Rjay Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, Rjay said: Wow does that move almost due west over LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Looks like 00z. Congrats LI and SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: We better have Scooter tell Josh it’s no big deal here. She gonna fill quickly and be just a few breezy showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, Rjay said: good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 At least it’s not longer the 960mb storm or whatever it was it was trying to run into us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 4 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So you'll have to go write an email to all the modeling centers and tell them they're all wrong. Well you and Q are forecasting no winds interior CT so I’m not sure what to think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 It looks like Kev’s trees may not be uprooted after all. Thank goodness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: We better have Scooter tell Josh it’s no big deal here. She gonna fill quickly and be just a few breezy showers. You should read my earlier posts about where the impact is. I said srn CT coast, RI and maybe adjacent SE MA. That is where high impact looks likely in terms of winds. Rains? Probably where you are. Ukie would give you winds and much less of an issue for Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 You have to think between ISP and MTP is the likely landfall. The mesos are probably too far west due to over deepening etc. I would be surprised at this stage if this made landfall E of LI TBH 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: You should read my earlier posts about where the impact is. I said srn CT coast, RI and maybe adjacent SE MA. That is where high impact looks likely in terms of winds. Rains? Probably where you are. Ukie would give you winds and much less of an issue for Kevin. How much winds would the Ukie realistically give us on the south coast? It looks like a 995mb storm upon impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Eww... If this thing were to RI and expand ( no, that doesn't mean Rhode Island), essentially becoming a very prominent physical reflex in the total synoptic field ... that can and likely would reflect in modeled track guidance. Sucks, this thing's capacity for mayhem is in a sense, hiding in plain site - I large Category 3 hurricane interacts with a weak U/A steering field differently. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Gonna be a few 40 mph gusts and 2-3" of rain over 24 hrs for me.....meh. @HoarfrostHubb agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said: How much winds would the Ukie realistically give us on the south coast? It looks like a 995mb storm upon impact. That's too weak. Ukie would be a good blow there. Probably gusts 60-70+ there to near Wolfie cheeks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: You should read my earlier posts about where the impact is. I said srn CT coast, RI and maybe adjacent SE MA. That is where high impact looks likely in terms of winds. Rains? Probably where you are. Ukie would give you winds and much less of an issue for Kevin. I was just busting chops/having some fun a bit…no offense intended. Nobody really knows where this goes in yet. I do think that CT is in a precarious spot now with regard to the goal posts where they seem to be setting up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 27 minutes ago, Quincy said: Shoreline and coastal plain, yes. Tolland-Union mountain chain, not so much. Inland winds with these systems are usually overdone. You know how it works in the interior though. We get 35mph gusts with leaves on the trees and weenies start estimating 60mph+ when a rotten branch falls. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: I was just busting chops/having some fun a bit…no offense intended. Nobody really knows where this goes in yet. I do think that CT is in a precarious spot now with regard to the goal posts where they seem to be setting up. Agree. But where you are in CT matters a lot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: You know how it works in the interior though. We get 35mph gusts with leaves on the trees and weenies start estimating 60mph+ when a rotten branch falls. Branches down (called trees in AmWx posts). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 HMON is slowly rolling in. So far slightly west and slightly weaker but not near land yet... just of interest as it's been consistently one of the western tracked models of this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Maybe this goes to Atlantic City haha I’m still holding out that it goes into NJ like the WRF-ARW did lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Branches down (called trees in AmWx posts). My Davis says 13mph but this is easily tropical storm force. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Gonna be a few 40 mph gusts and 2-3" of rain over 24 hrs for me.....meh. @HoarfrostHubb agrees. For us it is not a big deal unless your basement is prone to getting wet. Yesterday was possibly a bigger deal in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Um that’s not the 993mb low the other maps shows. Wtf! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Agree. But where you are in CT matters a lot. Oh yes, for sure. lmao Wolfie Cheeks agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, dendrite said: My Davis says 13mph but this is easily tropical storm force. The trees are blocking the wind but I can hear it just above them. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: I’m still holding out that it goes into NJ like the WRF-ARW did lol It would have to hook sharply left a la Sandy. Not impossible but very unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: The trees are blocking the wind but I can hear it just above them. It’s roaring like a jet engine! Davis says 10…must be a bad sensor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now