SnowenOutThere Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 The second I go to sleep this thing takes off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 nola seemed p confident in the levee situation when it looked like a miss just west with a cat 3, how much wiggle room does an operational levee system offer for a direct hit cat 4+? and idk about you all but i expect these big federal levee projects were rife with grift and shoddy workmanship because it's the american way, would personally not trust 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 10:39 AM, A-L-E-K said: nola seemed p confident in the levee situation when it looked like a miss just west with a cat 3, how much wiggle room does an operational levee system offer for a direct hit cat 4+? and idk about you all but i expect these big federal levee projects were rife with grift and shoddy workmanship because it's the american way, would personally not trust Expand I think they are rated for a CAT 3 and no climate change? Don't know for sure but we do typically only build back things to prevent what happened (CAT 3) and not what could happen (this thing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 7:25 AM, KPITSnow said: There were some pretty bad takes, especially from a pro forecaster like Eskimo joe, on this. Lake effect king made one post and was spot on. hopefully though this doesn’t turn out as bad as it looks. Expand All your takes have been spot on though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 10:51 AM, JC-CT said: All your takes have been spot on though. Expand I don't generally make predictions on things that I am very uneducated on, and also generally trust the mets as well. Almost every Met on here was saying this exact thing was likely to happen, yet a couple people continually poo pooed this, with Eskimo Joe saying evacuations were irresponsible. We've gotten relatively lucky for years. We have not had a "big one" that went over a major population center, and have mostly avoided big hits directly on Houston, NOLA, and the atlantic Florida coast and even the florida gulf coast. This however is looking like the one we have feared for years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 10:57 AM, KPITSnow said: Almost every Met on here was saying this exact thing was likely to happen, yet a couple people continually poo pooed this, with Eskimo Joe saying evacuations were irresponsible. Expand I certainly missed that part, ooph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 10:58 AM, JC-CT said: I certainly missed that part, ooph Expand He does it with every storm, decrying the economic impact. The problem is that yeah, 95% of the time the evacuations aren't needed but that other 5% you risk a disaster. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 NOAA3 Mission #2 into IDAType: Low-level Reconnaissance | Status: In StormAs of 10:38 UTC Aug 29, 2021: hasnt reported in a while, probably done with that one, down to 1 plane now until landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 11:01 AM, KPITSnow said: He does it with every storm, decrying the economic impact. The problem is that yeah, 95% of the time the evacuations aren't needed but that other 5% you risk a disaster. Expand Good call New Orleans is screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 11:09 AM, MJO812 said: Good call New Orleans is screwed Expand Well at long as the floodwalls hold they wont be totally screwed, of course quite possibly getting NE eyewall of a Cat 4+ is bad enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 of course, now that plane is registering again LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Was not expecting my 150mph call to possibly bust on the low side. I hope my friend's building can withstand Cat 5 sustained winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 11:15 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Nam is not to be used for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting. Expand Neither are you. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandyHolt Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I have heard some say its too late to get out. Call me crazy but if I were on that south side, roads looking clear, I would get the **** out. Seems dangerous to tell people to shelter versus tornado winds that are 7 hours away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 had i decided to wait until the last minute, i'd be flooring it north for sure 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 11:16 AM, KPITSnow said: Neither are you. Expand 922 might be really close Eskimo fails again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I would like to thank all the black ops ninja's for the awesomeness the past few days. It is appreciated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 11:16 AM, KPITSnow said: Neither are you. Expand Oh damn, I'm so owned. How will I ever recover from this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 11:25 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Oh damn, I'm so owned. How will I ever recover from this? Expand You should be absolutely embarrassed, as a pro forecaster, that you said on Friday it was too early to evacuate. That is honestly unacceptable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 11:25 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Oh damn, I'm so owned. How will I ever recover from this? Expand He wants you to be a better forecaster 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 nora looking mad at ida for showing her up (did not edit picture) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Does anyone have any links to good livestreams of people out in Ida? I know a ton of people went down there streaming it lol. I searched around but having a hard time finding anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 11:38 AM, TheDreamTraveler said: Does anyone have any links to good livestreams of people out in Ida? I know a ton of people went down there streaming it lol. I searched around but having a hard time finding anything Expand Links were posted in the main thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 man these first visible images r gonna be the truth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 This what all hurricanes should look like in my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/28/2021 at 9:37 PM, buckeyefan1 said: In 3-4 hours it should be doing what everyone has been waiting to see Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/29/2021 at 10:42 AM, SnowenOutThere said: I think they are rated for a CAT 3 and no climate change? Don't know for sure but we do typically only build back things to prevent what happened (CAT 3) and not what could happen (this thing). Expand The article I read suggested they were built for a 1 in 100 year storm in 2057. So they were assuming some sea level rise too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Louisiana is rather bad chase turf there is nowhere close to the projected landfall point which is safe enough. Way too vulnerable to surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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