Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,598
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    PublicWorks143
    Newest Member
    PublicWorks143
    Joined

August 2021


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

38 minutes ago, rclab said:

Thank you BW. I used the link and contacted the ASOS group. I was specific and, of course, courteous mentioning our concerns. I also mentioned the forum as the source and education point for my correspondence with them. I also stated that I had been in contact with the Conservancy I finished by making a simple request for an environmental evaluation of the CPK ASOS location.We shall see. As always ….

Yeah, I would be curious to see how they respond to a simple analysis like we have done on this forum.

 

JFK has seen a similar rise in JJA temperatures as the other stations. You can see the big giveaway that the NYC ASOS went from the sun to deep shade. Notice how the average minimum JJA temperature rose in line with the other stations since 1951-1980. But the average high from 1951-1980 to 2011-2020 is virtually unchanged. 

JJA 1950-1981 to 2011-2020 temperature change

NYC

max….83.0…83.2….+0.2

min…..66.0…68.2….+2.2

EWR

max…83.4…85.3…..+1.9

min….65.8….67.8…..+2.0

LGA

max…82.0….84.4…..+2.4

min….66.8….69.9…..+3.1

JFK

max….80.5….82.5…..+2.0

min…..65.4….67.7……+2.3

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

39 minutes ago, lee59 said:

I look at it by years not the number of 90+ days. Another words, 2010 is number one year and 2012 is tied for the 8th, 9th and 10th highest year.

But the actual rank is by the temperature. Notice how the top 10s are listed on the NWS site. Several years can be tied but the next year after the tie doesn’t skip a rank. 2020 was still the 5th warmest February behind the two ties at 3rd and 4th warmest.

https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/warmcoldmonths.pdf

83D15FE8-9817-415B-99D9-BFB6EEB7F18A.thumb.jpeg.6802651ad2bbe65d2c65d6ccaf3b2315.jpeg

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

59 minutes ago, bluewave said:

But the actual rank is by the temperature. Notice how the top 10s are listed on the NWS site. Several years can be tied but the next year after the tie doesn’t skip a rank. 2020 was still the 5th warmest February behind the two ties at 3rd and 4th warmest.

https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/warmcoldmonths.pdf

83D15FE8-9817-415B-99D9-BFB6EEB7F18A.thumb.jpeg.6802651ad2bbe65d2c65d6ccaf3b2315.jpeg

 

February 2020 was the 7th warmest one. By temperature rank it was 5th, I agree, but by year it was 7th. Another words there were 6 other years warmer than February of 2020.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Under bright sunshine, the temperature rose into the upper 80s and lower 90s across much of the region today. 90° readings were recorded in Baltimore, Harrisburg, Hartford, Newark, Philadelphia, and Washington, DC:

90° Days for Select Cities (through August 6):

Albany: 4 (2020: 13 days; 5-Year Average: 13.6 days)
Allentown: 17 (2020: 24 days; 5-Year Average: 27.6 days)
Baltimore: 35 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 44.6 days)
Boston: 15 (2020: 14 days; 5-Year Average: 17.2 days)
Bridgeport: 8 (2020: 11 days; 5-Year Average: 13.4 days)
Burlington: 7 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 13.0 days)
Harrisburg: 22 (2020: 35 days; 5-Year Average: 30.6 days)
Hartford: 17 (2020: 39 days; 5-Year Average: 29.0 days)
Islip: 3 (2020: 8 days; 5-Year Average: 9.4 days)
New York City-JFK: 6 (2020: 12 days; 5-Year Average: 10.2 days)
New York City-LGA: 17 (2020: 34 days; 5-Year Average: 29.4 days)
New York City-NYC: 12 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 18.2 days)
Newark: 28 (2020: 31 days; 5-Year Average: 31.2 days)
Philadelphia: 23 (2020: 36 days; 5-Year Average: 34.6 days)
Scranton: 12 (2020: 25 days; 5-Year Average: 16.4 days)
Washington, DC: 30 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 50.8 days)

New York City-Newark Average: 16 (2020: 22 days)
...Expected: 17 (based on regression equation tied to JFK-LGA-EWR data)

Out West, Phoenix is on course to record its 12th day of the year with a mean temperature of 100° or above. That would tie 2006, 2012, and 2013 for the 10th most such days. Since 1896, 16 years have seen 10 or more such days. Only one year, 1995, came before 2000. Since 2010, only 2014 and 2015 had fewer than 10 such days.

