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Tropical Storm Henri


wxeyeNH
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6 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Euro is still very weak. Man if this ends up being a big storm the euro is gonna have to be sent to the graveyard. At least for tropical systems.

It initialized at 999mb, so can’t blame that. It quickly gets it down to 991mb, but instead of strengthening it just weakens and never really recovers.

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Like I said, very interesting flight. VDM shows that there is still an inner core, with an eye open to the NW. 

At 1000mb! :lol: 

Recon starting to inspect the NE quadrant now. 

 

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 19th day of the month at 18:14Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5304
Storm Name: Henri
Storm Number & Year: 08 in 2021 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 1
Observation Number: 06 ( See all messages of this type for this mission. )

A. Time of Center Fix: 19th day of the month at 17:30:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 29.57N 70.97W
B. Center Fix Location: 413 statute miles (664 km) to the WSW (243°) from Hamilton, Bermuda (U.K.).
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,436m (4,711ft) at 850mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1000mb (29.53 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 5° at 8kts (From the N at 9mph)
F. Eye Character: Open in the northwest
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 22 nautical miles (25 statute miles)
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 33kts (38.0mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 60 nautical miles (69 statute miles) to the WNW (303°) of center fix at 17:12:00Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 25° at 38kts (From the NNE at 43.7mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 60 nautical miles (69 statute miles) to the WNW (303°) of center fix at 17:12:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 48kts (55.2mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 39 nautical miles (45 statute miles) to the SE (138°) of center fix at 17:46:00Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 230° at 61kts (From the SW at 70.2mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) to the SE (142°) of center fix at 17:42:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,520m (4,987ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,522m (4,993ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 15°C (59°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Levels (surface & flight level centers within 5nm of each other): Surface and 850mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 6 nautical miles

Remarks Section:
 

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 61kts (~ 70.2mph) which was observed 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) to the SE (142°) from the flight level center at 17:42:30Z
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 23°C (73°F) which was observed 8 nautical miles to the NW (307°) from the flight level center
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3 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

You all realize the euro as of 12z yesterday, didn’t even have henri as a tropical disturbance at 39N and was 200 miles ots upon closest approach 

It’s slowly capitulating to the rest of guidance.

Forget it - you can't penetrate the withdraw shakes with reason and logic   LOL

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5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

My mood is kinda on edge. In one respect, I'd like to see a TS/Hurricane slam into us for the meteorogical enjoyment. And on the other, I would have no issue if mr flex seal dude spared my house. 

Yeah I really see this as 50/50 for more and less impact at all really - still. ...

Summer is boring - it is.  I get it.  Folks that really have a kind of affinity for seeing mayhem implied in the model movies ... probably could use good ass whoopin' to keep them from red-eyed padded-cell rocking, because it is otherwise a long ass haul until anything resembling that sort of drama can manifest otherwise. 

Maybe we could coax Yellowstone into a mass -extinction event... Who's with me!

No but it could go either way and it really seems to me that we need this to get west more before we'll see a better consensus -

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