Jaguars Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Absolutely bombing out at the worst possible time. Hope most folks got out of NOLA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Eyewall is going absolutely bonkers on GLM. Tons of lightning detected by GOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 NHC official update: 949 mb, 130 mph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Now this is the skew-t of a rapidly intensifying hurricane... wow. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: NHC official update: 949 mb, 130 mph. Cat 4 then right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: NHC official update: 949 mb, 130 mph. officially cat 4.. Glad we have recon in there right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 What an incredible few hours of strengthening. It has exceeded what it did all day in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, lilj4425 said: Cat 4 then right? Yep. Quote ...MAJOR HURRICANE IDA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...NOW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and NOAA Doppler weather radars indicate that Hurricane Ida has continued to rapidly intensify this Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are now estimated to be 130 mph (215 km/h). This makes Ida a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Ida's central pressure has fallen 6 millibars during the past hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 oh man when people wake up tomorrow…..yikes. The amount of strong mesovorts on IR is quite stunning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Euro. Think it may be a bit to far west. But I think it did move east from 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tallis Rockwell Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Category 5 on the cards here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Gotta love that last wobble N. :/ This is wild. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, STxVortex said: BULLETIN Hurricane Ida Intermediate Advisory Number 11A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021 100 AM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021 "Ida is now a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Rapid strengthening is forecast to continue during the next 12 hours or so, and Ida is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it makes landfall along the Louisiana coast this afternoon." NHC is strongly hinting at a high Cat 4 or even a Cat 5 here. At 0100h cdt report they stated 115mph sustained wind for Ida. 15 more for a 4, 157 is +42, doable in 12h? Thats the old one, new one is posted already on this page. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Landfall somewhere in Barataria Bay is looking like a pretty safe bet imo at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 AF303 is finished. Now we wait for AF302 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, jcwxguy said: Thats the old one, new one is posted already on this page. I just saw it. Ida's intensifying faster than I can read refresh and type. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, jcwxguy said: AF303 is finished. Now we wait for AF302 This plane has turned around and headed back to dry land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Navy even closer to new orleans has center about 20 mile west of city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 AF302 reconn is about 5 degrees lon, 300nm/50min, from Ida's core; perhaps 200nm from the edge. [reading for sog = 0, update late]. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, STxVortex said: I just saw it. Ida's intensifying faster than I can read refresh and type. 6mb in 1 hour is impressive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I may pull an all nighter..time to watch Camille footage to pregame 8 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Jma has it passing over new orleans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, Reb said: This plane has turned around and headed back to dry land Could you clarify that? AF303 is progressing back to KSKF. But AF302 was outbound and getting close to Ida, but the data stopped about 25 minutes ago, 0655utc [on Levi's feed]. So has AF302 been aborted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, Rjay said: 6mb in 1 hour is impressive Ramping up 15mph in one hour is even more impressive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, STxVortex said: Could you clarify that? AF303 is progressing back to KSKF. But AF302 was outbound and getting close to Ida, but the data stopped about 25 minutes ago, 0655utc [on Levi's feed]. So has AF302 been aborted? Unfortunately yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, STxVortex said: Could you clarify that? AF303 is progressing back to KSKF. But AF302 was outbound and getting close to Ida, but the data stopped about 25 minutes ago, 0655utc [on Levi's feed]. So has AF302 been aborted? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, mob1 said: Unfortunately yes Dangnabbit ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Reb said: Looking at AF 302 and 303's last reported positions I guess that I'll go outside in about 30 minutes and look for them overhead on approach to Kelly. And listen too, maybe 302 lost an engine... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, STxVortex said: Looking at AF 302 and 303's last reported positions I guess that I'll go outside in about 30 minutes and look for them overhead on approach to Kelly. And listen too, maybe 302 lost an engine... Chatter on Twitter is that NOAA P3 Orion will take off from FL shortly to intercept 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, STxVortex said: Looking at AF 302 and 303's last reported positions I guess that I'll go outside in about 30 minutes and look for them overhead on approach to Kelly. And listen too, maybe 302 lost an engine... Well, losing a engine would certainly be a good reason to not fly into a Cat 4 'cane. But what are we doing? Flying WW2 planes into hurricanes? It's 2021 for crying out loud. This program needs more funding. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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