CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Pants tent sunset. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 We rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Wow that’s some insane meteorology on that 18z NAM 25kt E wind at Logan jars S at 30 during 2 hours of fire hosing Usually you don’t jolt conveyors in the lower levels like that… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 S.O.S incoming ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: We rain! That would be absolutely brutal positioning here in winter, ha. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 17 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: S.O.S incoming ? Yup looks like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 How do you guys get sticky undies for rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 0z NAM looks well east...LOL What a joke of a model 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nah.Should end up near or over BDR is my best estimate I'm sure folks were waiting for your estimate. Thank you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Nam well East lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Nam well East lol It’s 3K brother is east but not as far. Tried to tell them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Nam looks like timing issues too. Unfortunately may have to toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Yeah well not entirely sure you’re all not being had anyway - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s 3K brother is east but not as far. Tried to tell them. It’s tough to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Ugh. Holy shit euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 54 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ugh. Holy shit euro. 91 east floods western areas dry.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 4, 2021 Author Share Posted August 4, 2021 Euro and EPS are wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 I'm happy to see Maine getting into some appreciable rain. Get more of that qpf pattern up there for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 The challenge for this forecast is where the axis of heavy rainfall will set up which will be dependent on the boundary location. Global and hi-res guidance offer differing solutions so forecast confidence is lower than what is ideal at this time range. Consensus of the guidance favors the I-95 corridor including BOS and PVD for axis of heaviest rainfall but the ECMWF is further west into CT and central MA while HRRR and hi- res RGEM are further east and focused more across SE MA and Cape Cod. We leaned toward the HREF LPMM which targeted the I-95 corridor into eastern MA which is also closer to the low level jet and PWAT axis so we issued a flash flood watch for RI and eastern MA where confidence is highest at this time. However, the axis of heavy rainfall may still shift to east or west given envelope of deterministic and ensemble solutions Wherever it sets up it looks like ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Totally impressive convergence wherever that sets up. 3 to 5 inches of rain in 4 hrs will be crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Totally impressive convergence wherever that sets up. 3 to 5 inches of rain in 4 hrs will be crazy. Yeah this may be an issue if it comes to fruition as some models show. Lots of discrepancies still though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 4, 2021 Author Share Posted August 4, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Totally impressive convergence wherever that sets up. 3 to 5 inches of rain in 4 hrs will be crazy. It looks like Scooters area gets a ton of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It looks like Scooters area gets a ton of rain I'll say jack zone is as far east as me and as far west as BDL. Maybe I am wrong and it's more Cape...but just my guess. I wouldn't mind some rain, but not 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 10 hours ago, ineedsnow said: We rain! Don’t need it. Farmers up and down the valley are having their ground crops ruined. Powder mold everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 wagons east on the 6z Euro-another 50 mile shift east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 10 hours ago, powderfreak said: That would be absolutely brutal positioning here in winter, ha. your typical, congrats ORH event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: wagons east on the 6z Euro-another 50 mile shift east Thank God this isn't winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 4, 2021 Share Posted August 4, 2021 Yeah there is the shift. Although it has two waves of rain. 4-5" over SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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