WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 12:13 AM, CoastalWx said: That run went wild. Wraps up last minute for more heavy rain and strong winds here. Expand This is one hell of a setup for a high end rainfall event IMO. Don't really care much about wind potential until we're closer. Someone is going to see a significant flash flood event, but where the stripe of most efficient rain production is still a bit of an open question (though PA is probably in trouble). That said, even a widespread area of high but not extreme rainfall is going to be bad for smaller rivers and creeks. Especially here. I know Elsa and Fred were big rain producers, but the widespread nature of 2-4" rainfall on the guidance has me wondering the last time we saw anything like that from a tropical standpoint. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Ensemble getting pretty up there relative to climatology. WPC discussion notes the possibility for a high risk at some point, though most likely somewhere in PA. Gotta watch where the f-gen is strongest. Someone is going to get smoked where that moisture converges near the hung up front. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 2:00 AM, Hoth said: Ensemble getting pretty up there relative to climatology. WPC discussion notes the possibility for a high risk at some point, though most likely somewhere in PA. Gotta watch where the f-gen is strongest. Someone is going to get smoked where that moisture converges near the hung up front. Expand Yeah, it’s ugly. Nothing to scoff at up here too in CT. High resolution models will be crazy lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 0z Nam ticks N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Gfs and uncle further south gives us some but not as much as earlier.. Nam north I dont think we really know until tomorrow the earliest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Euro starting to trend south still 3 to 5 from about the pike south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 EPS a little south too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 6:19 AM, ineedsnow said: Euro starting to trend south still 3 to 5 from about the pike south Expand On 8/31/2021 at 7:46 AM, CoastalWx said: EPS a little south too. Expand On 8/31/2021 at 5:39 AM, ineedsnow said: Gfs and uncle further south gives us some but not as much as earlier.. Nam north I dont think we really know until tomorrow the earliest Expand So not a north trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 The existing flash flood watch has been expanded further north to include the urban areas of Springfield, Worcester, and Boston. An expansion of this watch further northward may be necessary in future updates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 9:05 AM, Damage In Tolland said: The existing flash flood watch has been expanded further north to include the urban areas of Springfield, Worcester, and Boston. An expansion of this watch further northward may be necessary in future updates. Expand 6z ICON floods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 some models developing a low by NC in 4 to 5 days or so with a piece of IDA it looks like... kind of interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 I don’t think anyone south of the pike is escaping big rains… north…. We’ll see 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 6z GFS is pretty meh Hartford north even south of Hartford it seems to have trimmed down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Ugh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 10:15 AM, Ginx snewx said: Ugh Expand Congrats Frostburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Damn today might be the last pool day of the year. Euro has 5 inches of rain this week and a 59/54 day Thursday then mid 70s over upper 50s low 60s next 10 days. With shorter days, lower sun angle, and low dews that signals a death knoll for pool temps. Some summers end late September this one is rolling up the carpet very early. Not to say it won't get warm mid month on but by then its too late. Oh well twas a good run in June and August. 4 pool overflows though if this week pans out. Water water everywhere. Lets see if a CT station can break the all time 71 inch record for the year. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Looks like a severe threat on Labor Day itself as dews come back up and a stronger cool front coming 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 18z Euro really shit itself yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 10:33 AM, CoastalWx said: South. Expand AEEKT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 11:42 AM, moneypitmike said: AEEKT Expand Bump north but a bit tamer on the 6z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 11:42 AM, moneypitmike said: AEEKT Expand Wrong . You’ll flood there by that river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 12:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Wrong . You’ll flood there by that river Expand Aint nothing south about this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 12:22 PM, Ginx snewx said: Aint nothing south about this. Expand Nothing special either. Probably too far north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 12:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Nothing special either. Probably too far north. Expand Wait wut, 4 plus inches is nothing special? Have you lost your perception? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 12:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Bump north but a bit tamer on the 6z euro. Expand hopefully it bumps north to canada, don't really want anymore rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 12:34 PM, Ginx snewx said: Wait wut, 4 plus inches is nothing special? Have you lost your perception? Expand He wants it so badly not to rain and whiff . Meanwhile it may flood to Dendy if north trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 11:38 AM, CoastalWx said: 18z Euro really shit itself yesterday. Expand The new 18Z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 On 8/31/2021 at 12:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said: He wants it so badly not to rain and whiff . Meanwhile it may flood to Dendy if north trends continue Expand It will rain, but annoying to have a pedestrian event ruin the day. May as well get 5"+ to make it worthy. Just not sure that is here...maybe S coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now