Tomorrow will be partly sunny and warm. Readings will likely rise into the middle 80s with some hot spots reaching the upper 80s. Next week could see the potential of a heat wave in parts of the region, especially from Washington, DC to Philadelphia. Above normal temperatures could persist toward mid-month.

Next week could also see the development of a much above normal temperature regime in the Pacific Northwest. There is the possibility that Portland could experience its second extreme heat event of the year. That would make 201 the first year on record with two such events.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around July 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.40°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail into mid-September.

The SOI was -18.03 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.569 today.

The preliminary Pacific-North American (PNA) pattern figure was +3.998. That set a new August record high PNA for the 3rd consecutive day.

On August 4 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 0.895 (RMM). The August 3-adjusted amplitude was 1.057 (RMM).

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, I would be curious to see how they respond to a simple analysis like we have done on this forum.

 

JFK has seen a similar rise in JJA temperatures as the other stations. You can see the big giveaway that the NYC ASOS went from the sun to deep shade. Notice how the average minimum JJA temperature rose in line with the other stations since 1951-1980. But the average high from 1951-1980 to 2011-2020 is virtually unchanged. 

JJA 1950-1981 to 2011-2020 temperature change

NYC

max….83.0…83.2….+0.2

min…..66.0…68.2….+2.2

EWR

max…83.4…85.3…..+1.9

min….65.8….67.8…..+2.0

LGA

max…82.0….84.4…..+2.4

min….66.8….69.9…..+3.1

JFK

max….80.5….82.5…..+2.0

min…..65.4….67.7……+2.3

 

Good evening BW. I received a quick response and have attached it. As always ….E0418F46-5796-42A7-AB44-AA88E359D17F.thumb.jpeg.893fbefdba7aa5e6bd97942b98b2dff4.jpeg

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, rclab said:

Good evening BW. I received a quick response and have attached it. As always ….

It’s great that you got a reply. But the station he referenced was Chesapeake Virginia. Central Park is NYC.

Chesapeake Airport - KCPK

2800 Airport Drive
Chesapeake, Virginia  23323

Chesapeake Airport Authority

Manager: Mr. Chris Schrantz                             Chairman: Mr. C. Cowling 
Telephone: (757) 432-8110                                E-Mail: [email protected]
Fax: (757) 432-8410
E-Mail: [email protected]

 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

58 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It’s great that you got a reply. But the station he referenced was Chesapeake Virginia. Central Park is NYC.

Chesapeake Airport - KCPK

2800 Airport Drive
Chesapeake, Virginia  23323

Chesapeake Airport Authority

Manager: Mr. Chris Schrantz                             Chairman: Mr. C. Cowling 
Telephone: (757) 432-8110                                E-Mail: [email protected]
Fax: (757) 432-8410
E-Mail: [email protected]

 

So much for my powers of observation and comprehension I’ll relate that to him. As always

Link to comment
Share on other sites

California Dixie fire, if not the biggest in state history, very close, looks to have been started by PG@E power lines. Apparently these lines are old and go through heavily wooded areas. This fire started within 10 miles of the 2018 Camp fire which also started by PG@E lines. That fire was the deadliest and most destructive in state history. I'm sure it would be a massive undertaking but maybe they should bury the lines or at least completely clear the areas around them. Something has to be done out there as this happens year after year. With the climate out their hotter and drier, it only makes the situation worse when these fires get going.

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Morning thoughts…

It will be variably cloud and warm today. Temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 80s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 86°

Newark: 90°

Philadelphia: 87°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 84.3°; 15-Year: 84.8°

Newark: 30-Year: 85.8°; 15-Year: 86.6°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 86.8°; 15-Year: 87.2°

Next week will be generally warmer than normal. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...