dendrite Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Euro looks like its showing ET, broadened 925mb winds vs 00z. That was the first thing I noticed…much larger wind field. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 47 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Looks like a tropical storm about to hit SNE to me. Pretty typical of the way inland NMass SNH peeps to be sick of tropical systems 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: That was the first thing I noticed…much larger wind field. Phase diagrams from this morning showed just that happening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Phase diagrams from this morning showed just that happening Map of 925mb anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 28 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Man, for the sake of quality threads I hope the next tropical system is not within 3 universes of New England. There is a dedicated tropical thread on the main page. Head there for pure geekdom. We roll differently 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Euro looks like its showing ET, broadened 925mb winds vs 00z. When? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 EURO a tic east of 0z but still pretty far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Sister in law in Madison CT mandatory evacuation south of rt 1 by 9 pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 12z Euro similar to 00z, only slightly weaker and a tick east. Takes the center from eastern LI into the MMK area. Inland wind field looks weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Phase diagrams from this morning showed just that happening I would assume that would lead to a more bifurcated structure, with heavy rain to the west and wind confined to the right? 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Woof. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: EURO a tic east of 0z but still pretty far west. Meaning EPS will have a lot of lean and members west . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Meh nothing impressive verbatim east of track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just saw IR. Not really any deep convection near center. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Just saw IR. Not really any deep convection near center. nehkid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: EURO a tic east of 0z but still pretty far west. 4 minutes ago, Quincy said: 12z Euro similar to 00z, only slightly weaker and a tick east. Takes the center from eastern LI into the MMK area. Inland wind field looks weaker. Looks a tick west to me but that's just noise Last 4 runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Meh nothing impressive verbatim east of track. was there ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 The expanded wind field is the biggest takeaway from this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, Rjay said: Looks a tick west to me but that's just noise Last 4 runs Odd to see stronger wind in the western quadrant isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pretty typical of the way inland NMass SNH peeps to be sick of tropical systems going to be a nothing burger for you too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Significant expansion of the wind field right upon closest approach, as phase completed. AWT. New England being New England. Model huggers flummoxed. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 does anyone consider the nam for tropical convection? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Euro initialized at 12z at 1001 mb. Henri was 993 mb per recon at that same time frame. Euro still takes it to landfall —high 980’s ish... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 HERPES anyone? The 6z GFS was fairly ominous for SE areas but nothing since has been close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Significant expansion of the wind field right upon closest approach, as phase completed. AWT. New England being New England. Model huggers flummoxed. Pretty meh wind field outside of the immediate coast and area near landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Quincy said: Pretty meh wind field outside of the immediate coast and area near landfall. Yeah it’s still not a typical expansion as modeled. I still agree with Nick it may expand more than models, but it also looks like junk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 17 minutes ago, Rjay said: The expanded wind field is the biggest takeaway from this run Mm ..apologies if this rubs the wrong way but the general polish of not being exceptionally strong and probably more susceptible to stability parameters N of the G-stream as limiting impact ( likely..), are equally as impressive.. But that's just me - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Quincy said: Pretty meh wind field outside of the immediate coast and area near landfall. I’m not opining based on impact to SE New Hampshire. I’m fascinated and tracking out of interest for south coast, Long Island and SNE (for flooding risks). wind absolutely not the big story outside of coastal LI and CT. Otherwise it’s storm surge layered on very high seas—coastal flooding. Heavy rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 8 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Significant expansion of the wind field right upon closest approach, as phase completed. AWT. New England being New England. Model huggers flummoxed. The whole northeast and Ma is awash in warm air at the low and mid levels. There just isn't much of an ET assist here. Very little baroclinicity. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Mehenri 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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