thunderbird12 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, cheese007 said: What does that mean in layman's terms? Most important thing to note is sustained winds of 54 kt (62 mph) with gusts to 72 kt (83 mph). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 One more wobble East and NOLA city center gets that eyewall. Going to be close for them. Airport looks like it will certainly get hit by eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Crazy4Wx said: One more wobble East and NOLA city center gets that eyewall. Going to be close for them. Airport looks like it will certainly get hit by eyewall. Airport at 63 sustained and gusting to 83 as you mention that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Eye is almost closed now on IR, yet the cirrus is translucent enough to still look better on the visible satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 WVUE-TV had a gust to 108 at their studio. Edit: Now 110. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I like that comment from @LakeEffectKing yesterday. This will be 140mph morning or earlier. LOL. Made me laugh considering what happened overnight. Didnt he verbatim say this would be a 150mph ‘cane before landfall? I honestly thought the dude was nuts at the time — in spite of obviously being one of the more veteran/knowledgeable posters on the forum, from my experience. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, cheese007 said: What does that mean in layman's terms? East wind 54knots gusting to 72knots peak wind 76 knot vis. 1/4 mile heavy rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 This isn't in the eyewall but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I like that comment from @LakeEffectKing yesterday. This will be 140mph morning or earlier. LOL. Made me laugh considering what happened overnight. I have a crazy amount of respect for what LEK says. He’s been right on it A LOT over the years. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: East wind 54knots gusting to 72knots peak wind 76 knot vis. 1/4 mile heavy rain Also lightning in the distance and pressure falling rapidly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Didnt he verbatim say this would be a 150mph ‘cane before landfall? I honestly thought the dude was nuts at the time — in spite of obviously being one of the more veteran/knowledgeable posters on the forum, from my experience. This had Top end potential. Excellent outflow, moist environment, low shear, high octane fuel. Boom. And a lot of guidance showed this potential. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: This isn't in the eyewall but LAKE P is surging west now. Huge story in Katrina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: This had Top end potential. Excellent outflow, moist environment, low shear, high octane fuel. Boom. And a lot of guidance showed this potential. No doubt that it had the potential but still 150mph felt lofty, at the time IIRC it was still a 105mph storm that had been sputtering most of the day from a wind-standpoint. Great forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Any videos of Cat 4 gusts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I like that comment from @LakeEffectKing yesterday. This will be 140mph morning or earlier. LOL. Made me laugh considering what happened overnight. Thanks buddy!! Writing was on the wall... 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Any videos of Cat 4 gusts? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWCREATURE1 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 It is being reported that one of the major stations, FOX 8, has mets who are very concerned about NOLA. Certainly seems like there is serious risk, with one levee overtopping already reported. The extent of the metropolitan calamity is only now unfolding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandyHolt Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How drunk are you ? Because there’s countless videos and actual obs of 140-163 mph gusts Cheers! Are you sure those were storm chaser videos? Or, just random amateur videos making their way across the interwebs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, SNOWCREATURE1 said: It is being reported that one of the major stations, FOX 8, has mets who are very concerned about NOLA. Certainly seems like there is serious risk, with one levee overtopping already reported. The extent of the metropolitan calamity is only now unfolding. I've been watching their stream and yes, they are concerned about the city. The track has been much further east than anticipated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Didnt he verbatim say this would be a 150mph ‘cane before landfall? I honestly thought the dude was nuts at the time — in spite of obviously being one of the more veteran/knowledgeable posters on the forum, from my experience. Yeah....I thought it might get 5 mire knots...and since it's "not technically possible" to report 155, it really was a hairs breath from 160... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Any videos of Cat 4 gusts? Might be hard to guess the wind speed, but the video was in the Cat 4 zone. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Going rapidly downhill at N.O. (Ignore the 32 dewpoints). Intl Airport dropped 5 mb in the last hour and has 1/4 mile vis. There now is a whopping ~9 mb difference between there and Lakefront! N.O. INTL ARPT HVY RAIN 77 32 19 E56G83 29.01F VSB 1/4 N.O. DWNTWN HE RAIN 78 76 93 MISG N/A VSB 1 N.O. LAKEFRONT HVY RAIN 77 32 19 E46G71 29.27F VSB 1/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 14 minutes ago, Dunkman said: I have a crazy amount of respect for what LEK says. He’s been right on it A LOT over the years. Thanks bud...back attcha... Studying these things with passion over a good chunk of my 53 years, I guess has value...ie...being an old fart!! 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Not liking the slow movement....20"+ in some places I'm afraid... 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Thanks bud...back attcha... Studying these things with passion over a good chunk of my 53 years, I guess has value...ie...being an old fart!! Kudos LEK, I fall into the realm of “weenie enthusiast” but reading your stuff always is a pleasure and it’s amazing to see how close you come so often. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hollie Maea Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, Cary said: I've been watching their stream and yes, they are concerned about the city. The track has been much further east than anticipated. This is the first storm in years that iCyclone has missed badly. That’s how far off the track is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Hollie Maea said: This is the first storm in years that iCyclone has missed badly. That’s how far off the track is. He’s also limited by the terrain It’s very flat and surge problem. You need to be careful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Sure looks like Mid City NOLA is gonna catch some of that band spinning off the eyewall. Airport just getting that NE quad now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, Prospero said: Might be hard to guess the wind speed, but the video was in the Cat 4 zone. That’s the most incredible weather video I’ve ever seen 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’s also limited by the terrain It’s very flat and surge problem. You need to be careful. Better to be safe than sorry in this situation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now