Typhoon Tip Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 2:15 PM, weatherwiz said: For Thurs - Sun period? I certainly agree with convective threats during that period and perhaps alot of the rain that occurs during this period if more convectively driven than synoptically...though they key word here being more...as there will be synoptic aid but I don't see it being enough to support heavy rains over a widespread area. The pattern moving into next week could certainly favor some MCS potential, especially northern New England. Expand I was thinking along the lines of D3 - 14 frankly ...ha. Like in general. Perhaps more so next week, sure. Longer version: What's going on at a hemispheric scope is that the westerlies are pulling ... abandoning the previous look. The GFS ( typically...) left a trough baggage dangling as that happens. In somewhat contrast the Euro was more interested in 'filling' it in, and eventually flipping the wave sig and emerging a more impressive eastern ridge pervasive. Again, the Euro may be over-doing that specific aspect. The GFS seems to have edged in favor of the Euro though...so, that subtle move .. it's like it plays head games and tempts us. LOL. No but I think a 60/40 blend perhaps? That does situate a week long period of MCS look to me. that's all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 1:52 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: https://mobile.twitter.com/JakeCarstens/status/1421494130706993154/photo/1 like the graphic ^ and then Ventrice Expand Whats different than every other August since I was born 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 1:01 PM, forkyfork said: and lol @ using raw 2m temps Expand You live in a totally different climate, you have what 30 plus 90s we had 13 to 14 in the cities 3 to 4 in the country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 2:54 PM, Ginx snewx said: You live in a totally different climate, you have what 30 plus 90s we had 13 to 14 in the cities 3 to 4 in the country Expand what does that have to do with my post 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 11:17 AM, dendrite said: Another 0.68” through the tipper and I was a local min. Gene had over an inch. Time to dry it out. There’s actually algae forming on the path down to the run and I slipped and fell on it this morning. Never fell on it when it was ice before. lol Expand friend in Sunapee had close to 4" last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Oh...oh...OHHHHHHH 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 2:57 PM, forkyfork said: what does that have to do with my post Expand 2 m temps on the Euro have been pretty spot on here. You are judging the Euro against your locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 3:31 PM, weatherwiz said: Oh...oh...OHHHHHHH Expand Is that product available from the ensemble mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 4:07 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Is that product available from the ensemble mean Expand It is not Perhaps maybe through AWIPS though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Must be real cold aloft, destructive sunshine. Nice CU headed for the beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 4:10 PM, weatherwiz said: It is not Perhaps maybe through AWIPS though? Expand Mm yeah not sure. I've been pussy-AWIPsed before but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 We wet. May need to take 2-3F off the forecasts locally and add it to the dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 3:34 PM, Ginx snewx said: 2 m temps on the Euro have been pretty spot on here. You are judging the Euro against your locale. Expand the weather doesn't work differently here, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 6:36 PM, forkyfork said: the weather doesn't work differently here, lol Expand UHI , where did ya go July, too chilly to post. Lol clockwork Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 i'm sorry you're pressed about the coming warmup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 6:47 PM, forkyfork said: i'm sorry you're pressed about the coming warmup Expand Canned response. Funny I love heat now they I don't have to work in it. Like you. please tell the Euro folks they don't need to do regional bias, pick one spot a go with it. Like you do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2021 Author Share Posted August 2, 2021 TORCH!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 vicious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Send forth the derechos and tropical cyclones 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 I have a beach day planned on Wednesday near Madison Connecticut. Is that wave of low pressure going to keep trending closer? The rain shield seems to be inching closer with every model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2021 Author Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 7:39 PM, CT Valley Snowman said: I have a beach day planned on Wednesday near Madison Connecticut. Is that wave of low pressure going to keep trending closer? The rain shield seems to be inching closer with every model run Expand Euro went East some but EPS stayed same. With the massive WAR building NW. it would stand to reason it keeps coming NW with downpours and storms Thursday/ Fri GFS looks lost as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 7:09 PM, Cyclone-68 said: Send forth the derechos and tropical cyclones Expand 1998 along with a 1938 and we're in business 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 8:10 PM, Torch Tiger said: 1998 along with a 1938 and we're in business Expand Maybe throw in a ‘54 too so the Caribbean doesn’t get jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Looks like we will be going through another teleconnection change around the 14th. Back to the negative EPO Positive PNA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 72/50 right now and roosters strutting around like the real cocks they are. What a day after an inch of rain last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 Full stein on the euro away from SE areas. Finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2021 Author Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 9:01 PM, CoastalWx said: Full stein on the euro away from SE areas. Finally. Expand Only the op. Eps wettie wettie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 9:07 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Only the op. Eps wettie wettie Expand He’s back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 2, 2021 Share Posted August 2, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 8:22 PM, Ginx snewx said: Looks like we will be going through another teleconnection change around the 14th. Back to the negative EPO Positive PNA Expand Yeah probably but the period before that (5-15) looks like a scorcher. There could be 100s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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