flood our home so it should be fine. Good luck to you too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 44 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: HRRR definitely seems to indicate there could be a predawn threat as well Not sure about severe, but I was always expecting rain in the early morning. Ava mentioned it this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Hopefully everyone has ensured their gutters are debris free and the downspouts are free of obstruction. A few minutes of Niagara Falls off the edge is one thing during a gully washer type thunderstorm but persistent training and torrential downpours lasting hours can put a lot of water where you don't need or want it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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