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August Disco 2021. Do record dews continue?


Damage In Tolland
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6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

A couple more days of this Crap and then summer returns first with dews and then hits em hard with big furnace next week. Please Hammer .. don’t hurt em’ 

Oh Ricky you’re so fine, you’re so fine you blow my mind...hey Ricky! 

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18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

A couple more days of this Crap and then summer returns first with dews and then hits em hard with big furnace next week. Please Hammer .. don’t hurt em’ 

It'll be a dew furnace. EPS has over the top heights to the northeast suggesting a lot of onshore flow.

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4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

It'll be a dew furnace. EPS has over the top heights to the northeast suggesting a lot of onshore flow.

It’s probably not 100 degrees stuff, but lots of 88-95 with high humidity. Bring it in until Labor Day and then we allow the cool down. 

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Euro has a lot of contaminated days with that long range heat. Maybe it doesn’t verify at all like that, but that would make for a lot of typically swampy August days with 87/74 garbage with no air movement. Would probably equate to more fungi tweets from Stein.

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3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Euro has a lot of contaminated days with that long range heat. Maybe it doesn’t verify at all like that, but that would make for a lot of typically swampy August days with 87/74 garbage with no air movement. Would probably equate to more fungi tweets from Stein.

Wearing clogs or no clogs?

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26 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

One of those two disturbances on the GFS, Tues and Wed is going to hit us hard. Just a matter of which one. 
:maprain:
 

More than likely the 2 weak disturbances are really one, more cohesive tropical/st system...Major guidance just hasn’t resolved it yet. That’s my best guess anyway.

This week?

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not sure any of that's "likely" to happen imho

It's possible - but there are a few counter -arguments to that Euro jazz, enough so to not be very confident that's not just a model long range hallucination/..enhancing amplitude thing.

One, the models does that.

Two, the PNA ... yeah yeah yeah less correlative at this time of year, but this sort of concerted Satan comes to earth signal is tough to ignore:

Ensemble Mean PNA Outlook

...that's a historic scale of that index, definitely relative to August... And, excessively concerted - meaning all members agree!    So, it's a battle between hypothesis of less season confidence, vs so much overwhelming monstrosity as to make one a dipshit if they ignore. Good luck...that ain't no warm signal.

Three, persistence... persistence hasn't been demoed yet as being really broken down, and so that puts the onus on the models to not be screwing that up, and when those looks above don't support said models... that doesn't lend confidence that this is very real. 

So we'll see... The only hemispheric telecon that supports is the NAO... which is tough to rely upon in winter for that matter, let alone now.

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