jbenedet Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Full moon on Sunday. A blue moon. “Once in a blue moon?” The slower movement but longer duration could mean a bigger threat for coastal flooding than it appears. Surge likely lessened but wave heights greatened. Henri has already been building seas across LI and SNE given his unusual track near Bermuda, in the neighborhood of the mid latitudes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 53 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Henri keeps subtly losing more latitude Ray ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Henri looking pretty beaten up this morning. Shear doing its thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 27 minutes ago, Hoth said: Henri looking pretty beaten up this morning. Shear doing its thing. Yup , getting a nice beat down and pushed And squished wsw . Based on Cimss shear profiles i think shear is beginning to turn from N/NE to ENE direction so maybe less relative shear as this begins to move more in the direction shear is pushing However , you can also see a little bump up in mid level shear (NE shear ) to the west on the cimss products, so if I’m reading that right ..shear could actually worsen overall even if it slightly improved today in low levels meh i dunno , it improves Friday am 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 If only the UKie was a good model. That and a bunch of EPS and GEFS members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Ukie would be interesting for sure imby. 50-60kt winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 46 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Ukie would be interesting for sure imby. 50-60kt winds. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Euro slinging into SE MA/BOS area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 5 hours ago, weathafella said: Bob made landfall on the south coast and seriously raked the cape. Similar to UKMET to me. Similar for the cape, but I am talking about the rest of us. There is a difference between NE and NNW movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 meh, due to fly out Monday at 5 am hope is gone by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Looking forwards to what recon finds today. IMO Henri was a hurricane all of yesterday, slightly weakened to a tropical storm overnight, and is now maintaining intensity in face of shear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 GFS would be a lot of 60-75mph gusts even on the west side through SE MA near into BOS with all that rain. Pretty wild. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Also FWIW, I don't see much in the way of ET transitioning. This looks like it keeps its tropical-like characteristics. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro slinging into SE MA/BOS area. Watah up the habah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS would be a lot of 60-75mph gusts even on the west side through SE MA near into BOS with all that rain. Pretty wild. flight cancelled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Also FWIW, I don't see much in the way of ET transitioning. This looks like it keeps its tropical-like characteristics. That is insane for this latitude...never see that. I wonder if its due to the HADLEY CELL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Just now, Bostonseminole said: flight cancelled? Would be done by then, but airlines can march to the beat of their own drum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Heard from a friend that all offices east of the Mississippi will be doing 18z balloon launches starting today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Also FWIW, I don't see much in the way of ET transitioning. This looks like it keeps its tropical-like characteristics. Ironically enough, this started as an extra tropical cluster of T storms, too...figures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is insane for this latitude...never see that. I wonder if its due to the HADLEY CELL? I mean it may start to get baroclinic features at our latitude, but you also don't have this deep trough ready to infuse the dynamics needed for ET transitioning. Even Sandy was practically tropical at landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is insane for this latitude...never see that. I wonder if its due to the HADLEY CELL? One of the good things about climate change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Euro finally woke up to the idea of a closer system . Sorta sad performance imo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Euro finally woke up to the idea of a closer system . Sorta sad performance imo It has been like that so far this tropical season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Have fun I'm jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Have fun I'm jealous It could swing back closer to deliver something to NYC but at this point a New England strike is beginning to look more likely than it did 12-24 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Also FWIW, I don't see much in the way of ET transitioning. This looks like it keeps its tropical-like characteristics. Was surprised to see this as well. Will be going down the rabbit-hole reading about ET transitions this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Euro has this stall and loop from the outer cape to the middle of CC bay down to the vineyard and across Nantucket then east ots between hours 84 and 135. That’s super long duration for tropical. That would be a coastal flooding nightmare for se ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Zzzz…. Probably gusts to 40 here and some rain. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Noting a bit of a precarious trend.......here is an excerpt from latest TPC discussion. However, both the GEFS and ECMWF ensembles continue to show a wider assortment of solutions, with stronger storms tending to move closer to the U.S. coast and weaker storms moving farther offshore. With the tight clustering of the current guidance, the trajectory of the new NHC track forecast was not changed much from the previous iteration, although it is a little faster during the time that Henri accelerates to the north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Diggiebot said: Euro has this stall and loop from the outer cape to the middle of CC bay down to the vineyard and across Nantucket then east ots between hours 84 and 135. That’s super long duration for tropical. That would be a coastal flooding nightmare for se ma Guidos , IROC-z’s and gold chains floating down the mystic river 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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