Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Plan on it. Natures all in one meal. My beer fridge is packed . Have at least 50 IPA’s .Genny power LFG!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 19, 2021 Author Share Posted August 19, 2021 34 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I realize it’s a bit early but what kind of PRE could we anticipate with this system? This is a good question. I don't know what are the best setups for PREs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: My beer fridge is packed . Have at least 50 IPA’s .Genny power LFG!! Your beer fridge is powered by genny? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 7 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: For NY/LI/Mid-Atlantic? Yeah Sandy will almost certainly be worse. I think the localized impacts may end up being worse for the Cape and some of SE new England. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 If we get a track close to Long Island I could see this stalling out completely near 40N. This -NAO block is significant and there’s no trough. Henri may be a decaying TC at that latitude but I think the flash flooding risk is a lot higher than currently modeled. Prolonged Easterly fetch in late august with tropical dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Worcester had its 8th biggest hourly rainfall and only 3rd case with two consecutive hours with 1” or more rainfall. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Gfs noticeably weaker through 36hr. Weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: This is a good question. I don't know what are the best setups for PREs You have to download it, but here's a good powerpoint on it https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/hmt/seminar_files/PRE_NWS_Teletraining.ppt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Starting to think Fred IS the PRE LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 GFS real weak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Actually deepens rapidly near hr 48. Maybe some weird things going on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Actually deepens rapidly near hr 48. Maybe some weird things going on. Looks like the northern edge of the storm gets completely demolished with very little convection and then once convection wraps around the center/develops on the north side it goes boom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: My beer fridge is packed . Have at least 50 IPA’s .Genny power LFG!! Bastard. I can't keep mine filled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 I'm not that far out yet, but the GFS could be looking at a longer recovery from the current shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: Your beer fridge is powered by genny? Lol. We genny cream and genny up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 GFS looks OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 GFS is quite a bit east so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Pretty east so far. Will have to see if it gets pulled back west like the Icon did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 52 minutes ago, CTFarmer said: LIS storm urge impact with multiple tide cycles compounding will be an issue, especially western sound. Aside from those who make a living on the water, most residents are totally unaware of this incoming for the weekend. It does not take much. It only drains through the race or under the Brooklyn Bridge. Our summer plans having changed like four times, we just the other day booked a house on the water in Milford starting next Friday. Hoping the flooding does not materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 GFS weaker and further E than 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said: Pretty east so far. Will have to see if it gets pulled back west like the NAM did. Any time you start watching for that, its over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Well that was fun while it lasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Great run to run continuity on the GFS, Just like usual, Not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Cape scraper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Well that was fun while it lasted. But the EURO initialized too weak yesterday...it has to hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Who cares 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 There's always next year. Gone like the SOX PS hopes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Looks pretty close to the current hurricane model consensus. Probably the most likely scenario still. Just off Chatham or east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: Looks pretty close to the current hurricane model consensus. Probably the most likely scenario still. Just off Chatham or east Hopefully that is far enough east to spare me several inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully that is far enough east to spare me several inches of rain. It’s alone. Good luck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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