Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    18,119
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

Henri: Moderate-Major impacts NYC subforum this weekend, possibly into Monday August 21-23, 2021

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

forkyfork
forkyfork

i can't rule out a tucked in nyc landfall

hooralph
hooralph

Can we agree the worst local impact from this storm might be Cuomo grandstanding for one last briefing?

BxEngine
BxEngine

Since Long Island is further away from NYC than I am, and ive been told that im not part of this subforum…this storm wont be hitting this subforum, and all subsequent posts will be removed.    

Posted Images

wdrag

wdrag

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Last comments til possibly tomorrow morning,  Henri passage e of MTK made it easier to either the storm.  Winds may be a little less than advertised near the center but it isn't done quite yet (backside southwester this afternoon?) . Power outage map reflects recent upticks RI/CT, but good that our subforum doesn't have to deal.  There will always be critics.  They don't get paid to protect. It seems that the GFS/HWRF etc were best on tracking Henri, but horrendous on qpf. 

Rainfall next 18-30 hours hopefully works out less.  Seems to be a slight northward shift in modeled max axis...but still focuses in se NYS NJ/PA border.

Screen Shot 2021-08-22 at 11.38.22 AM.png

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites
jm1220

jm1220

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 3:29 PM, bluewave said:

Rain continuing to get heavier here in SW Suffolk as this stalled out band really means business.


991BAC11-E9E6-4AB3-8B0D-1E7EC1C009D1.thumb.jpeg.7256b193bcf23275159335150ab0df89.jpeg

Expand  

Yep it’s pouring here in Long Beach. Not as hard as last night but enough to I’m sure flood some basements. I checked out the waves-maybe 5-6 footers but 2 days before Sandy they seemed twice as high. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
winterwx21

winterwx21

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 3:29 PM, SnoSki14 said:

I'm in the screw zone. Some 6-8" maybe 15-20 miles to my south and now the heavy stuff is about 15-20 miles north or so.

Expand  

Yeah only a little over an inch of rain for the northern part of our county. But at least it's still a good soaking and plenty to give everything a good watering. More to come tonight into tomorrow too, as some more bands should swing from northwest to southeast.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Rtd208

Rtd208

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 3:57 PM, winterwx21 said:

Yeah only a little over an inch of rain for the northern part of our county. But at least it's still a good soaking and plenty to give everything a good watering. More to come tonight into tomorrow too, as some more bands should swing from northwest to southeast.

Expand  

That is actually incorrect. I am in the NE part of the county and I have over 2.5" of rain as a storm total so far.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
LibertyBell

LibertyBell

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 3:52 PM, jm1220 said:

Yep it’s pouring here in Long Beach. Not as hard as last night but enough to I’m sure flood some basements. I checked out the waves-maybe 5-6 footers but 2 days before Sandy they seemed twice as high. 

Expand  

where this made landfall didn't even matter because it's a mid grade TS at best, it's where all the rain is falling that really matters.  From NJ over to our region has been where this storm has really made an impact.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
weatherbear5

weatherbear5

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 3:52 PM, jm1220 said:

Yep it’s pouring here in Long Beach. Not as hard as last night but enough to I’m sure flood some basements. I checked out the waves-maybe 5-6 footers but 2 days before Sandy they seemed twice as high. 

Expand  

Sandy was a HUGE storm with a huge wind field, this is a relatively tiny storm with a small wind field, not surprised the waves are much smaller

that stationary rain band was what I was worried about. LBI looks like it’s getting hammered

Link to comment
Share on other sites
bluewave

bluewave

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 3:52 PM, jm1220 said:

Yep it’s pouring here in Long Beach. Not as hard as last night but enough to I’m sure flood some basements. I checked out the waves-maybe 5-6 footers but 2 days before Sandy they seemed twice as high. 

Expand  

I never understood why building codes in Long Beach permitted slope down driveways and basements on a barrier island.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
jm1220

jm1220

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 4:05 PM, LibertyBell said:

where this made landfall didn't even matter because it's a mid grade TS at best, it's where all the rain is falling that really matters.  From NJ over to our region has been where this storm has really made an impact.

 

Expand  

There might be part of Narragansett or Buzzards Bay that had a nasty surge impact but I agree. Highest wind so far seems to be 66mph at Block Island and Isaias at FRG had 78mph. I’m sure plenty of customers there will lose power and the wet ground doesn’t help for tree damage but we/they lucked out that the eye didn’t clear out and it didn’t ramp up to 110mph when it had a chance. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
LibertyBell

LibertyBell

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 4:09 PM, weatherbear5 said:

Sandy was a HUGE storm with a huge wind field, this is a relatively tiny storm with a small wind field, not surprised the waves are much smaller

that stationary rain band was what I was worried about. LBI looks like it’s getting hammered

Expand  

The way we measure storms has to change.  It's not just about wind speed it's also about size.  That's what truly determines how strong and devastating a storm can be- its total energy.  Doing that shows that Sandy was the strongest storm to ever hit our region.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
LibertyBell

LibertyBell

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 4:12 PM, jm1220 said:

There might be part of Narragansett or Buzzards Bay that had a nasty surge impact but I agree. Highest wind so far seems to be 66mph at Block Island and Isaias at FRG had 78mph. I’m sure plenty of customers there will lose power and the wet ground doesn’t help for tree damage but we/they lucked out that the eye didn’t clear out and it didn’t ramp up to 110mph when it had a chance. 

Expand  

I think all the power outages in Rhode Island might be the worst impact there.  I love big storms and all but draw the line at power outages.  It's not fun to lose access to civilization and technology for multiple days.  And even moreso with what looks like a surge of heat coming for us.....I saw even the south shore could hit 90 on Tuesday, this isn't going to be fun and even less so without power.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
winterwx21

winterwx21

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 4:00 PM, Rtd208 said:

That is actually incorrect. I am in the NE part of the county and I have over 2.5" of rain as a storm total so far.

Expand  

I should have said for *most* of northern Middlesex county. Yeah, I can see the higher radar estimates for the extreme northeast part of the county. But the majority of northern Middlesex county is in the 1.00" to 1.50" range. I have only about 1.30" here. A huge difference from the huge totals down in the central and southern parts of the county.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
weatherbear5

weatherbear5

Posted
Posted
  On 8/22/2021 at 4:16 PM, LibertyBell said:

The way we measure storms has to change.  It's not just about wind speed it's also about size.  That's what truly determines how strong and devastating a storm can be- its total energy.  Doing that shows that Sandy was the strongest storm to ever hit our region.

 

Expand  

In the wise words of my girlfriend, “size isn’t everything”

  • Haha 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...