Henri: Moderate-Major impacts NYC subforum this weekend, possibly into Monday August 21-23, 2021

[nycsnow]

Radar looks great…. For tonight lol

[psv88]

Recon found 984...

[nycwinter]

looking forward to a rainy sunday in the city..

[nycsnow]

I’m about to get more rain in the next 2 hours then what the gfs shows in the next 2 days…. Models are all over 

[Snowlover11]

wow at that 984 reading

[weatherbear5]

3 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

wow at that 984 reading

18z GFS had it at 984 at 00z, doesn’t seem like it was unexpected

[Snowlover11]

Just now, weatherbear5 said:

18z GFS had it at 984 at 00z, doesn’t seem like it was unexpected

considering what he looked like early is what is shocking.

[NJwx85]

She looks ugly on IR but the core is much better defined.

[justinj]

[NJwx85]

2 minutes ago, weatherbear5 said:

18z GFS had it at 984 at 00z, doesn’t seem like it was unexpected

The GFS is banking on a much weaker storm and that’s a big reason it’s so far East. 

[nycsnow]

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

She looks ugly on IR but the core is much better defined.

Over Gulf Stream for a few hours tonight if it’s gonna get stronger it’s gonna be now

[justinj]

Upton calling for 4-6” of rain for me in central suffolk

[weatherbear5]

7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

The GFS is banking on a much weaker storm and that’s a big reason it’s so far East. 

Well yeah, my point was at this point in time it wasn’t crazy.

 

With that being said, it looks as good as it has structurally, and convection is finally starting to burst in the southern half of the eye wall… need to watch this closely since if it does manage to strengthen rapidly it would change the equation

[qg_omega]

10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

She looks ugly on IR but the core is much better defined.

Going to lose all the convection once over cooler waters, these storms always look great on visible and awful on IR

[jlauderdal]

Very end of what lol

Right before they close for the storm, lol.

Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk

[nycsnow]

Cool website to have btw

https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/product_viewer/

[jm1220]

Pouring here in Long Beach. 

[CIK62]

Here it comes:      The GFS could be all   WET !!!      Raining in CI.

 

[Snowlover11]

regardless what happens later tonight and tomorrow.  right now heavy rain is moving in radar looks impressive over the coast, some back building also

[jm1220]

4 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

regardless what happens later tonight and tomorrow.  right now heavy rain is moving in radar looks impressive over the coast, some back building also

It’s the PRE that’s been advertised for a few days. 

[nycsnow]

Seeing some lighting pop up as well

[SnowGoose69]

33 minutes ago, justinj said:

Goodness I didn’t expect it to continue this much.  Even the HWRF went east. Could always slide west last second but I think FOK would be absolute furthest west at this stage.  I think it was able to just escape the trof enough the last 18 hours it was able to tick its way east 

[nycsnow]

Just now, jm1220 said:

It’s the PRE that’s been advertised for a few days. 

Yeah but it’s also gonna make the gfs completely wrong with its rainfall it has me only getting .5 from today till end of event lol

[weatherpruf]

3 hours ago, RutCorRX said:

Really sorry, don't want to clog thread. Have a 4 month old and wanted to visit family down in Avalon NJ. We're leaving from Hoboken. Anyone have any suggestions if we should consider Sunday a no go for travel and just leave Monday am? First real "long" drive with the new one, so I'm gonna be white knuckle enough as it is.

No just don't. You might have to stay home and monitor your own power outage. You don't want to come home to a rotten refrigerator.

[nycsnow]

Getting thunder now 

[qg_omega]

7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Goodness I didn’t expect it to continue this much.  Even the HWRF went east. Could always slide west last second but I think FOK would be absolute furthest west at this stage.  I think it was able to just escape the trof enough the last 18 hours it was able to tick its way east 

Weaker was always east

[nycsnow]

0.50 hail reported in that cell coming towards us as well as more lighting strikes per the radar scope app

[forkyfork]

we might get 1-2" from this alone, lol

[crossbowftw3]

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

we might get 1-2" from this alone, lol

How long until we see images of cats and dogs living together in the flooded apartments? Asking for a friend.

[nycsnow]

Getting lots of thunder now and theres a lot of lightning just offshore now with this