Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Hopefully Charlie Baker urges all non essential state employees to stay home Monday so I can get a day off I got a day off for Hurricane Laura last year, and we had only breezy showers. The day off after Beta for flooding, that was real. I teach Algebra II... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 practically in the same spot as 18Z run at HR30....just a tad weaker... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Currently further E thru 30hr tough to tell but looks like it's already starting to weaken too...just judging based on the decreased size of the >70kt wind field at 925 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Currently further E thru 30hr Yup, and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Why am I watching a NAM play by play of a tropical system 3 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, jdj5211 said: practically in the same spot as 18Z run at HR30....just a tad weaker... 984 vs 988 a bit east. West trend might be done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Weird quadrant for the strongest winds. Plane has not changed altitude per TT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Why am I watching a NAM play by play of a tropical system Nut in else 2 do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 same at HR 36....tad east but about the same strength as 18Z run.....basically an identical run as 18Z with a slight shift E....have to wait for GFS run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, MattPetrulli said: Why am I watching a NAM play by play of a tropical system Because it's the first model to run and addicts need their fix. Kinda like the SREF for snowstorms. I much prefer looking at the 3km version if I want my fix of complete nonsense 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Looks like NAM is making landfall over South County RI... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 NAM brings 55kts at 925 up to Boston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, bristolri_wx said: Looks like NAM is making landfall over South County RI... Yeah, well E tonite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 NAM definitely east...3km a bit west of that. 3km run is bad news for much of cT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 NAM made a large eastern jog at lf. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Would bring solid trop storm force winds to this area with that track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 it did look like from 36-42 it was going to tug NW but went opposite 42 on. Actually...it does get tugged NW but just after landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: NAM definitely east...3km a bit west of that. 3km run is bad news for much of cT 3K was also east vs 18z... but not by much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 NAM maybe 20 mile shift east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 That's going to be some pretty prolific rainfall totals in that scenario. For some areas do hit hardest this summer. Flooding would be pretty devastating in some areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Looks like that center did jump NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, bristolri_wx said: 3K was also east vs 18z... but not by much... that last tug NW after landfall leads me to believe the farther east track may be more of a blip but we'll see. But perhaps after seeing the 0z global + hurricane models stay pat with mean track maybe it's not too shocking to see 0z NAM slide east some. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Looks like that center did jump NE. Tough look for intensification...broad center with a large RMW. Need some VHTs to develop downshear of the center. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Wagons East.... Watch Hill FTW 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 10 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Tough look for intensification...broad center with a large RMW. Need some VHTs to develop downshear of the center. You mean upshear, right? Agree though--there's improvement at flight level, but not where it matters. Not yet at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 8 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Wagons East.... Watch Hill FTW Ginxy better gas up the generator 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: You mean upshear, right? Agree though--there's improvement at flight level, but not where it matters. Not yet at least. I thought that shear vector was still out of the north at the moment but either way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Trying to figure out fetch and surge on this bad boy. Oui oui Henri is building some good seas now Misquamicut is looking better and better for huge surf. My favorite beach spot growing up, experienced a couple days of good waves body surfing as a kid and that was it. Even on NESN after the Sox game, they switched to Henri watch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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