jojo762 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 The circulation has tightened greatly on IR the last 15 minutes with miniature hot-towers going up on the north and east part of the circulation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Last few frames of visible before sunset it the eastern eye wall exploding. I think we are in for a crazy night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Just now, jojo762 said: The circulation has tightened greatly on IR the last 15 minutes with miniature hot-towers going up on the north and east part of the circulation. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-14-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, user13 said: AF plane looks like it is having issues and returning Oh man that's a bummer at this point. Also looks like the NOAA plane is finished after only two center fixes. That's strange as the storm isn't far at all from Lakeland so they should have plenty of fuel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Hopefully the next recon mission several hours from now doesn't have the same issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Really taking off around the center right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 1 minute ago, cptcatz said: Oh man that's a bummer at this point. Also looks like the NOAA plane is finished after only two center fixes. That's strange as the storm isn't far at all from Lakeland so they should have plenty of fuel. Could be equipment failure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Natester said: Hopefully the next recon mission several hours from now doesn't have the same issues. I believe it's the same plane that had issues with Henri too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Going to go out on a limb and say Ida fights pockets of dry air that prevent it from achieving Cat 4 or 5 status. It's running out of time before it begins interacting with the continental airmass. I'm very interested to see if any buoys get close to the center tonight and see what the wave height and winds are. Would give us a clue as to the potential storm surge. Which is odd because wasn't dry air supposed to be NIL? NHC was always talking about a very moist environment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Those hot towers are really zipping around the north side of the eye the past few minutes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Looking at WV. West of the keys Sarasota Tampa and the big bend of FL looks as if a low level jet/convergence band setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 NOAA plane is doing a planned spiral ascent for some sort of research purpose. Once that is complete they'll head back down to 700 millibars and continue the recon mission. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Only adjustment on 8 PM advisory is pressure is down to 969 MB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Dvorak T# estimates we are on the verge of category-three intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Getting lightning in the NW eyewall now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Ida is on its way guys. Buckle up tonight. This is the time frame of interest now. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Seems like Ida might be one of those hurricanes whose wind field might expand more than winds increasing. Pressure been dropping all day with increasing wind field but strength of winds been slower to rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, David Reimer said: NOAA plane is doing a planned spiral ascent for some sort of research purpose. Once that is complete they'll head back down to 700 millibars and continue the recon mission. For posterity. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 One more wobble north and Ida will steamroll into New Orleans. The NW track seems to have the eye wall 5-10 miles to the west. Also, looks beautiful right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Seems like Ida might be one of those hurricanes whose wind field might expand more than winds increasing. Pressure been dropping all day with increasing wind field but strength of winds been slower to rise. I would expect a rather rapid rise in winds at some point this evening as pressures keep declining. We've seen that occur with multiple hurricanes in the past where it takes several hours for the winds to respond upward. It'll probably happen rather quickly too when it finally does. The expanding wind field is likely playing a part in delaying the uptick in wind speeds too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Judging by satellite. The fact it's been wobbling so today. I honestly would not be shocked if Ida makes landfall west of Mobile Bay right into lower MS. Especially if it under goes more strengthening since the sun has gone down. 1 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, FLweather said: Judging by satellite. The fact it's been wobbling so today. I honestly would not be shocked if Ida makes landfall west of Mobile Bay right into lower MS. That’s doubtful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Eye trying to clear out. Small dry pocket to west disappearing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Eye trying to clear out. Small dry pocket to west disappearing Getting more centered within the CDO, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: That’s doubtful. But probable Just like everyone saying it's heading to New Orleans. Models can only do so much. Especially during the fact that you have a TC strengthening. I can tell you that the current center fix with a strengthening center is already too far east and curving to make landfall in New Orleans. It's going to be east. 2 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, FLweather said: But probable Just like everyone saying it's heading to New Orleans. Models can only do so much. Especially during the fact that you have a TC strengthening. I can tell you that the current center fix with a strengthening center is already too far east and curving to make landfall in New Orleans. It's going to be east. Is this turtle’s burner account? 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 So it is really just now getting into the area of really high OHC, per Levi's video? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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