Diggiebot Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: If I’m reading current recon numbers correct ,seems the center may be a bit further East than NHC estimate ..maybe around 73.5W and close to that blow up LOL just what we need in this ever-changing cluster of a forecast. More changes and surprises to come for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Block Island looks like the place to be Sunday. Well for any of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 My impression of 18z GFS 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Per recon 31.3 / 73.5 has lowest pressure at 994 https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/meso_band.php?sat=G16&lat=31N&lon=73W&band=01&length=60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Agreed man. When we both said a few months ago that this had a good chance to be “SNE” year.. eyebrows raised. Ray also agreed. The trifecta I remembered the storm it was Hurricane Belle in 76, ended up with some gust to 60 from a 120 mph Hatteras storm, slowly died in cold waters. Lol I found this old Kodak from Belle, I didn't take the pic Mr Eaves lol. Thats me heading out. Probably best 3 day sets of my life form wise. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LawdogGRNJ Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 30 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 31.2 73.9 is LLC estimate by NHC 45 min ago Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Very little rain here on the gfs… nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 22 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: oofers Misquamicut is gonna take the brunt of surge on that depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, MarkO said: Block Island looks like the place to be Sunday. Well for any of us. North shore at the Bluffs, any day really lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 I may be wrong but visible looks aligned better with convection and recon’s lowers pressure . Notably so in last 45 min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 This is going to be an extremely difficult forecast at very short lead times. Model guidance showing that second recurve west beginning right as Henri is closest to land... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I may be wrong but visible looks aligned better with convection and recon’s lowers pressure . Notably so in last 45 min almost looks like its starting to clear out a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Forky is stealing our storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: This is going to be an extremely difficult forecast at very short lead times. Model guidance showing that second recurve west beginning right as Henri is closest to land... Lol ... like the electron double-slit paradox that behaves like the electron is trying to be evasive - maybe we should all collectively ignore the forecast right up through Worcester 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 GEFS seem to focus on LI / CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: GEFS seem to focus on LI / CT CT is in a very precarious position it seems with this one…interesting to see what happens with this overnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 We may lose all the CT posters for a week although I’m sure they’ll charge their phones in their cars.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: CT is in a very precarious position it seems with this one…interesting to see what happens with this overnight? Better hope Eversource can mobilize 1000 trucks out of their fannies because yall are going to need it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 definitely improving on sat.. glad that recon is out now will see if pressure goes on a steady drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: definitely improving on sat.. glad that recon is out now will see if pressure goes on a steady drop One plane in now and Air Force plane descending as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, crossbowftw3 said: Better hope Eversource can mobilize 1000 trucks out of their fannies because yall are going to need it They’re saying they are ready for whatever transpires???? Now that they’re prepared it’ll fall apart to a naked swirl lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: They’re saying they are ready for whatever transpires???? Now that they’re prepared it’ll fall apart to a naked swirl lol. lol ya ok! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 It's been improving throughout the day. Be interesting to see if this latest pulse produces an eye. Not sure why the Saffir Simpson Scale begins at 65kts, but it seems to be the difference between a discernible eye or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: lol ya ok! This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Eversource says they have brought in 4,000 additional crews, have 2,000 poles and 3,000 transformers on hand. Seems like they have resources in place plus whatever the town public works can add for tree removal. Let's just hope they don't do what they always do and dick around for the first 24-36 hours "assessing damage" before actually getting to work like with Isiaias. If they really do have that many people, they should be able to put a dozen crews in every town so the outages for most people shouldn't be too long. The frustrating part last time was basically going a day or two and not seeing any power trucks in their town. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 8 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: Better hope Eversource can mobilize 1000 trucks out of their fannies because yall are going to need it They’re sending out messages , phone calls , social media etc that they have hundreds of out of state crews ready . There is a new law that if people are without power for more than 3 days, they get fined per household 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: We may lose all the CT posters for a week although I’m sure they’ll charge their phones in their cars.... As much as I'm bummed to not be on Fishers Island for this, I do live in Hamden... so I got that going for me. I should get power back by the holiday get together. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They’re sending out messages , phone calls , social media etc that they have hundreds of out of state crews ready . There is a new law that if people are without power for more than 3 days, they get fined per household I’m impressed. Connecticut has come a long way from the Stone Ages of...2020. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: They’re saying they are ready for whatever transpires???? Now that they’re prepared it’ll fall apart to a naked swirl lol. Naked swirl warning has a nice ring to it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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