NorthHillsWx Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 This is one I’d love to see a radar image of. Wilma south Florida-like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: This is one I’d love to see a radar image of. Wilma south Florida-like It MIGHT get close enough to Bermuda to be on the outer reaches of radar. MAYBE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said: It MIGHT get close enough to Bermuda to be on the outer reaches of radar. MAYBE. Oh the frustration of living in the year 2021 when global 3D radar is still yet to be developed. Maybe in ten years we'll watch live radar anywhere on the planet. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 What a beauty this morning! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 60W/20N is a pretty big benchmark, when it passes NE of it, they don't hit like 98% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mowfishin Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 11 hours ago, Prospero said: Oh the frustration of living in the year 2021 when global 3D radar is still yet to be developed. Maybe in ten years we'll watch live radar anywhere on the planet. We will have global radar but the Hurricane Hunters will be flying the same planes with the same broken equipment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 SHIPS annular index is 45, about halfway between not annular and annular. It sort of looks annular. Better informed people, annular or not? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 14 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: SHIPS annular index is 45, about halfway between not annular and annular. It sort of looks annular. Better informed people, annular or not? Eric Webb calls it quasi-annular, but there are indications that increasing SW shear (shown more by ECMWF than GFS) and SSTs warming to 28.5-29C by tonight and tomorrow may make it hard for Larry to maintain annular status. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 Well now quasi-annular is a thing. Probably should have had an official designated title when 'canes are showing annular characteristics but are not fully annular. Kind of like quasi-linear super cells. Linear cells that have super cell characteristics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 Poor Larry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 The truck tire has a nasty looking crack in it, although new convection may be trying to fix it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 Larry appears to be going through another EWRC. It looks like the inner eyewall, which isn't exactly small, is not convectively bursting as much and may be breaking down. The new eye may end up being quite large. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 12Z UKMET: 915 mb just 100 miles east of Bermuda! HURRICANE LARRY ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 49.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122021 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.09.2021 0 19.0N 49.5W 933 106 0000UTC 06.09.2021 12 20.5N 51.4W 942 95 1200UTC 06.09.2021 24 21.7N 53.2W 931 106 0000UTC 07.09.2021 36 22.8N 54.6W 929 110 1200UTC 07.09.2021 48 24.1N 56.3W 919 113 0000UTC 08.09.2021 60 25.8N 57.7W 916 116 1200UTC 08.09.2021 72 27.5N 59.7W 918 118 0000UTC 09.09.2021 84 29.5N 61.7W 918 1141200UTC 09.09.2021 96 31.9N 63.3W 915 116 0000UTC 10.09.2021 108 35.7N 63.3W 925 105 1200UTC 10.09.2021 120 40.8N 61.2W 929 105 0000UTC 11.09.2021 132 46.5N 55.5W 943 85 1200UTC 11.09.2021 144 52.3N 48.3W 971 46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 7 hours ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Poor Larry. He'll be alright. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 1 hour ago, GaWx said: 12Z UKMET: 915 mb just 100 miles east of Bermuda! HURRICANE LARRY ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 49.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122021 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.09.2021 0 19.0N 49.5W 933 106 0000UTC 06.09.2021 12 20.5N 51.4W 942 95 1200UTC 06.09.2021 24 21.7N 53.2W 931 106 0000UTC 07.09.2021 36 22.8N 54.6W 929 110 1200UTC 07.09.2021 48 24.1N 56.3W 919 113 0000UTC 08.09.2021 60 25.8N 57.7W 916 116 1200UTC 08.09.2021 72 27.5N 59.7W 918 118 0000UTC 09.09.2021 84 29.5N 61.7W 918 1141200UTC 09.09.2021 96 31.9N 63.3W 915 116 0000UTC 10.09.2021 108 35.7N 63.3W 925 105 1200UTC 10.09.2021 120 40.8N 61.2W 929 105 0000UTC 11.09.2021 132 46.5N 55.5W 943 85 1200UTC 11.09.2021 144 52.3N 48.3W 971 46 If it does hit Bermuda (I count eyewall, myself, especially for a small island, as a hit), it isn't a fish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 Pretty solid model agreement that the core should miss Bermuda to the east, seems the westward shifts from early on have stopped/even reversed a bit. Good chance they get TS-force winds out of the north as it passes by, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 3 hours ago, Windspeed said: Larry appears to be going through another EWRC. It looks like the inner eyewall, which isn't exactly small, is not convectively bursting as much and may be breaking down. The new eye may end up being quite large. NHC broke out the A word. Annular? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, jm1220 said: NHC broke out the A word. Annular? Looked more annular this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 Not annular anymore if it's doing another ERC. Sure looks it is based on recent microwave passes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 3 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Pretty solid model agreement that the core should miss Bermuda to the east, seems the westward shifts from early on have stopped/even reversed a bit. Good chance they get TS-force winds out of the north as it passes by, though. a few GEFS and EPS members moved west over Bermuda at 18z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 liking larry's evolution this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Proud to say that I’m not a snob for sexy Hurricanes, like Ida, and love a big ole fat truck tire like Larry. Last ERC gave us the biggest eye in the Atlantic in recent memory! Storm is a beast, also ACE is going to be through the roof with this one 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 55 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Proud to say that I’m not a snob for sexy Hurricanes, like Ida, and love a big ole fat truck tire like Larry. Last ERC gave us the biggest eye in the Atlantic in recent memory! Storm is a beast, also ACE is going to be through the roof with this one Larry the Storm Guy 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: Proud to say that I’m not a snob for sexy Hurricanes, like Ida, and love a big ole fat truck tire like Larry. Last ERC gave us the biggest eye in the Atlantic in recent memory! Storm is a beast, also ACE is going to be through the roof with this one Well according to One person it’s in Poor shape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Larry has a huge circulation. But its new massive eyewall might be moving just fast enough with respect to oceanic heat content to do something special over night, perhaps not seen in the Atlantic since Isabel: A giant annular intensifying major hurricane. Category four intensity seems in reach as the presentation continues to improve. Could it make a run at Isabel's lofty status as the most powerful annular 'cane? If it can maintain forward motion enough to avoid its own upwelling we could definitely see some significant intensification here. But Isabel is the rarest of the rare, so probably no... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 I better be able to count at least 10 MVs in the eye or it's a bust. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 6, 2021 Author Share Posted September 6, 2021 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Rare and pretty caneSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 20 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Rare and pretty cane Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk That reminded me of a "rare and different tune", Terrapin Station. Then it hit me that if Larry was cruising along to a song, it would be that song -- growing, spinning, never ending.... While crickets and cicadas singa rare and different tuneTerrapin station In the shadow of the moon, terrapin stationAnd I know we'll be there soon, terrapin I can't figure out, terrapinif it's the end or beginning, terrapinBut the train's put it's brakes on, terrapinAnd the whistle is screaming, terrapin 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 That reminded me of a "rare and different tune", Terrapin Station. Then it hit me that if Larry was cruising along to a song, it would be that song -- growing, spinning, never ending....While crickets and cicadas singa rare and different tuneTerrapin station In the shadow of the moon, terrapin stationAnd I know we'll be there soon, terrapin I can't figure out, terrapinif it's the end or beginning, terrapinBut the train's put it's brakes on, terrapinAnd the whistle is screaming, terrapin You welcome!Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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