kdxken Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 42 minutes ago, StormSurge said: I just want some rain. Everyone else was splashing around in puddles all July & my lawn is brown. Where do you live Phoenix? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 11:31 AM, weatherwiz said: Oh...oh...OHHHHHHH Am I the only one who thought "O'Reilly Auto Parts. Ow!"? 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, kdxken said: Where do you live Phoenix? It felt like it last month, at least after the first few days. Definitely a "have not". A coastal would be great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Wow...looks like GFS hedging towards a NAM-like solution 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 Poor GFS. Always last to the party . And folks believed it yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Poor GFS. Always last to the party . And folks believed it yesterday The last one to the partly survives deeper into the night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Would this coastal system later in the week be classified as a subtropical storm verbatim per the NAM and other models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Hopefully goes east last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Or head into NY state and stein most of us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Canadian is congrats cape cod. Unfortunately could be a soaker from HFD to the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully goes east last minute. You may need this. https://www.inaturalist.org/guides/3652 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: You may need this. https://www.inaturalist.org/guides/3652 Seems like I have some fungal issues already. Last week or so has at least dried out the top half inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Seems like I have some fungal issues already. Last week or so has at least dried out the top half inch or so. Toe Jam? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 The EML gets pushed to our north next week I also admittedly thought it was later in the week yesterday...I was thinking it was like Wednesday or Thursday and didn't realize it was a week out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 56 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Would this coastal system later in the week be classified as a subtropical storm verbatim per the NAM and other models? I haven’t really started looking until now but my quick thought is yes if it can get genesis going off the SC coast and over the Gulf Stream before lifting NE. In the whole scheme of things though it doesn’t look particularly impressive IMO. It doesn’t look fully baroclinic to me on the GFS but maybe I’m wrong @CoastalWx @weatherwiz? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I haven’t really started looking until now but my quick thought is yes if it can get genesis going off the SC coast and over the Gulf Stream before lifting NE. In the whole scheme of things though it doesn’t look particularly impressive IMO. It doesn’t look fully baroclinic to me on the GFS but maybe I’m wrong @CoastalWx @weatherwiz? I would think an argument could be made for a subtropical storm. Does look like it would be warm cored. I would think though any strengthening of such nature is probably more related to the pretty robust upper-level jet/divergence present over the region. That is really the only window I see for such low pressure organization/intensification. There is a bit of a barlocinic zone present but I don't think it's enough for a low to really take off. I'm guessing the area of convection just off the SC coast is the area of interest. Doesn't appear to be any real type of circulation present (or if so it's very weak). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Toe Jam? Attention @TauntonBlizzard2013 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Note: SPC shifted general thunderstorm line EAST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 i think it will be a cat 1 when it gets here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 1-3"+ for all on euro. Eff that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 1-3"+ for all on euro. Eff that. TORs on the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: TORs on the Cape Yeah could be into SE MA. Cool rain elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Definitely can’t say the weather this summer hasn’t been interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 On the line here with a little under 1”. Need a messenger shuffle eastward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 On the vineyard? is it going to rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah could be into SE MA. Cool rain elsewhere. Dews way up all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: I would think an argument could be made for a subtropical storm. Does look like it would be warm cored. I would think though any strengthening of such nature is probably more related to the pretty robust upper-level jet/divergence present over the region. That is really the only window I see for such low pressure organization/intensification. There is a bit of a barlocinic zone present but I don't think it's enough for a low to really take off. I'm guessing the area of convection just off the SC coast is the area of interest. Doesn't appear to be any real type of circulation present (or if so it's very weak). Yeah—it’s like a 2 on my interest scale. If we had development and a little more time further south, it’d be a different story. At any rate, looks like a nice potential rainmaker with some breezy conditions on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 Wonder if the low keeps trending and goes up over NYC? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 We could use some more rains near S Shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wonder if the low keeps trending and goes up over NYC? Great news, let's bring this west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now