LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Larry’s taking off this evening. Nice blowup of convection in the inner core and a warming eye. Outflow is incredible in all sectors. It looks to me like some mid level dry sir has been hampering the eyewall from closing off and this convection will likely do the trick in mixing that out. This storm will be a beast over the next couple of days, will be fun to watch evolve Agreed. And this will be far from a fish storm. This will be a prolific swell producer that will lead to beach erosion and wash overs up and down the east coast. And being after prime beach season most beaches will not have life guards to keep idiots out of the water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Eye doesn't look quite symmetrical, but look at that outflow and buzz saw look. Would not be surprised if this is a Cat 3 on the next update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Recent satellite estimates support an upgrade to Category 3. The NHC's 00z best track analysis now shows 100 kts. Since we do not have recon data to overrule estimates, this is most likely the upgrade intensity on the next advisory package, 11PM AST.AL, 12, 2021090400, , BEST, 0, 152N, 427W, 100, 964, HU 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Has better looking outflow than Ida or Grace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, Amped said: Has better looking outflow than Ida or Grace. no land masses in the atlantic ocean.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 I thought it would be "more perfect" by now. Still impressive though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 As expected now a major hurricane as per NHC 11:00 PM AST Fri Sep 3Location: 15.5°N 43.3°WMoving: WNW at 16 mphMin pressure: 965 mbMax sustained: 115 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 How soon can they start recon missions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 About to have a truck tire eye structure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 What a beaut!Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 10 hours ago, Prospero said: I thought it would be "more perfect" by now. Still impressive though. Looks like it might get that given it is expected to reach 140 mph. Lets hope it stays away from land(including Bermuda). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Annular atlantic hurricanes are a rarity compared to the other basins. I think there's only a 1% of all storms ever becoming annular there while in the pacific its closer to 3% Interesting too that this is becoming annular around the same time and the same part of the basin as Isabel did in 2003. That's probably because the waters there aren't super warm since annular canes need 25c-28c water to form 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 11:00 AM AST Sat Sep 4 Location: 16.8°N 45.8°W Moving: WNW at 15 mph Min pressure: 958 mb Max sustained: 125 mph From NHC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Gfs is still a miss but is it possible both lows can phase with each other and cause a fujiwhara? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Larry could stay major for the next 6 days as shown by some models. That would account for more than half of the 2021 NATL ACE at the time of dissipation. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Oh man, Larry is checking all my boxes here:• Cape Verde Hurricane • Minimal land threat • Major Hurricane Status • Rapid Intensification • Large eye • Annular characteristics • Daylight hours (visible satellite presentation) Yes, I am a weenie. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Happy 4 larry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 27 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is still a miss but is it possible both lows can phase with each other and cause a fujiwhara? I am pretty sure that is a non tropical low off the SE coast. So no Fujiwara. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 I am pretty sure that is a non tropical low off the SE coast. So no Fujiwara.It's the TC the GFS evolves out of 91L. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Love a fish spinner on a Saturday afternoon. Hoping it stays as such, but fun for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 One of the last shots before sunsetSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Guidance is allowing greater confident this remains east of Bermuda and keeps them out of the core. The remaining threats would be large swells for the ECONUS seaboard and problems for maritime shipping interests. But direct landfall is becoming unlikely, which is good news. Hopefully no wild swings back west until the track is locked in.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 45 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: One of the last shots before sunset Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Wow, looks even better after the sun set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Wow, looks even better after the sun set.Finally cleared the eyeSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 34 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Finally cleared the eye Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk I suspect it is not as clear as it appears, the visible just earlier with the sun was less clear. But it sure looks clear, doesn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 5 hours ago, Wannabehippie said: I am pretty sure that is a non tropical low off the SE coast. So no Fujiwara. While Fujiwara refers to tropical systems, I think it is driven by mid level lows close enough to influence each other. I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Looks like some erosion of the SW eyewall, maybe some dry air got in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 16 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Looks like some erosion of the SW eyewall, maybe some dry air got in? yea, weird. The 96 frame IR clip shows it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 4, 2021 Share Posted September 4, 2021 Like a small wound to Larry's eye. Filling in already, but weird. OK, I'm not supposed to say anything, but I "hear" dropping high CBD hemp seeds into a hurricane eye can throw it off. I guess the eye relaxes. They tried high THC but the effects it made the eye tighter and turned it red. Can't remember if it is Russia, China, or Jamaica. Whoever, maybe they are playing with Larry? Damn long flight though from anywhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 3 hours ago, Prospero said: Love a fish spinner on a Saturday afternoon. Hoping it stays as such, but fun for now. It looks crazy as a shithouse rat in this pic! Glad it is for the fishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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