MJO812 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Henri is starting to gain strength as it is heading into favorable conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/19/2021 at 10:21 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Posting because this was actually alluded to a bit this morning and we did see some hints of a possible downshear reformation that looked to be ongoing from recon. Not saying RI is happening for those lurking, but rather highlighting a possible reason we see intensification once this starts paralleling the coast. Xiaomin is an atmospheric scientist for HRD (Hurricane Research Division) at NOAA. Expand @CoastalWx referred to this earlier ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 18z Euro is alot stronger and more west than 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:01 AM, DotRat_Wx said: Check out the growth in outflow just in terms of cirrus on that northern side. You can tell shear is relaxing. Storm appears to be growing. Expand Yup the 250 mb NE winds showed they would ease up by 8pm tonite . Not surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:09 AM, MJO812 said: 18z Euro is alot stronger and more west than 12z. Expand What do we got 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:14 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: What do we got Expand Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:16 AM, MJO812 said: Rain Expand You got a 18z euro position/ strength for Sunday eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/19/2021 at 11:56 PM, jburns said: Lol. Be careful what you joke about. Here are some totals from tropical depression Fred as it moved through Western North Carolina earlier this week. Expand Highly doubtful up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 20, 2021 Author Share Posted August 20, 2021 Wow 18Z Euro. Really hooks left. MV then towards Worcester. Puts Metro Boston into the high winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:09 AM, MJO812 said: 18z Euro is alot stronger and more west than 12z. Expand Similar in track to the HWRF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 I assume the latest models are now sampling the data from the recon earlier? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:01 AM, Hoth said: Boiling down to intensity. Expand LI/CT would be in big trouble if the stronger storm scenario plays out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 18z Euro 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:21 AM, Cyclone-68 said: I assume the latest models are now sampling the data from the recon earlier? Expand Did we get special balloon launches today as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Looking sandyesque. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SandySurvivor Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/19/2021 at 8:46 PM, SandySurvivor said: increasing chance ms someone sees an RFQ hit from CT/RI border north and east from there. Wouldn’t be surprised to see winds over 100mph from Providence thru Boston. Expand On 8/20/2021 at 12:17 AM, wxeyeNH said: Wow 18Z Euro. Really hooks left. MV then towards Worcester. Puts Metro Boston into the high winds. Expand On 8/20/2021 at 12:24 AM, dryslot said: Looking sandyesque. Expand you guys need to listen to me more 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Late to release, the 12z UKMET ensembles: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 I don't see the comparison to Sandy other than a hook 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:22 AM, SnoSki14 said: LI/CT would be in big trouble if the stronger storm scenario plays out. Expand Yeah, considering the duration of power outages last summer with Isaias, I don't want to think about a full bore hurricane coming through town. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/19/2021 at 11:14 PM, ma blizzard said: Def improvement since midday! Shear prob has maxed and slowly declining. CDO looks more symmetrical, outflow improving although still getting squashed on the N/NE sides. Any idea when the next recon flight is scheduled? Expand High level recon is happening now to examine the overall environment and low level recon will probably begin again in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Can we go into storm mode, please? mods? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:16 AM, MJO812 said: Rain Expand Beer? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Dont really buy the pressure being that low as the Euro shows. In reality it will be weakening once it gets north of the gulf stream, not strengthening like it shows. EDIT: the zoom in is does show weakening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:17 AM, wxeyeNH said: Wow 18Z Euro. Really hooks left. MV then towards Worcester. Puts Metro Boston into the high winds. Expand It’s real and it’s spectacular 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:30 AM, WxWatcher007 said: Expand And the west shifts continue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:25 AM, DotRat_Wx said: I don't see the comparison to Sandy other than a hook Expand Ding, ding 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:30 AM, WxWatcher007 said: Expand Storm surge would be impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 On 8/20/2021 at 12:33 AM, dryslot said: Ding, ding Expand Im joking lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 The Euro would be a big deal here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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