WxWatcher007 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 12 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: I was unfortunately subject to NAM play by play in the Henri forum last week that will not be happening again I hope. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 this storm is finally growing some balls 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 Was the 3km NAM posted yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 35 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: The swamp animals are going nuts outside @Prospero it’s the ultimate cacophony. They know a hurricane is brewing near by. Also saw the full moon rising through outflow cirrus, it’s really cool Is weather folklore an under graduate or graduate class? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: If Henri was that bad, sandy must have been absolutely horrible every single NAM run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 I love Windspeed's input and we go back a long time, but I just realized he uses the acronym "PV" quite a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: I love Windspeed's input and we go back a long time, but I just realized he uses the acronym "PV" quite a bit. Now see I thought the acronym was for polar vortex...but I assumed it meant something else here, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now see I thought acronym that was for polar vortex...but I assumed it meant something else here, lol Potential vorticity. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 4 hours ago, Floydbuster said: I love Windspeed's input and we go back a long time, but I just realized he uses the acronym "PV" quite a bit. 4 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now see I thought the acronym was for polar vortex...but I assumed it meant something else here, lol That’s the only PV I recognize since there’s no such thing as winter on the east coast anymore 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 Any chance this hits NYC 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 27, 2021 Author Share Posted August 27, 2021 I love Windspeed's input and we go back a long time, but I just realized he uses the acronym "PV" quite a bit.Is that one of your petPVs? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 Weird seeing Houma in the center of the cone after doing a road trip out there a month back. It didn't strike me as a place that would take a direct hit from a major 'cane that well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 Louisiana took such a beating last year. Really not what they need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 Someone I think might be a Juggalo was talking about taking his kids to chase in New Orleans and see a Cat 5. Might be in the other thread Grape Faygo or some such name. That he has bred already is disappointing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 @WxWatcher007 you plan to chase this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 maybe this depicts the maximum theoretical strength that the hurricane could get based off of ocean temps but idk... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 I’ve considered chasing this, but pretty sure my car would get destroyed, which is not worth it... I guess other chasers just get rental cars and trash them? I’m not willing to do that cause it’s against the Torah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: maybe this depicts the maximum theoretical strength that the hurricane could get based off of ocean temps but idk... obviously not realistic but..... still funny to look at the same model also shows 200 knot winds or 230 mph at 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 19 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: maybe this depicts the maximum theoretical strength that the hurricane could get based off of ocean temps but idk... Probably would have gotten down to about 700mb by landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tezeta Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 57 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: Someone I think might be a Juggalo was talking about taking his kids to chase in New Orleans and see a Cat 5. Might be in the other thread Grape Faygo or some such name. That he has bred already is disappointing. Blueberry faygo. It’s a hippity hop song for the youth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tezeta Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 23 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: I’ve considered chasing this, but pretty sure my car would get destroyed, which is not worth it... I guess other chasers just get rental cars and trash them? I’m not willing to do that cause it’s against the Torah Just drive better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Rvarookie said: @WxWatcher007 you plan to chase this one? Unfortunately I have a horribly timed family obligation I can’t get out of. It happens. 1 hour ago, turtlehurricane said: I’ve considered chasing this, but pretty sure my car would get destroyed, which is not worth it... I guess other chasers just get rental cars and trash them? I’m not willing to do that cause it’s against the Torah If you get a rental and the car gets trashed, it’s a bad trip. Hasn’t happened to me yet (knocks wood) but the closest I came was Florence when my hotel was surrounded by water. That said, because I planned ahead and was in a good spot, it was never really in danger. This is not directed at you but I’ve seen some posts here about chasing from what seem to be newbies and I’d just say chasing isn’t a getaway or low stress endeavor. It’s an extraordinary amount of work (if you’re doing it right) and can be very dangerous. I’d strongly advise any first timer to start with something less intense unless they plan to be much further inland where impacts will be reduced. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 No, it is not too early to start evacuation. We are 48 hours or less out from the impact of the storm, and it is wildly irresponsible for a met or pro broadcaster or whatever he is to poo poo this. It is always better to be safe than sorry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 26 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Unfortunately I have a horribly timed family obligation I can’t get out of. It happens. If you get a rental and the car gets trashed, it’s a bad trip. Hasn’t happened to me yet (knocks wood) but the closest I came was Florence when my hotel was surrounded by water. That said, because I planned ahead and was in a good spot, it was never really in danger. This is not directed at you but I’ve seen some posts here about chasing from what seem to be newbies and I’d just say chasing isn’t a getaway or low stress endeavor. It’s an extraordinary amount of work (if you’re doing it right) and can be very dangerous. I’d strongly advise any first timer to start with something less intense unless they plan to be much further inland where impacts will be reduced. Some of us who live in Hurricane prone areas just chase at home. I expect one day I will be posting the moment by moment videos and pictures until we lose power and internet access. I hope it is not Ida, but so far appears it will not be a Florida Gulf Coast storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 19 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: No, it is not too early to start evacuation. We are 48 hours or less out from the impact of the storm, and it is wildly irresponsible for a met or pro broadcaster or whatever he is to poo poo this. It is always better to be safe than sorry. Imagine the traffic jam tomorrow night if Ida stays on track and strengthens like the models predict. I wouldn't want to be in that. I'd prefer to be in one of the remaining hotel rooms that people who leave today can get lucky to check into to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Prospero said: Some of us who live in Hurricane prone areas just chase at home. I expect one day I will be posting the moment by moment videos and pictures until we lose power and internet access. I hope it is not Ida, but so far appears it will not be a Florida Gulf Coast storm. Always better to chase at home Unless it’s an EF-4 or Category 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tezeta Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Always better to chase at home Unless it’s an EF-4 or Category 4 Ef4 IMBY was my best ever chase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Always better to chase at home Unless it’s an EF-4 or Category 4 I will say I am usually up before dawn and am known to be one the first to drive around checking damage and storm surges. Lucky to have a good friend and client who is a tree service guy. Our home is one of the first on his list for his predawn drive and a few times after storms we are texting at 5:00 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 27, 2021 Author Share Posted August 27, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 27, 2021 Author Share Posted August 27, 2021 A PRE may be setting up over SE LA ahead of Ida. The upper trough is increasing lapse rates with significant ice particles bring detected due to strong updrafts. 2-3"/hr rates is going to kickoff a big head start for inland and coast flooding for low lying areas well before Ida outer bands begin their impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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