powderfreak Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Nice evening in NE CT. Probably time for an evening swim. See all sorts of trees ready to take those power lines out too, ha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 20 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Nice evening in NE CT. Probably time for an evening swim. See all sorts of trees ready to take those power lines out too, ha. Just got out of my pool. Fantastic. Muggy as shit now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted August 21, 2021 Share Posted August 21, 2021 Riding this one out in the ADKs, not expecting much of anything, but like PF mentioned, got an evening swim in before dinner..lake is 81F perfect degrees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Horrible situation in Tennessee with 10 plus dead many missing from flash flooding with 16 inches of rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 10 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Horrible situation in Tennessee with 10 plus dead many missing from flash flooding with 16 inches of rain. Heard about that...wow. no good - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 When/if anyone re-engages with this thread.. . That's an impressive non-hydrostatic heat signal in the operational GFS extending across some four or even five days ...from ~ Tue thru next Sun The Euro has it too, but ...it also ripples a blocking/ridge node through the flow, over southern Canada .., with more amplitude and this feature piles up a surface high that interrupts it. But the D8 to 10 looks hot afterward. This has been really been in the guidance for some time but obviously ..Henri's held attention spans captive. We are late in the season for big heat. Obviously we've seen 90 to 100 in early September, so history demo's it is not impossible. But it is getting notable to have +17 to +20 850 MB air over the southern Lakes, lower OV and M/A regions, should the oper. GFS near historic 500 mb non-hydro heights over top. We are past the solar max, so we need less clouds ...favorable wind directions and so on to not interfere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: When/if anyone re-engages with this thread.. . That's an impressive non-hydrostatic heat signal in the operational GFS extending across some four or even five days ...from ~ Tue thru next Sun The Euro has it too, but ...it also ripples a blocking/ridge node through the flow, over southern Canada .., with more amplitude and this feature piles up a surface high that interrupts it. But the D8 to 10 looks hot afterward. This has been really been in the guidance for some time but obviously ..Henri's held attention spans captive. We are late in the season for big heat. Obviously we've seen 90 to 100 in early September, so history demo's it is not impossible. But it is getting notable to have +17 to +20 850 MB air over the southern Lakes, lower OV and M/A regions, should the oper. GFS near historic 500 mb non-hydro heights over top. We are past the solar max, so we need less clouds ...favorable wind directions and so on to not interfere. We need to dry out too. The waning insolation combined with the lush vegetation and evapotranspiration will probably limit the mixing potential. I think we would need one of those stronger downsloping west flow deals to pull off near record heat right now unless 850s are exotically through the roof. This past week verified as mostly 70s/80s with u60s/m70s dews as well. I’m in the primarily 85-92 over 70 camp which is still pretty miserable. I’m ready for the first across the bow shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: We need to dry out too. The waning insolation combined with the lush vegetation and evapotranspiration will probably limit the mixing potential. I think we would need one of those stronger downsloping west flow deals to pull off near record heat right now unless 850s are exotically through the roof. This past week verified as mostly 70s/80s with u60s/m70s dews as well. I’m in the primarily 85-92 over 70 camp which is still pretty miserable. I’m ready for the first across the bow shot. Yeah. Yup. I mean there’s a lot of different parameters to include and that is limiting more so now. -the basic scaffolding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Also thinking that would be the last hurrah of a summer and we crack back - ...hell, it's September anyway.. But because of other reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 This week looking pretty gross again for heat and humidity. Summer 21 marches on. Maybe catch a break into the weekend ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 You know it's bad when you are dreaming of 67 degree dewpoints Friday/Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 MEX for ASH on Wed has 95/69 ... It's day 3. Considering MOS damps daily anomalies with climate ...adding a tick or two onto the T side of that relationship implies a steamy sultry pairing ( heh ). No but that would rival any of those mid 90s heat days we had back in June. Thursday's not much relief 93/70 ..again, could be 95. Two big heat days back to back post Augie 20 isn't bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: If we ended up with stronger wind gusts tomorrow, I wouldn't be surprised at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: If we ended up with stronger wind gusts tomorrow, I wouldn't be surprised at all. You mean from severe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: You mean from severe? I mean, it honestly wouldn't take much lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: When/if anyone re-engages with this thread.. . That's an impressive non-hydrostatic heat signal in the operational GFS extending across some four or even five days ...from ~ Tue thru next Sun The Euro has it too, but ...it also ripples a blocking/ridge node through the flow, over southern Canada .., with more amplitude and this feature piles up a surface high that interrupts it. But the D8 to 10 looks hot afterward. This has been really been in the guidance for some time but obviously ..Henri's held attention spans captive. We are late in the season for big heat. Obviously we've seen 90 to 100 in early September, so history demo's it is not impossible. But it is getting notable to have +17 to +20 850 MB air over the southern Lakes, lower OV and M/A regions, should the oper. GFS near historic 500 mb non-hydro heights over top. We are past the solar max, so we need less clouds ...favorable wind directions and so on to not interfere. It's way back (1895) but Maine sites hit low-mid (some upper) 90s on Sept 22-23 that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 39 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I mean, it honestly wouldn't take much lol Lol. We had a 25mph gust earlier…my neighbor asked when the big winds are coming…funny how the general public doesn’t know it’s not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Days of summer and dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Days of summer and dews. A few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Days of summer and dews. Not a break in sight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not a break in sight Crap. I could use a dry, warm day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 You do realize that as Global Warming continues and human's at last succeed in this extinction event they appear to so eagerly want to see happen ... this kind of warm miasma becomes more and more the norm ... One of the many gem suggestions that comes out of the CC modeling - 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You do realize that as Global Warming continues and human's at last succeed in this extinction event they appear to so eagerly want to see happen ... this kind of warm miasma becomes more and more the norm ... One of the many gem suggestions that comes out of the CC modeling - You think cc will be a human extinction event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 1 hour ago, tamarack said: It's way back (1895) but Maine sites hit low-mid (some upper) 90s on Sept 22-23 that year. Don't forget the heat event in September 2002 which had some upper 90s days, at least in western ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: MEX for ASH on Wed has 95/69 ... It's day 3. Considering MOS damps daily anomalies with climate ...adding a tick or two onto the T side of that relationship implies a steamy sultry pairing ( heh ). No but that would rival any of those mid 90s heat days we had back in June. Thursday's not much relief 93/70 ..again, could be 95. Two big heat days back to back post Augie 20 isn't bad. If it weren't for these interruptions from the tropical systems, this could have been an impressive stretch for duration. BTV and Montreal both hit 90s yesterday away from all the clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 16 hours ago, Saguaro said: Don't forget the heat event in September 2002 which had some upper 90s days, at least in western ME. LEW hit 96 in 9/02, Bridgton and Farmington 95, and IZG might've been hottest of all. However that was on 9/9, nearly 2 weeks closer to met summer than the 1895 heat. (Farmington hasn't reached 95 since that 2002 day; best has been the 94 in June 2020.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not a break in sight Sat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Sat? Hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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