Damage In Tolland Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 WAR may exert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 24, 2021 Author Share Posted July 24, 2021 3 hours ago, wdrag said: WAR? Will the Western Atlantic Ridge reassert itself and result in the verification of previous many long range outlooks of above to much above normal temps for August here in the NY area? And if so, when does the Atlantic Basin fire up? I see as of this 7/24 writing that our tropical topic posters seem to expect week two or three of August for activity getting going? SST ANOM's don't look exciting (to me) but these can change. Certainly the + anoms well north of HAT (especially New England) can feed or extend the life of TC's north of Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 Lookin good 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 25, 2021 Share Posted July 25, 2021 This is for record low dews, right? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 25, 2021 Share Posted July 25, 2021 Are there any dew records? Does anyone track that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 25, 2021 Author Share Posted July 25, 2021 8 hours ago, dendrite said: This is for record low dews, right? Do you believe that will verify? With the soil moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 25, 2021 Share Posted July 25, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Do you believe that will verify? With the soil moisture? 40s dews aren't that big of a deal. 12z Euro op has 30s dews down to MD early next week. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 26, 2021 Share Posted July 26, 2021 7 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Are there any dew records? Does anyone track that? You can find them at places like IEM because of the ASOS period of record, but otherwise no. We definitely don't have a database (even paper) here at the office for instance of daily dewpoint records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 On 7/25/2021 at 10:32 PM, OceanStWx said: You can find them at places like IEM because of the ASOS period of record, but otherwise no. We definitely don't have a database (even paper) here at the office for instance of daily dewpoint records. Apparently there was a 33 at Concord in July one year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Apparently there was a 33 at Concord in July one year Probably because they had a low of 35°. edit…check that. 7/1/1978 they had a dew in the 30s all day including a dew of 32° for a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 Starting off August with an early autumn air mass. Zone forecasts up here are maxes in the upper 60s to near 70F starting Saturday. That's pretty legit if we get some sunshine and struggle through the upper 60s in the afternoon. Saturday Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Sunday Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Monday Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 27, 2021 Author Share Posted July 27, 2021 Aug 7th on ..dews and high furnace return. Enjoy the small speed bump next week. It’s short lived Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Aug 7th on ..dews and high furnace return. Enjoy the small speed bump next week. It’s short lived 6 week speed bump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Aug 7th on ..dews and high furnace return. Enjoy the small speed bump next week. It’s short lived Its ok lower sun angle starting to set in soon summer will be over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Aug 7th on ..dews and high furnace return. Enjoy the small speed bump next week. It’s short lived please define high furnace. TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: 6 week speed bump Days are noticeably shorter and daily highs are now on the downward slide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Its ok lower sun angle starting to set in soon summer will be over Less than 5 months away from days getting longer again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted July 27, 2021 Share Posted July 27, 2021 I gotta say these euro 10 day maps have been insanity for mid-summer. What's this...a three-stream phaser? Can we have this in winter, please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 7 hours ago, SJonesWX said: please define high furnace. TIA BDL -1.2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 On 7/25/2021 at 6:08 AM, dendrite said: This is for record low dews, right? no, this is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 DP is 45 right now. That’s my kind of summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 trended from a refreshing nw flow pattern to humid southerly flow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 28, 2021 Author Share Posted July 28, 2021 Girl you looks good , won’t you back that thang up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 I suppose this does concern early August so moving it here Trough for this weekend is minoring out some. Has the complexion in both the operational Euro and GFS ( shockingly... ) to really just cease momentum and stop digging. It's interesting. The pattern in the operational models appears to be responding to the multi- guidance complexion of a rising NAO ...more so than that odd looking +PNA spire. Not sure what to make of the latter - it's seemingly historic in proportion in that outlook, heavily clustered too. I wonder if the GEFs calculation ( CPC ) is just wrong and the server needs a reboot - that's just not seemingly possible given the state of the Pacific, nor the climatology this time of year, but we'll see. It seems pretty clear to me that the heat in the west has helped mechanize why we are cool here over the last 20 or so days -. That is feeding back at hemispheric scales and forcing a trough into the Lakes. Basically the heat dome forces the flow SE over the Lakes as a geostrophic balancing/argument... ...which given time, causes heights to rise ( subtly ) and a +NAO response. We see then the activation of the WAR signal in the D7-10 range now - it's really a non-linear large scale wave mechanics in action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 28, 2021 Author Share Posted July 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: I suppose this does concern early August so moving it here Trough for this weekend is minoring out some. Has the complexion in both the operational Euro and GFS ( shockingly... ) to really just cease momentum and stop digging. It's interesting. The pattern in the operational models appears to be responding to the multi- guidance complexion of a rising NAO ...more so than that odd looking +PNA spire. Not sure what to make of the latter - it's seemingly historic in proportion in that outlook, heavily clustered too. I wonder if the GEFs calculation ( CPC ) is just wrong and the server needs a reboot - that's just not seemingly possible given the state of the Pacific, nor the climatology this time of year, but we'll see. It seems pretty clear to me that the heat in the west has helped mechanize why we are cool here over the last 20 or so days -. That is feeding back at hemispheric scales and forcing a trough into the Lakes. Basically the heat dome forces the flow SE over the Lakes as a geostrophic balancing/argument... ...which given time, causes heights to rise ( subtly ) and a +NAO response. We see then the activation of the WAR signal in the D7-10 range now - it's really a non-linear large scale wave mechanics in action. Certainly the folks that took out AC and thought it was windows open for 7-10 days are in for a rather rude and abrupt sweaty awakening next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Certainly the folks that took out AC and thought it was windows open for 7-10 days are in for a rather rude and abrupt sweaty awakening next week Lol Forky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Certainly the folks that took out AC and thought it was windows open for 7-10 days are in for a rather rude and abrupt sweaty awakening next week Do you mean the week after? Lol I mean it's August it better be warm. Not seeing any furnace though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Certainly the folks that took out AC and thought it was windows open for 7-10 days are in for a rather rude and abrupt sweaty awakening next week And those doing that are approximately zero, unless they're replacing it with a new machine. One who has installed their AC, whether in April or June, is unlikely to unship it before mid September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 28, 2021 Author Share Posted July 28, 2021 9 minutes ago, tamarack said: And those doing that are approximately zero, unless they're replacing it with a new machine. One who has installed their AC, whether in April or June, is unlikely to unship it before mid September. Oh there’s several folks here that do that exact thing. They’ve posted it. Freak is one of them . Agreed, it’s insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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