Scott747 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Leading up to landfall in these last few hours and if it isn't some heavy hitting analysis or solid contributions and you see your posts removed... That's a good hint to take it to the banter thread. 12 2 5 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Dropsonde and FL data would make it reasonable to nudge this up to 135kt. A little surprised the 8am advisory didn’t do that actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, jojo762 said: Dropsonde and FL data would make it reasonable to nudge this up to 135kt. A little surprised the 8am advisory didn’t do that actually. Believe same thing happens with Micheal prior to landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Recon about to go through the NE eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: HOLY COW. That is most definitely not how you read that. It's the altimeter, which was 29.22" or around 989.5mb. Looks like he deleted both tweets fortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Buoy near grand isle.. water levels up to 3.85ft https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8761724 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, purduewx80 said: That is most definitely not how you read that. It's the altimeter, which was 29.22" or around 989.5mb. Looks like he deleted both tweets fortunately. Sorry for sharing an incorrect tweet. My apologies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Still firing off...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Pretty good wobble to the wnw in the last 30 min. Every inch counts for NoLa at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 really hope those 28 folks make it 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: That is most definitely not how you read that. It's the altimeter, which was 29.22" or around 989.5mb. Looks like he deleted both tweets fortunately. That's what I thought too -- but he clipped the GIF version instead of the flash version of ADDS, which indeed uses whole integer numbers for SLP (the flash version uses the tenths, like in METARs). Still, the lowest I can find from the station's METAR record is: KCYD 291035Z AUTO 1/4SM -RA FG OVC004 27/26 A2809 RMK A02 P0002 T02710260 Which is about 951mb. The issue is that the station didn't report an altimeter for 90m prior to that and it was on the way up -- so we don't really know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, user13 said: Pretty good wobble to the wnw in the last 30 min. Every inch counts for NoLa at this point. On current heading the airport gets that eastern eyewall. Will be so close for downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Wind gusts of 120+ mph (100+ sustained) on Mississippi Delta, these are observations that are technically on land. This is not even the eyewall!!! Just inner bands. This is extremely rare to see winds this high outside the eyewall. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: really hope those 28 folks make it I guess they wanted to test their swimming skills. Can't think of another reason to stay on a remote island in LA with a Cat 4/5 approaching. They get the darwin seal of approval. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Flagged 148kt SMFR in NE eyewallSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, turtlehurricane said: Wind gusts of 120+ mph (100+ sustained) on Mississippi Delta, these are observations that are technically on land. This is not even the eyewall!!! Just inner bands. This is extremely rare to see winds this high outside the eyewall. This bands will definitely be going over New Orleans. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Water at Shell Beach buoy is pushing 5 feet above "predicted level" https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8761305 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, jrips27 said: The station trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Looks like new drop at 140kt at the surface. Significant Wind Levels Level Wind Direction Wind Speed 951mb (Surface) 85° (from the E) 140 knots (161 mph) 945mb 85° (from the E) 139 knots (160 mph) 938mb 95° (from the E) 160 knots (184 mph) 936mb 95° (from the E) 162 knots (186 mph) 930mb 100° (from the E) 149 knots (171 mph) 916mb 105° (from the ESE) 135 knots (155 mph) 906mb 105° (from the ESE) 136 knots (157 mph) 899mb 105° (from the ESE) 130 knots (150 mph) 883mb 110° (from the ESE) 127 knots (146 mph) 863mb 105° (from the ESE) 136 knots (157 mph) 850mb 115° (from the ESE) 124 knots (143 mph) 760mb 125° (from the SE) 147 knots (169 mph) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 This webcam someone posted earlier is starting to get interesting. I wonder how much longer it'll last https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/john.humphress2.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, jrips27 said: Linky for Pilots Station East, S.W. Pass, LA - Station ID: 8760922 https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8760922 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, user13 said: Pretty good wobble to the wnw in the last 30 min. Every inch counts for NoLa at this point. When storms get this strong, they wobble like a top. a 30 min change is nothing IMHO. Next 30 it could wobble NNW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said: Flagged 148kt SMFR in NE eyewall Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk This wasn’t in the eyewall. It was over the delta (land) which caused it to get flagged 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, jcwxguy said: 162kt (186mph) maybe 100m above the surface. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Frictional effects could cause those Cat 5 like winds to mix down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now