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Major Hurricane Grace


WxWatcher007
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Also, recon found that Grace has reorganized its core and that it is contained within the deepest convection. The convection just hasn't expanded much to the south. Still, Grace is in a more favorable environment than pre Yucatán it seems. Also a mid-level eye feature looks to be forming where recon found the low-level vorticity maximum. Have to watch that closely.e230fbbd789f7eb6c7588fe49e2d25c2.jpg

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18 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Grace is beginning to encircle the center with convection.

And right on cue. The last 12 hours up to landfall were the ones that we expected Grace would intensify more aggressively and we are near that threshold. We needed a hurricane that looked like one, and it's taking that look now.

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And right on cue. The last 12 hours up to landfall were the ones that we expected Grace would intensify more aggressively and we are near that threshold. We needed a hurricane that looked like one, and it's taking that look now.
Yeah, Grace has never been graceful with respect to symmetry, much less an eye. That may be about to change.
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7 minutes ago, Scott747 said:

That's what it's going to look like too after landfall once it hits those mountains. The disintegration of Karl was pretty amazing.

Yeah, no cyclone is match to the Sierra Madre. The bigger and meaner, the more dramatic the fall. Only thing is all it's juice is squeezed out, causing mudslides and extensive flooding.

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Shear has abated some, to around 10-15 kts. Looks like it gained a bit of latitude during the convective explosion, but not much. Now looks like Tecolutla may be ground zero. If trends continue we can speculate on a major at landfall.

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