frd Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Fascinating loop, ( focus on the second loop not the first) , espcially if you run it and pause it. I like to look at the end of the run/ loop, at that feature moving across Canada, and into the Northeast. Rather robust at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 55 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Those rip currrents are serious stuff. Just read about a 50-year old guy and his 28-year old son both lost to a rip at the NC coast. Terrible. FYI. From Accuweather feed: Water temperatures were close to the peak for the year and were inviting in all of those places. As of Thursday, the ocean temperatures off the Outer Banks were 84.2 degrees Fahrenheit. The water temperature at beaches in Atlantic City was 79.0 F, 74.3 F in the waters off Montauk and 75.6 F near Nantucket. However, AccuWeather forecasters warn that dangers such as rough surf and strong rip currents will be a concern through Saturday in this zone. A 50-year-old father and his 28-year-old son were killed in a rip current near the Oak Island Pear in North Carolina on Wednesday afternoon, according to WECT. Bystanders pulled the father from the water, but emergency responders were unable to save him. A two-hour search ensued for his son, who was still missing, but his body was later recovered. According to data from NOAA, more people have died as a result of rip currents on a yearly basis over the last decade than from lightning strikes or due to impacts from extreme cold combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 hour ago, frd said: Looking at the surf zone wave models currently, it appears that some legit surfing potential for those experienced enough will occur this weekend along the New Jersey and Delaware beaches. Of course I favor the NJ beaches because decade long beach repleneshmnet along the DE beaches has caused more of a shore break to occur. Wave modeling indicating 5 Foot waves with a period of 14 seconds arriving from the SE on Saturday with a more West wind off the land on Sunday . Still iffy though on the exact wave forecasts, as the various wave models are still in a bit of disagreement. Yeah, really sad what's happened to the Delaware beaches and OC because of beach replenishment. I remember growing up as a kid with so many fond memories of boogie boarding waves in Ocean City, sandbars way out into the ocean, etc. All of that is gone now, and I'm not sure if and when it will ever come back. Went to OCNJ a few years back and the waves there were great and didn't crash right on the beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 33 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Yeah, really sad what's happened to the Delaware beaches and OC because of beach replenishment. I remember growing up as a kid with so many fond memories of boogie boarding waves in Ocean City, sandbars way out into the ocean, etc. All of that is gone now, and I'm not sure if and when it will ever come back. Went to OCNJ a few years back and the waves there were great and didn't crash right on the beach. Thats why I go to Wildwood. The reason is two fold, the man made grade used is much steeper, versus natural beach slopes, and the quality of the source is different meaning they used pebbles at one time mixed in. This is a good link. https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/local/2015/07/03/blame-renourishment-crushing-waves/29665321/ Here is a look at generated wave heights with the storm this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 3 hours ago, MN Transplant said: 12z 3km with a stripe of heavy rain through the metros, too. edit - and after looking at the 12z HRRR I bet we get another Flash Flood Watch. Yay! You win the prize of a FFW! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Looks like a flood watch was just posted. Back to the swamp pattern we've been in for years. At least it's something interesting though. I'll take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 211 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 DCZ001-MDZ013-503-504-VAZ036>040-050>056-501-502-505>508-200215- /O.NEW.KLWX.FF.A.0011.210820T0600Z-210820T1600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock- Orange-Culpeper-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Including the cities of Silver Spring, Bethesda, Bowie, Arlington, Manassas, Damascus, Falls Church, Purcellville, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Chantilly, Orange, Culpeper, Centreville, Wintergreen, Sterling, College Park, Fredericksburg, Falmouth, Herndon, Ashburn, Greenbelt, Germantown, Leesburg, McLean, Camp Springs, Rockville, Lake Ridge, Dale City, Suitland-Silver Hill, Laurel, Reston, Montclair, Turnbull, Madison, Alexandria, Clinton, Woodbridge, Stanardsville, Washington, Annandale, Warrenton, Big Meadows, Gaithersburg, Gordonsville, and Franconia 211 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of DC, central Maryland and Virginia, including the following areas: in DC, District of Columbia. In central Maryland, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Northwest Montgomery and Prince Georges. In Virginia, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Orange, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford and Western Loudoun. * From 2 AM EDT Friday through Friday morning. * Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected. Although isolated thunderstorms capable of heavy rain are possible this evening near and southwest of the DC metro area, the bulk of the threat is expected to be overnight into Friday morning. Thunderstorms may be capable of producing heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches per hour. * Heavy rainfall may result in rapid rises on streams, creeks, and in urban and poor drainage areas. This will