Brian5671 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro went East some but EPS stayed same. With the massive WAR building NW. it would stand to reason it keeps coming NW with downpours and storms Thursday/ Fri GFS looks lost as usual 18z NAM agrees but holds it off til Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2021 Author Share Posted August 2, 2021 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’s back. You don’t do a high dew 75+ pattern with Stein. Rainy period starts Thursday. War back in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: You don’t do a high dew 75+ pattern with Stein. Rainy period starts Thursday. War back in Nah it’s just sun and fun with spot stuff. Last year did that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 27 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 18z NAM agrees but holds it off til Thursday Yeah I'm fine with that on Thursday. Modeling had been creeping west with the initial wave on Wednesday but I think that stays offshore, or at least east of CT. Probably not ideal beach weather on Wednesday in CT with the clouds and NE flow but as long as it's not a washout I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: He’s back. Definitely degrades the meaning when its only a week of dry. Should be saved for long stretch dry spells. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 Def looking at a wet pattern Thursday on. Reminds me of July but not quite as wet overall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Def looking at a wet pattern Thursday on. Reminds me of July but not quite as wet overall I think Scott hit his head unless Weymouth has missed the last several rain episodes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think Scott hit his head unless Weymouth has missed the last several rain episodes He gets very rose colored glasses like. Wants Stein but misses the WAR strength always stronger than modeled so everything ends up west in the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Nah it’s just sun and fun with spot stuff. Last year did that. I don’t know man. I think Thursday and Friday keep coming west with heavy rains/ storms back to Berks. Nammy seeing it. War strength always under modeled till closer in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Def looking at a wet pattern Thursday on. Reminds me of July but not quite as wet overall Hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t know man. I think Thursday and Friday keep coming west with heavy rains/ storms back to Berks. Nammy seeing it. War strength always under modeled till closer in I was mostly referring to weekend and beyond. As far as this week, I’m not sure how far west it goes. Id actually take a little natural Help before Ricky comes and dries us out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was mostly referring to weekend and beyond. As far as this week, I’m not sure how far west it goes. Id actually take a little natural Help before Ricky comes and dries us out. I’d bet we see some pretty big t storms next week from about 95 north and west each afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’d bet we see some pretty big t storms next week from about 95 north and west each afternoon I think it’s capped unless a disturbance moves through. Maybe later in the week next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 I’m not really sure what to expect for weather after reading the last 50 posts. Hope nobody comes here looking for a forecast lol. 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Heaviest rain rate perhaps of the convective season. Man that up the coast retrograding warm front has that upper bound PWAT green rain curtain look in the NAM - NAM did that also back in June when that similar ordeal played out tho. The physics in that model trying to close off eddies along the warm boundary from embedded convective nodes - creating its own feed back mechanics that gooses QPF; it smacks as the same thing. Wouldn’t shock me if that’s much less but regional reintroduction to the warm soup. Might briefly take on a Bahamas blue pattern as that front smears through while losing identity … In fact hard pressed to see where/how that rich theta-e then advects out. That’s a reentrance no exit synopsis out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 9 hours ago, Bostonseminole said: I’m not really sure what to expect for weather after reading the last 50 posts. Hope nobody comes here looking for a forecast lol . Noreaster from ECT to Portland Maine Thursday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 49.9° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: 49.9° 53⁰ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 10 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: He gets very rose colored glasses like. Wants Stein but misses the WAR strength always stronger than modeled so everything ends up west in the end he 00z ECENS mean has 2+ inches storm total rainfall over RI and southeast MA Wed night thru Fri. 00z GEFS is slightly farther southeast with the axis of heavy rain, more focused over ACK and points southeast. Thus, could be a sharp cutoff in precip along/near I-95 corridor. Congratulations Nantucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 49*, left the windows open and house is down to 64*. Nice and crispy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: 49.9° We tried to tell 'em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 1 minute ago, PowderBeard said: 49*, left the windows open and house is down to 64*. Nice and crispy. The smell of wood smoke in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: The smell of wood smoke in the air. Soon... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Noreaster from ECT to Portland Maine Thursday Heaviest rain Wednesday eve - Thursday night is likely across Southeast Mass. 1-2"+ possible in a couple waves of locally heavy rain that moves through. Won't rain that whole stretch of time, but when it does, downpours possible. Totals likely much lower northwest of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Noreaster from ECT to Portland Maine Thursday Where's my qpf??? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Heaviest rain Wednesday eve - Thursday night is likely across Southeast Mass. 1-2"+ possible in a couple waves of locally heavy rain that moves through. Won't rain that whole stretch of time, but when it does, downpours possible. Totals likely much lower northwest of I-95. p/c is only for 40% showers here.....work your way down as you head away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 Man modeling coming into agreement on a S Wey soaker Thursday. Couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Noreaster from ECT to Portland Maine Thursday That’s really just heavy rain and thunder storms along warm front as it pushes west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2021 Author Share Posted August 3, 2021 The dews are a coming.. for a verrrry long stay. Our time is upon us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The dews are a coming.. for a verrrry long stay. Our time is upon us Yep, the smell of wood smoke in the air soon to be replaced by body odor and the smell of dog poo decomposing in the dews. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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