dan11295 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 A storm coming on a NW hook like that is obviously unusual. Notice the Euro doesn't stall and kick it east (unless it does it in later frames?) Just buries it in Central NE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I would think that's about the worst case scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 19 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: LI/CT would be in big trouble if the stronger storm scenario plays out. Very much so. Unfortunately, this is why I am expecting LI to take a hard hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just getting around to check models, but pretty good model agreement with the track 72 hours out. Reggie seems to be the only one I've seen not making a coastal landing. What are we looking at, Weak Cat1/strong tropical storm at landfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 18Z GFS was very similar to the Euro. Stalls it out in East Central Mass. I think weak Cat 1 seems to be ceiling. Will be moving too slow to come it much stronger. Plus Henri wont be that strong IMHO when weakening starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 @Hoth are you here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Have to think tropical storm warnings with hurricane watch south coast soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, StormSurge said: @Hoth are you here? Devastated to say no. Have to stay in New Haven for work this weekend. Take lots of pics of the surf and wind please! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 theme keeps going with a slight jog west 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: Have to think tropical storm warnings with hurricane watch south coast soon. Yea, tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, tomorrow.. probably with the 11:00 AM updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, Hoth said: Devastated to say no. Have to stay in New Haven for work this weekend. Take lots of pics of the surf and wind please! I’m on it! I’m still anticipating a miss (non-scientific reasons) but the trends seem to be targeting us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MVOyster Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Anybody want to buy an oyster farm … tonight? 3 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: theme keeps going with a slight jog west Moving in that direction right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, StormSurge said: I’m on it! I’m still anticipating a miss (non-scientific reasons) but the trends seem to be targeting us. Think it could be a good blow out there for sure! My secret hope it that it at least pushes some sand up on my beach. Nothing but rocks this year. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: Moving in that direction right now. Curious to see what NHC does at 11 with the track but I would think we see a sizable shift west with the western edge of the cone and subsequent shift west with forecast track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, MVOyster said: Anybody want to buy an oyster farm … tonight? I'm buying the westward shift Alex. Nothing to worry about 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Curious to see what NHC does at 11 with the track but I would think we see a sizable shift west with the western edge of the cone and subsequent shift west with forecast track I was thinking a shift west to the Cape Cod Canal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 All we need now is 0z to start pulling the rug, 6z put it OTS, meltdowns all day tomorrow, then the 18z to bring it all back. Good prep for winter. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: theme keeps going with a slight jog west Cane watches probably back to HVN tomorrow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 I know I keep saying it, but this is a very impressive satellite presentation. Really wish recon were out there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: I know I keep saying it, but this is a very impressive satellite presentation. Really wish recon were out there. I think it might be a cane now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Eps has members from NJ to cape cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Eps has members from NJ to cape cod Where is your member ? 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 It looks like the weather channel is sending reporters already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 We know at some point close to the wire there will be a slight jog back east messenger style. It’s good to move it west now so we really lock in this strike. Hugging the outer cape is a recipe for a last minute agonizing miss like Edouard. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: I know I keep saying it, but this is a very impressive satellite presentation. Really wish recon were out there. Pretty impressive convection around center. -80C to -90C cloud tops...wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: I think it might be a cane now Agreed. Huge improvement since this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now