Eskimo Joe Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 23 minutes ago, tim123 said: 3 km Nam shows it going to 922 mb just before landfall. Nam is not to be used for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 In terms of track comparisons, you'd have to think Betsy (1965) is somewhat comparable here. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Nam is not to be used for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting. In general but itsvthe closest to intensity 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Multiple mesovortices can be seen in the eyewall now on radar. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 KMDJ S67G85MPH as of nearly 20mins ago..S85G101MPH as of 5mins ago.Taking a hit from the NW eyewall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You might like this Recon page http://aircraft.myfoxhurricane.com/recon/recon.cgi?basin=al&year=2021&storm=Ida&product=hdob Crap information. Doesn't even show, which has been in Ida for a couple of hours: NOAA3 Mission #2 into IDA Type: Low-level Reconnaissance | Status: In Storm As of 11:08 UTC Aug 29, 2021: Aircraft Position: 28.02°N 90.00°W Bearing: 45° at 481 kt Altitude: 2441 gpm Peak 10-second Wind: 63 kt at 312° Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 993.9 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: ... Or I can just follow this thread and accept the 3 second delay, lol! Lol. I like that page.06 Z HWRF has sustained at 120 over NO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I was expecting stronger when I got up this morning, but this is definitely over my guess. We need an EWRC and fast. Main hurricane levees are at risk at this level. Any more strengthening will not help in that regard. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Nam is not to be used for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting. It might be close to that though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, csnavywx said: I was expecting stronger when I got up this morning, but this is definitely over my guess. We need an EWRC and fast. Main hurricane levees are at risk at this level. Any more strengthening will not help in that regard. We have less than 7 hours until landfall. Given the current radar and recon info i dont see how we get an EWRC started in that short of a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Really beginning to think that Nora screwed the pooch. The push from differential shear on Fri-Sat morn plus the outflow push from Nora into the TUTT over the western GOM has really left this in a bad spot. We need a lucky break now. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STxVortex Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 NOAA3 Mission #2 into IDA is in the eye for the third time right now. AF305 Mission #14 into IDA will be back for seconds in about 30 minutes. Holymoly those HH crews are working their butts off with Ida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I still think the eye goes west of lake whatever. NOLA looks to get scraped by the NE quadrant 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Seeing lightening in the eyewall again: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 A sobering wake up this am! Marshall Shepherd @DrShepherd2013 Start or continue PRAYING...#HurricaneIda catastrophic disaster unfolding. I am usually more nuanced. Not today. This is not hype. This is a professional meteorologist, director of @UGAAtmosSci and aformer Pres of @ametsoc sick to his stomach. 50 mb in 22 hr, rapid deepening 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Question is the dry slot showing in a portion of the circulation on radar a sign of dry air trying to intrude? or it is more of a radar attenuation issue? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Was only a matter of time imo. Let’s just hope for continued West wobbles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Remember, this is the one point where 5 knots of increase equates to 10 miles per hour increase. There is no such thing as a 155 mile per hour hurricane. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Grand Isle Louisiana has rapidly rising waters, per Weather Channel. Webcam is sickening... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 MTK anemometer broke after 90kts but this one just recorded 101 KMDJ 291135Z AUTO 03078G101KT 1/4SM FG BKN002 BKN019 BKN025 26/26 A2877 RMK A01 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 minute ago, LakeEffectKing said: Grand Isle Louisiana has rapidly rising waters, per Weather Channel. Webcam is sickening... They’re at 7 ft ASL. I don’t think much that isn’t reinforced will be left standing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Question is the dry slot showing in a portion of the circulation on radar a sign of dry air trying to intrude? or it is more of a radar attenuation issue?Attenuation at this point...Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 AF305 going in for a NE-quad pass… Cat 5 data incoming soon? I think so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Damn. Impressive but very ominous. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Grand Isle Louisiana has rapidly rising waters, per Weather Channel. Webcam is sickening... Do you have a webcam link? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, BretWx said: Could you share the link? https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/john.humphress2.html 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Grand Isle: https://grandislerentals1.click2stream.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 This is gonna make Katrina look like little league I fear. This is a complete monstrosity…and strengthening as it’s making landfall as quite possibly the strongest ever on top of it. Holy smokes what a storm. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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