Vice-Regent Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, zinski1990 said: Whats with these storms past few years just suddenly strengthening right before landfall You got it backwards. What was it before with the sudden weakening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Gosh…I hope it brings Drew Brees back from the retirement home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Wedding photo shoot happening right now on the French quarter webcam https://www.earthcam.com/usa/louisiana/neworleans/bourbonstreet/?cam=catsmeow2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Is 'GPM' on the Tropical Tidbits recon page just a reference to meters. Is this plane 3 km up? Altitude: 2989 gpm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Eye wobble W on satellite. Probably a trochoidal wobble, or whatever it is called in stronger storms, but enough of those can add up (if it doesn't have as many corresponding N wobbles), and sparing the most people the eyewall is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: Is 'GPM' on the Tropical Tidbits recon page just a reference to meters. Is this plane 3 km up? Altitude: 2989 gpm Google usually helps. GPM sounds like a unit of speed or fluid flow, not altitude. Oh, 954 mb, the ADT was w/i 1 mb of interpolated plane pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: Google usually helps. GPM sounds like a unit of speed or fluid flow, not altitude. Oh, 954 mb, the ADT was w/i 1 mb of interpolated plane pressure. Oh! I believe that GPM stands for geopotential meters, which is a measurement of altitude. "Geopotential height approximates the actual height of a pressure surface above mean sea-level. Therefore, a geopotential height observation represents the height of the pressure surface on which the observation was taken." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 interesting note: Hurricane Katrina made landfall on Aug 29, 2005 at 11:10z at the Mississippi River delta.(Monday morning). Hurricane Ida will be making landfall on Aug 29 2021, most likely a little west of the Mississippi River delta, on a Sunday. Edit: Katrina also continued made a landfall near Gulfport, MS and Bay St. Louis MS a couple of hours later. I saved this image on GRLevel3 (which was a relatively new program at the time) Time Zone is Eastern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I like to watch TWC during hurricanes for the trainwreck quality but they’ve just outdone themselves. They said goodnight, I figured it was a new rotation of staff coming in, local on the 8’s started... and local on the 8’s stayed. I think they all went to bed. There’s no coverage, just a loop of graphics and REALLY repetitive music. 10/10 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chinook said: interesting note: Hurricane Katrina made landfall on Aug 29, 2005 at 11:10z at the Mississippi River delta.(Monday morning). Hurricane Ida will be making landfall on Aug 29 2021, most likely a little west of the Mississippi River delta, on a Sunday. That is an insane coincidence...wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Anyone else notice the crazy looking supercell on IR to the west of the storm? That thing deserves a name also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Cat 4 on this NE-SW pass or nah? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, jojo762 said: Cat 4 on this NE-SW pass or nah? I’ll guess 120 for S&G’s.. but maybe 115 could be realistic (knots) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, NaoPos said: I’ll guess 120 for S&G’s.. but maybe 115 could be realistic (knots) 115kt seems reasonable. I'll say we get cat 4 winds either this pass, or the next NE quad pass.. Been going off for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 People are missing the squiggly band on radar too. Edit: here's a better shot of it. Can't say I've seen that before 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Not downplaying it but hopefully the late bloom will limit the surge some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 54 minutes ago, bobbutts said: Not downplaying it but hopefully the late bloom will limit the surge some. It should but obviously will still be really bad. 10-15' instead of 15-20'+ but the former is what is forecasted anyway at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 A tornado watch will be needed soon for Southeast Louisiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Why is nhc not flying more planes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 There were some pretty bad takes, especially from a pro forecaster like Eskimo joe, on this. Lake effect king made one post and was spot on. hopefully though this doesn’t turn out as bad as it looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 as much as we dont like it when a plan has to turn around, imagine the crew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Another plane with mechanical problems? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Jma model now has this moving directly over new orleans. Every model has come closer to new orleans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 It’s the suck zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 9 minutes ago, Nibor said: Damn, that plane had barely tasted a cloud before it started huffing and puffing and making a 180. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 22 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: There were some pretty bad takes, especially from a pro forecaster like Eskimo joe, on this. Lake effect king made one post and was spot on. hopefully though this doesn’t turn out as bad as it looks. most were off on either strength or landfall position. My take is still in play! I can't believe I am up all night following this thing. RI took off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Current mesos appear in tandem. appears a more northern/nw track once and if the other meso swings around east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 So shrimp bust, sounds bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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