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Tropical Storm Henri


wxeyeNH
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Full moon on Sunday. A blue moon. 
 

“Once in a blue moon?” 
 

The slower movement but longer duration could mean a bigger threat for coastal flooding than it appears. Surge likely lessened but wave heights greatened. Henri has already been building seas across LI and SNE given his unusual track near Bermuda, in the neighborhood of the mid latitudes.

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27 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Henri looking pretty beaten up this morning. Shear doing its thing.

Yup , getting a nice beat down and pushed And squished wsw .

Based on Cimss shear profiles i think shear is beginning to turn from N/NE to ENE direction so maybe less relative shear as this begins to move more in the direction shear is pushing 

However , you can also see a little  bump up in mid level shear (NE shear ) to the west on the cimss products, so if I’m reading that right ..shear could actually worsen overall even if it slightly improved today in low levels 

meh i dunno , it improves Friday am 

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That is insane for this latitude...never see that. I wonder if its due to the HADLEY CELL?

I mean it may start to get baroclinic features at our latitude, but you also don't have this deep trough ready to infuse the dynamics needed for ET transitioning. Even Sandy was practically tropical at landfall.

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Noting a bit of a precarious trend.......here is an excerpt from latest TPC discussion.

 However, both the GEFS and ECMWF ensembles continue to show 
a wider assortment of solutions, with stronger storms tending to 
move closer to the U.S. coast and weaker storms moving farther 
offshore. With the tight clustering of the current guidance, the 
trajectory of the new NHC track forecast was not changed much from 
the previous iteration, although it is a little faster during the 
time that Henri accelerates to the north.
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3 minutes ago, Diggiebot said:

Euro has this stall and loop from the outer cape to the middle of CC bay down to the vineyard and across Nantucket then east ots between hours 84 and 135. That’s super long duration for tropical. That would be a coastal flooding nightmare for se ma 

Guidos , IROC-z’s and gold chains floating down the mystic river 

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