Tezeta Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 No plane is amazing for the board. Without in situ obs to ground our posts we can project our own fantasies more effectively. 2 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Tezeta said: No plane is amazing for the board. Without in situ obs to ground our posts we can project our own fantasies more effectively. Gonna be last year's Eta hilarious fantasy chaos as the next plane approaches the center. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Looking at the wind direction and speed even now it is easy to see where the water will pile up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tezeta Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, cptcatz said: Gonna be last year's Eta hilarious fantasy chaos as the next plane approaches the center. Yeah. The greatest moments happen when everyone is making stuff up. Constant recon spoils the magic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, Tezeta said: No plane is amazing for the board. Without in situ obs to ground our posts we can project our own fantasies more effectively. Setting the O/U on the term “annular” being used at 3.5 hours. 7 minutes ago, cptcatz said: Gonna be last year's Eta hilarious fantasy chaos as the next plane approaches the center. One of the most hilarious moments I’ve seen on AmWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 It is too bad recon is gone for awhile, eye going pinhole on the rapid-scan. I'm just gonna say it now: this is going to strengthen to a Cat 5 with winds of 160-180 mph tonight. Caveat is eye will collapse into an ERC at some point later, hopefully recon gets there before ERC. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tezeta Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, turtlehurricane said: I'll be first to officially call that this is becoming a Cat 5 tonight, it's totally obvious with pinhole eye and solid ring of deep convection. 160-180 mph winds. Caveat is ERC is coming, so hopefully recon gets there before ERC in order to verify. Apparently this post is too hot for main thread so I'm putting it here. It’s ok. prospero and I accept you on our island of misfit toys. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, Tezeta said: It’s ok. prospero and I accept you on our island of misfit toys. We need a home, and tonight, this is it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Agree on ETA last year that was truly hilarious shit. Looking forward to maybe some of that tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Best I've seen from the start. But I was out for a few hours today and didn't read the hundreds of posts I missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 37 minutes ago, Prospero said: Go to the real Ida forum and want to comment. But the banter is better for me. Hanging out at the "Ida Bar and Grill" is lose and fun. Although I was wondering if we need an Ida Banter-Banter thread as well. LOL Another mission turned back during a peak time. UGH! Again! No matter what tomorrow morning is when it's time for the really serious stuff. Even on the real thread it is still an educated stream of consciousness of opinions and ideas. Ida is real, for sure. Still not a Yucatan looking storm. There is an off topic thread for IDA also so 3 threads. Talk of shrimp people, shrimp people land, 5 day bans that are then reversed, etc. These threads are making we want shrimp and fries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I am the weather expert in my home. My wife keeps asking me for the past couple days where Ida will hit. I tell her where "shrimp people" live. We both are ready for shrimp as well. Kind of a new rule for myself; Drinking beer watching a storm, stick to Banter. It's hard sometimes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said: Or maybe you should stop with the misogynistic attitude It’s okay. I’m here now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Buoy just off SE Louisiana gusting to 105 mph. Possible temporal anomaly? Did Ida get so strong that it is shredding apart space-time?!? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: Buoy just off SE Louisiana gusting to 105 mph. Possible temporal anomaly? Did Ida get so strong that it is shredding apart space-time?!? You really need a disclaimer weenie tag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: You really need a disclaimer weenie tag Meteoweenist? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, jburns said: Meteoweenist? Wait…you’re still here? I thought you retired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, lilj4425 said: Wait…you’re still here? I thought you retired. I died but I didn’t retire. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, jburns said: I died but I didn’t retire. Ohh….Whew. I was getting worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said: Buoy just off SE Louisiana gusting to 105 mph. Possible temporal anomaly? Did Ida get so strong that it is shredding apart space-time?!? It is strange. Says "SE at 105 MPH", but the graph shows around 60-70. I've looked all over SailFlow and don't see that buoy so can't look there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Ida looks strong, but still not perfect. I'd be concerned being in its way, but relieved the hype so far is fading. Good thing it hasn't reached where we were thinking it would be, at least so far. Dry air trying to come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, Prospero said: Ida looks strong, but still not perfect. I'd be concerned being in its way, but relieved the hype so far is fading. Good thing it hasn't reached where we were thinking it would be, at least so far. Dry air trying to come in. It’s going to be a beautiful tornado. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, Prospero said: Ida looks strong, but still not perfect. I'd be concerned being in its way, but relieved the hype so far is fading. Good thing it hasn't reached where we were thinking it would be, at least so far. Dry air trying to come in. Now hang on...if this still ends up reaching a Cat 4...what hype would be faded? Has that not been the forecast? As @40/70 Benchmark alluded to...even intensification at the rate of the last several hours would still put us there! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 So, going over Cuba may have caused it's weakened potential? All those strange little issues with the eye and the convection around it that never let a full-blown intensification happen. Sure, why not. Some kind of land-swirl from Cuba that followed Ida into the hot ass Gulf with very little shear. Seemed to be stacked and symmetric, but the lingering Cuba affect hung on. I'm sure there is a better explanation, but I'm not a met, just an old watcher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now hang on...if this still ends up reaching a Cat 4...what hype would be faded? Has that not been the forecast? As @40/70 Benchmark alluded to...even intensification at the rate of the last several hours would still put us there! Granted I accept it could even be a Cat 5 tomorrow morning. But I along with many expected 4 or 5 today. I did have my doubts being a "Gulf" storm, but probably deep down thought I was way wrong. When I went to bed last night I thought I'd wake up to a solid 2 or 3. I will be up early tomorrow and can't even take a wild guess right now. Might be the same as it is now, give or take a Cat. Does look good now though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, Prospero said: Granted I accept it could even be a Cat 5 tomorrow morning. But I along with many expected 4 or 5 today. I did have my doubts being a "Gulf" storm, but probably deep down thought I was way wrong. When I went to bed last night I thought I'd wake up to a solid 2 or 3. I will be up early tomorrow and can't even take a wild guess right now. Might be the same as it is now, give or take a Cat. Does look good now though... We really won't know until we know. Everyone(media included)thought NO had escaped...and then the flooding started being known...not to mention that 300+people would have died in MS/etc even if nobody was killed in the NO metro area. Katrina did not look so good coming in. We all know what happened. This is still up in the air somewhat-looking closer and closer to NO proper also. We will just have to wait and see. Hopefully it somehow struggles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Down The Rabbit Hole Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 What effect might downslope winds off the mountains of western Cuba have on the dry air we saw Ida struggling with today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 19 minutes ago, Prospero said: Granted I accept it could even be a Cat 5 tomorrow morning. But I along with many expected 4 or 5 today. I did have my doubts being a "Gulf" storm, but probably deep down thought I was way wrong. When I went to bed last night I thought I'd wake up to a solid 2 or 3. I will be up early tomorrow and can't even take a wild guess right now. Might be the same as it is now, give or take a Cat. Does look good now though... Did you just say "give or take a Cat?" Hahaha I'm just picturing a met giving a forecast..."Yeah so we got a hurricane about to hit us--gonna be 3...give or take a Cat" Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 omfg storm2k has an argument over the ethics of admiring powerful hurricanes every couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I want this hurricane to be the strongest of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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