Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It will rain, but annoying to have a pedestrian event ruin the day. May as well get 5"+ to make it worthy. Just not sure that is here...maybe S coast? I think Everyone about ORH south he’s in that 3-7” range. That’s wild . Especially considering water tables are at ground level and most of it falls in 6-8 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think Everyone about ORH south he’s in that 3-7” range. That’s wild . Especially considering water tables are at ground level and most of it falls in 6-8 hours Those higher amounts are questionable based on some guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Although I will say as this goes ET, it could throw curve balls. We'll see how today goes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 2-3” Seems reasonable for most areas S. of the pike. That’s plenty on top of all we had. And we don’t even need that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 6z EPS juiced. I think the real FF will occur just near and north of warm front. That's where clusters of convection could pop and train. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 6z EPS juiced. I think the real FF will occur just near and north of warm front. That's where clusters of convection could pop and train. for where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think Everyone about ORH south he’s in that 3-7” range. That’s wild . Especially considering water tables are at ground level and most of it falls in 6-8 hours yeah someone will see some quick flash flooding for sure with this...the question is exactly where. Perhaps closer to the stalled front which would be the south coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Those higher amounts are questionable based on some guidance. tropical moisture interacting with a front-I'll take the over anyday on that. The rain we had with the remnants of Henri was crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: for where? Wherever the warm front is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Just now, Brian5671 said: tropical moisture interacting with a front-I'll take the over anyday on that. The rain we had with the remnants of Henri was crazy Right, but again where does the warm front go. The low will be south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 EPS crush job. I would be worried if I lived by any kind of small stream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: tropical moisture interacting with a front-I'll take the over anyday on that. The rain we had with the remnants of Henri was crazy Ya it rained a lot here too with Henri..pretty much all day last Monday as it meandered around. This should be interesting too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 You want to see what Cat 2 winds will do look at the pics from interior LA and they don't have the trees we do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Modest flooding on main streams rivers and perhaps low end-moderate on intermediate tributaries ... So I guess the bottom third of Little League green oil drum garbage can under water either by a field puddle or the near-by brook over its banks. next - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You want to see what Cat 2 winds will do look at the pics from interior LA and they don't have the trees we do. I shudder to think of what that will be like here when it happens. No power for months Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: I shudder to think of what that will be like here when it happens. No power for months ...and the people who are hoping for a cat 2/3 are out of their minds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: ...and the people who are hoping for a cat 2/3 are out of their minds I was kind of glad when Henri busted. Sure we all want to see a big storm in our backyard but the aftermath would suck.... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: ...and the people who are hoping for a cat 2/3 are out of their minds You know the deal…they’re just hoping for exciting weather…nothing more. Cat 3 up here is a once in 2 lifetimes storm. Last one was 1938, hasn’t been one since. I wouldn’t be too worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: You know the deal…they’re just hoping for exciting weather…nothing more. Cat 3 up here is a once in 2 lifetimes storm. Last one was 1938, hasn’t been one since. I wouldn’t be too worried. Carol in 54 crushed and was a 3 at LF in Old Saybrook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Carol in 54 crushed and was a 3 at LF in Old Saybrook Really?? Hmm Never knew that. Interesting. Obviously long before both our times. I just thought it was ‘38. Thanks for that tid bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Really?? Hmm Never knew that. Interesting. Obviously long before both our times. I just thought it was ‘38. Thanks for that tid bit. yeah it was '38 but just a bit further east. Was trucking too-moving NNE about 35mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Really?? Hmm Never knew that. Interesting. Obviously long before both our times. I just thought it was ‘38. Thanks for that tid bit. 1938 is the benchmark hurricane for the region, but Carol was big time. Catastrophic surge and damage in SE CT and RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Modest flooding on main streams rivers and perhaps low end-moderate on intermediate tributaries ... So I guess the bottom third of Little League green oil drum garbage can under water either by a field puddle or the near-by brook over its banks. next - Guess you missed what happened in July down here from 5 inches of rain in Ashford Eastford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: yeah it was '38 but just a bit further east. Was trucking too-moving NNE about 35mph. So carol wasn’t a cat 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 1938 is the benchmark hurricane for the region, but Carol was big time. Catastrophic surge and damage in SE CT and RI. Carol was smaller than '38 too...it was more tropical and had an intact eyewall at landfall whereas the '38 storm was going extratropical with baroclinic assist....which why the worst winds in 1938 were over eastern MA/E CT/RI even though the center actually tracked over western CT and western MA near the NY border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 1938 is the benchmark hurricane for the region, but Carol was big time. Catastrophic surge and damage in SE CT and RI. Oh yes I realize that ‘38 was the king. But was carol a cat 3 as Kevin said? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Really?? Hmm Never knew that. Interesting. Obviously long before both our times. I just thought it was ‘38. Thanks for that tid bit. 1,545 houses were destroyed and another 9,720 were damaged. Approximately 3,500 cars and 3,000 boats were destroyed. There were 65 deaths and 1,000 injuries in New England. T 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: So carol wasn’t a cat 3? Yes it was...it was a minimal cat 3 at landfall in RI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: Oh yes I realize that ‘38 was the king. But was carol a cat 3 as Kevin said? It was. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yes it was...it was a minimal cat 3 at landfall in RI. Totally tropical as well with the clear eye going over Groton Ct. My hometown was in the right front quadrant 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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