Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 I don’t think those are eye features they look like hot towers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: HRRR would actually be good for some TOR's Low 70s dews with NE winds FTW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like a mess Looks like a toss. The entire 48 hour run the HRRR never gets winds above what are already actually being recorded right now... doesn't seem to jive with all the other modeling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Everyone's crapping on Henri which means it'll explode tomorrow. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Congrats man. This sucks. Praying for a bust. Hope your time off was as nice as mine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 42 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Over my head with whatever you’re referring to. Grandpa!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Grandpa!! That’s our wedding song haha. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, Quincy said: Low 70s dews with NE winds FTW NAM grid sustains easterlies into Logan over 30 hours with 575 dm thickness. Odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s our wedding song haha. Such a great song. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Grandpa!! 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That’s our wedding song haha. Don’t know too many VM songs even though Someone Like You was my wedding song. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Congrats man. This sucks. Praying for a bust. Thanks, otherwise it should be an adventurous trip to Danbury... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Hope your time off was as nice as mine. Good stuff sir. Yea…I’ve been busy with my new job and our new house so arguing dews vs coc took a back seat this summer. I like the new look here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice writeup on SCW Thanks. Here's the writeup for anyone interested. First call tonight. Final tomorrow. https://www.southernconnecticutweather.com/forecasters-discussion/high-impact-event-expected-in-connecticut-as-tropical-storm-henri-approaches-new-england-this-weekendscw-first-call-forecast Seeing 65-70kt FL winds now in that SE convection. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Don’t know too many VM songs even though Someone Like You was my wedding song. Tupelo Honey is a favorite. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Just got back from golf and beers. Don't have time to wade through the thickets. This is a nothing burger for Massachusetts right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Tupelo Honey is a favorite. Great tune! The raspy voice with "you can take all the tea in China" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Just got back from golf and beers. Don't have time to wade through the thickets. This is a nothing burger for Massachusetts right? It’s heading OTS 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Just got back from golf and beers. Don't have time to wade through the thickets. This is a nothing burger for Massachusetts right? Probably more of a cheeseburger with a small fry. But not a Big Mac or a Whopper. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Good stuff sir. Yea…I’ve been busy with my new job and our new house so arguing dews vs coc took a back seat this summer. I like the new look here. Still in same town right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Thanks. Here's the writeup for anyone interested. First call tonight. Final tomorrow. https://www.southernconnecticutweather.com/forecasters-discussion/high-impact-event-expected-in-connecticut-as-tropical-storm-henri-approaches-new-england-this-weekendscw-first-call-forecast Seeing 65-70kt FL winds now in that SE convection. yeah just saw that...not too bad. If this thing does get its act together its primed to strengthen pretty quickly. Looks like the NHC never has it getting above 75 mph but idk...get this thing to be more stacked and not tilted and this could blow up like 20-25 knots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Thanks. Here's the writeup for anyone interested. First call tonight. Final tomorrow. https://www.southernconnecticutweather.com/forecasters-discussion/high-impact-event-expected-in-connecticut-as-tropical-storm-henri-approaches-new-england-this-weekendscw-first-call-forecast Seeing 65-70kt FL winds now in that SE convection. Nice job. This eases my worry some compared to the alerts I was receiving on my phone earlier and Upton’s AFD where they went bonkers on a life threatening impact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yeah just saw that...not too bad. If this thing does get its act together its primed to strengthen pretty quickly. Looks like the NHC never has it getting above 75 mph but idk...get this thing to be more stacked and not tilted and this could blow up like 20-25 knots NHC has it get to 85 mph, which suggests that it will get its act together in the next 12 hours or so as shear decreases. Once it does it then becomes a question of whether it will maximize potential in the environment. We put 75 mph at landfall out in our first call, but these intensity forecasts always have be leery when a system is trying so hard in a hostile environment like the last 24 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Grew up in Massapequa NY, was there for Hurricane Belle, spent some Summers in North Quincy with my Grandma, $5 bleachers for the Red Sox (switch to Kenmore Square train at Park Street), NY forum doesn't like slight shift East w/ 18Z models, well, oh, 2 different 2 week vacations in Harwichport. Or, unless completely OTS, I can't lose. In Texas, the ridge driving Grace into Mexico, today was first day w/ no sea breeze storms, barely any flat cumulus. I'm not as fond of no electricity for 5 or 10 days as I was as a kid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: NHC has it get to 85 mph, which suggests that it will get its act together in the next 12 hours or so as shear decreases. Once it does it then becomes a question of whether it will maximize potential in the environment. We put 75 mph at landfall out in our first call, but these intensity forecasts always have be leery when a system is trying so hard in a hostile environment like the last 24 hours. ahh yes my mistake...they have it get to 85 mph. yeah that's what has me a bit nervous...this thing never really weakened or lost its characteristics in the hostile environment. So who knows what happens moving into the AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nice job. This eases my worry some compared to the alerts I was receiving on my phone earlier and Upton’s AFD where they went bonkers on a life threatening impact. Even if this comes in a little stronger I think wind is likely to be second to rainfall. Problem is that I think even with lower possible winds the tree damage will still get done due to saturated soils and the long duration gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still in same town right? Yup. We moved next door…literally, but I’m done moving. I’m either dying in this one or making it to retirement in two decades for the downsize. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 The 0z NAM looks a little stronger with ridging ahead of Henri and also is stronger with the jet max on the east side of the ulvl trough. Wonder if this will favor a tug west from the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Hopefully Charlie Baker urges all non essential state employees to stay home Monday so I can get a day off 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The 0z NAM looks a little stronger with ridging ahead of Henri and also is stronger with the jet max on the east side of the ulvl trough. Wonder if this will favor a tug west from the NAM Currently further E thru 30hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 NAM east and weaker so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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