especially be the case where repetitive or persistent thunderstorm activity occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: Yay! You win the prize of a FFW! Damnit. I thought I was going to beat you to it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Euro focuses on DC metro area for heaviest rain without much in central VA like earlier runs. But overall drier even around DC with about 1”. Obviously places under cells could get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 I'm hoping for some nighttime storms... always nice to have thunder, lightning, and heavy rain as you are falling asleep 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro focuses on DC metro area for heaviest rain without much in central VA like earlier runs. But overall drier even around DC with about 1”. Obviously places under cells could get more. Good, hopefully we get 0.0" overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 7.2” for the month, I’m thinking double-digit monthly total is looking good now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Flood Watch National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 322 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-200730- /O.NEW.KPHI.FF.A.0007.210820T0600Z-210820T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Kent-Inland Sussex-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline- Including the cities of Georgetown, Denton, Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, and Dover 322 PM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Delaware...and northeast Maryland...including the following areas...in Delaware...Inland Sussex and Kent. In northeast Maryland...Caroline, Kent MD, Queen Annes, and Talbot. * From 2 AM EDT Friday through Friday afternoon. * An approaching upper level disturbace will cause multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms to develop tonight into Friday morning. Widespread 1 to 3 inches of rainfall will be possible with localized higher totals. This could result in flash flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 Other than the area I have been watering where I have new grass coming up, soil is very dry here. Nothing significant since last weekend. Could use a good soaking, but not a tropical deluge where much of it runs off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 WPC looks kinda meh. Maybe an inch. Heavier stuff south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coolio Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 NAM has DC proper getting 4.44 through 1pm tomorrow. Wowsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, coolio said: NAM has DC proper getting 4.44 through 1pm tomorrow. Wowsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 19, 2021 Share Posted August 19, 2021 7 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: Already raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 1 hour ago, coolio said: NAM has DC proper getting 4.44 through 1pm tomorrow. Wowsa. Ugh please be wrong. Raining now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 That Canadian air better not be a fata morgana. I am so over this damned humidity and the rain every damn day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 34 minutes ago, kgottwald said: That Canadian air better not be a fata morgana. I am so over this damned humidity and the rain every damn day. Yeah…about that… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 6 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah…about that… Do not want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 452 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Northwestern Frederick County in north central Maryland... * Until 800 AM EDT. * At 452 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Frederick... Thurmont... Walkersville... Braddock Heights... Clover Hill... Wolfsville... Myersville... Woodsboro... Lewistown... Bloomfield... Utica... Middletown In Frederick Md... Pleasant Walk... Bolivar... This includes the following Flood Prone Roads: Lenhart Road near Fishing Creek... Wilhide Road near Hunting Creek... Blacks Mill Road at Hessong Bridge Road... Retreat Road near Glade Creek... Stottlemeyer Road near Middle Creek... Brethren Church Road near Catoctin Creek... Shank Road near Catoctin Creek... Station Road near Catoctin Creek... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 10 hours ago, jewell2188 said: how was your rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 It is going to be pretty gross for awhile longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Absolutely pouring here now. Got some thunder too. Guess I will wait to leave for work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 609 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 DEZ002-MDZ015-019-020-201045- Kent DE-Queen Anne`s MD-Talbot MD-Caroline MD- 609 AM EDT Fri Aug 20 2021 ...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Kent, northeastern Talbot, eastern Queen Anne`s and central Caroline Counties through 645 AM EDT... At 609 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Queen Anne, or 9 miles southeast of Centerville, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Easton, Denton, Greensboro, Oakland, Ridgely, Goldsboro, Queen Anne, Starr, Skipton, Jumptown, Matthews, Wye Mills, Griffin, Cordova, Carville, Hope, Hillsboro and Barclay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Haven't seen this kind of rain here in a while. Tropical deluge. 0.75" in 10 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted August 20, 2021 Share Posted August 20, 2021 Man I hope that second area slides to my NW. Looks like some training setting up. Don't need 4" of rain. Up to 1.2" now. Booming thunder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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