Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Isn't 41001 west of the center buoy was east by around 20 miles. at least according to the wind direction switch (SE to NW) and the map there National Data Buoy Center (noaa.gov) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Even down here not all electric lines aren’t buried but, Florida Power & Light has invested in their network, swapping out most poles to cement including the high tension poles. Florida also doesn't have the trees that New England does, and that's really the problem. We could have cement poles too but when a 60 foot tree lands on the wires cement pole or not the power is done for. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 14 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Anyone else tired of this storm? You are the forum's E.F Hutton..." When E.F. Hutton talks, people listen" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Wouldn't it be humorous if this just never strengthened and naked swirled over ginx head 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Now that everyone on this forum has been poo pooing this storm for days, I am fully expecting it to bust upwards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 11 minutes ago, Joe4alb said: tighter rotation showing up in latest images. Suckin' on dry air... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathergeekMD Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 34 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I would be very hard pressed to think CT does not see significant issues if this verified Okie dokie…. That’s a mile southwest of my house. I can’t type my reaction for fear of offending everyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: You are the forum's E.F Hutton..." When E.F. Hutton talks, people listen" So you’re not tired of this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 40 minutes ago, USCG RS said: It's a combination or weather, lack of maintenance and over population. The grids were built a long time ago. They are yet to be update in a true fashion. Meanwhile the NE and W coasts (TX also) continue to become increasingly populated. Strain increases, maintancece continues to decrease and the situation spirals. Yeah... I have a neighbor who is a retired "Journeymen" - that's grid's old-school title for line guys. I can ask.. These may in fact be the factors as you outline. It's interesting to parse that out - I mean... electricity doesn't care ( heh ) where it goes. Population is big and too big, no doubt, but in a sense, if the grid matures along with it, ...doesn't matter. That logic tends to indict the maintenance. Which "maintenance" is kind of a loaded term. It's not just cleaning up after a storm. Obviously where I am going with this, it's as much preventative. Maybe if the ethic was there, it's thus not being complacent, and continuing to develop new technologies ...etc...etc. and there becomes a lot of complexity to what maintenance really "should" mean. But you look out there, you see the same cables strung between poles like I remember when I was kid back when the dinosaurs roamed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, bristolri_wx said: And weaker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Can’t wait for this to fall apart before making landfall. Take models out of it….what happens to a disorganized tropical storm drifting slowly over cold water? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Can’t wait for this to fall apart before making landfall. Take models out of it….what happens to a disorganized tropical storm drifting slowly over cold water? High fives all around. GL out east. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Can’t wait for this to fall apart before making landfall. Take models out of it….what happens to a disorganized tropical storm drifting slowly over cold water? Why would you say drifting? It's trucking along at 14 mph. Do you think this thing is just going to fall apart in the next 18 hours before making first landfall on Long Island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can’t wait for this to fall apart before making landfall. Take models out of it….what happens to a disorganized tropical storm drifting slowly over cold water? Yeah. That's what I'm wondering. If this thing never gets its act together, it becomes nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can’t wait for this to fall apart before making landfall. Take models out of it….what happens to a disorganized tropical storm drifting slowly over cold water? heh ... no argument from me.. I've pounded this cold water/stability -related stuff for days, sensing the futility in doing so, finally gave up... mostly - ... I think most that are versed know that and sort of table it and wait it out. They don't want that to limit, but they don't argue it either. What this fugger really needed for the enthusiasts is factor or two more intensity moving much much faster. We've hit on the notion that it is neither, too and also ...gave up. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 I’m going to guess an inch of rain here and gusts to 35 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 I'm assuming this track is bad for Narragansett Bay? The winds kinda stay out of the south/southeast because of the angle of approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can’t wait for this to fall apart before making landfall. Take models out of it….what happens to a disorganized tropical storm drifting slowly over cold water? There are still a few analyzing every latest sat image convincing themselves that it's about to "take off"...lol Its always been going to be a bad nor Easter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: This is concerning, extreme lack of wind shear here. Very anomalous Not really sure if characterize that as “extreme lack of shear.” If anything, shear is increasing along the mid-Atlantic coast and decreasing over New England. Modest shear downstream, but yes, somewhat less than you’d expect to see for a tropical system heading toward SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Looks like a tropical storm about to hit SNE to me. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Reading this thread I can’t figure out if this is going to a destruction fest or a breezy day? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, KPITSnow said: Reading this thread I can’t figure out if this is going to a destruction fest or a breezy day? Forgive us for most of that is just Kevin wishcasting. This will still be a major problem along and east of the track, however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 HWRF/HMON pretty much followed the GFS to a tee, which makes sense I suppose considering they use GFS data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can’t wait for this to fall apart before making landfall. Take models out of it….what happens to a disorganized tropical storm drifting slowly over cold water? Based on past mistakes I tend to avoid forecasting and poo pooing storms before the impact is known, but It truly looks like crap at the moment. Gloria was 145mph and Bob was 115 before they started weakening and both moved faster than this is forecast to. The slow speed logically would mean that there may be big rainfall totals, but that appears to be setting up west of our area if at all. If the bar is for widespread power outages and small flooding in SNE this will probably clear it, but beyond that seems very doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 14 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: So you’re not tired of this storm? I sure am lol....and I meant my post as a compliment...we're on to Monday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Looks like a tropical storm about to hit SNE to me. Agreed cancel all hurricane warnings. Verification will be confined to one or two stations at best. New Haven will have a hard time even getting TS conditions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: Forgive us for most of that is just Kevin wishcasting. This will still be a major problem along and east of the track, however Lol which one is Kevin? The one saying about no shear? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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