MJO812 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Euro is very weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Meh all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 20 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: That would could you go back to being a mod and delete posts 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: This thread is like training camp for the winter threads! This automatically boosts my grade of this summer substantially. We are tracking a possibly damaging cane while tornado warnings are flying. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Really hope we can get multiple fixes to figure out what is going on with the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 The euro is hilarious. A weak remnant swirl with 10mph gusts upon closet approach 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 HWRF drives it Northwest into Narragansett Bay... never seen that before lol... seems like all options are still on the table. Has it at 965mb around the 40/70 point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, David-LI said: Euro at hr 54 is a disorganized mess hardly resembling a hurricane cloud. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Maybe we can get an inverted trough out of it. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Euro did move west of the 06z run is my take from this, Right over the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Euro is still very weak. Man if this ends up being a big storm the euro is gonna have to be sent to the graveyard. At least for tropical systems. It initialized at 999mb, so can’t blame that. It quickly gets it down to 991mb, but instead of strengthening it just weakens and never really recovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Almost stall near PYMish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: This automatically boosts my grade of this summer substantially. We are tracking a possibly damaging cane while tornado warnings are flying. lol. You'd think a benchmark, late January hit was enroot with all of the posts in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Yeah Euro HR 78 still hooks it west towards the cape. Much weaker though, we've had stronger nor'easters than that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: lol. You'd think a benchmark, late January hit was enroot with all of the posts in here. it's sort of like warming up in the bullpen for winter... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: lol. You'd think a benchmark, late January hit was enroot with all of the posts in here. Yup, And with a -NAO block a whiff up here too, Text book. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Y'all's clearly exhibiting drug addiction-like behavior with these model cinemas - you don't get that drama... the mood withdraw is HIlarious 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Y'all's clearly exhibiting drug addiction-like behavior with these model cinemas - you don't get that drama... the mood withdraw is HIlarious i only cried for about 10mins 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Like I said, very interesting flight. VDM shows that there is still an inner core, with an eye open to the NW. At 1000mb! Recon starting to inspect the NE quadrant now. Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)Transmitted: 19th day of the month at 18:14ZAgency: United States Air ForceAircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5304Storm Name: HenriStorm Number & Year: 08 in 2021 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)Mission Number: 1Observation Number: 06 ( See all messages of this type for this mission. )A. Time of Center Fix: 19th day of the month at 17:30:40ZB. Center Fix Coordinates: 29.57N 70.97WB. Center Fix Location: 413 statute miles (664 km) to the WSW (243°) from Hamilton, Bermuda (U.K.).C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,436m (4,711ft) at 850mbD. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1000mb (29.53 inHg)E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 5° at 8kts (From the N at 9mph)F. Eye Character: Open in the northwestG. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 22 nautical miles (25 statute miles)H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 33kts (38.0mph)I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 60 nautical miles (69 statute miles) to the WNW (303°) of center fix at 17:12:00ZJ. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 25° at 38kts (From the NNE at 43.7mph)K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 60 nautical miles (69 statute miles) to the WNW (303°) of center fix at 17:12:00ZL. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 48kts (55.2mph)M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 39 nautical miles (45 statute miles) to the SE (138°) of center fix at 17:46:00ZN. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 230° at 61kts (From the SW at 70.2mph)O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) to the SE (142°) of center fix at 17:42:30ZP. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,520m (4,987ft)Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,522m (4,993ft)R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 15°C (59°F)R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not AvailableS. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and TemperatureS. Fix Levels (surface & flight level centers within 5nm of each other): Surface and 850mbT. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical milesT. Meteorological Accuracy: 6 nautical milesRemarks Section: Maximum Flight Level Wind: 61kts (~ 70.2mph) which was observed 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles) to the SE (142°) from the flight level center at 17:42:30ZMaximum Flight Level Temp: 23°C (73°F) which was observed 8 nautical miles to the NW (307°) from the flight level center Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Y'all's clearly exhibiting drug addiction-like behavior with these model cinemas - you don't get that drama... the mood withdraw is HIlarious How many times you posted here so far lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 19, 2021 Author Share Posted August 19, 2021 I'm surprised as weak as the Euro has it the track is still over the Cape and a bit further west than 6Z. Brings rain well west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Maybe we can get an inverted trough out of it. Keep it East please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: How many times you posted here so far lol Not affecting my mood tho - different agenda 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said: That leftward bend seems legit though. Big question is what shape the storm will be in when it reaches us. No where close to narrowing any intensity windows yet Seems that most models now have that bend. Intensity all over the mf map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 You all realize the euro as of 12z yesterday, didn’t even have henri as a tropical disturbance at 39N and was 200 miles ots upon closest approach It’s slowly capitulating to the rest of guidance. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 16 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: it's sort of like warming up in the bullpen for winter... Setting the stage for a deep winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not affecting my mood tho - different agenda My mood is kinda on edge. In one respect, I'd like to see a TS/Hurricane slam into us for the meteorogical enjoyment. And on the other, I would have no issue if mr flex seal dude spared my house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: You all realize the euro as of 12z yesterday, didn’t even have henri as a tropical disturbance at 39N and was 200 miles ots upon closest approach It’s slowly capitulating to the rest of guidance. Forget it - you can't penetrate the withdraw shakes with reason and logic LOL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: My mood is kinda on edge. In one respect, I'd like to see a TS/Hurricane slam into us for the meteorogical enjoyment. And on the other, I would have no issue if mr flex seal dude spared my house. Yeah I really see this as 50/50 for more and less impact at all really - still. ... Summer is boring - it is. I get it. Folks that really have a kind of affinity for seeing mayhem implied in the model movies ... probably could use good ass whoopin' to keep them from red-eyed padded-cell rocking, because it is otherwise a long ass haul until anything resembling that sort of drama can manifest otherwise. Maybe we could coax Yellowstone into a mass -extinction event... Who's with me! No but it could go either way and it really seems to me that we need this to get west more before we'll see a better consensus - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 14 minutes ago, WeatherHappens said: i only cried for about 10mins There’s no crying in weather edit: man I’m a liar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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