WeatherAU Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Active storm weather continues to prevail in New Jersey especially in Central NJ. I stopped counting how many Severe Thunderstorm Warnings I encountered so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Hi. This is still the august weather thread. On a weather forum. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: 1993 one of the best summers EVER The max 850 mb temperatures from Thursday into Friday around +22c should approach the August monthly highs since 1979. So the surface highs will come down to the timing of the daily convection potential. Best chances to reach 100° will probably be the usual NE NJ warm spots around Newark. Maybe even around LGA or other warm parts of Queens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 The next 8 days are averaging 82degs.(73/92), or +6. No Categorical Rain today, and T 87---91 in NYC. Dry period starts Sunday, but still a little AN T's. 73*(97%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds. 80* (86%RH )by Noon 87* at 5pm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 hour ago, WeatherAU said: Active storm weather continues to prevail in New Jersey especially in Central NJ. I stopped counting how many Severe Thunderstorm Warnings I encountered so far. 2019 to 2021 has been the most active through August 10th on record for NJ severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=44&plot=line&opt=state&station=DMX&state=NJ&limit=yes&c=svrtor&phenomena=TO&significance=W&syear=1986&eyear=2021&dpi=100&_fmt=png 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 For this time of the day, the entire northeast seems to have a lot of scattered storms and rain around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, lee59 said: For this time of the day, the entire northeast seems to have a lot of scattered storms and rain around. It’s a tropical airmass with PWATS and dew points near the higher end of the range for this time of year, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 23 minutes ago, bluewave said: It’s a tropical airmass with PWATS and dew points near the higher end of the range for this time of year, My dew point is 73 and temperature 74. I guess that says it all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The max 850 mb temperatures from Thursday into Friday around +22c should approach the August monthly highs since 1979. So the surface highs will come down to the timing of the daily convection potential. Best chances to reach 100° will probably be the usual NE NJ warm spots around Newark. Maybe even around LGA or other warm parts of Queens. How would this compare to August heat in our lifetimes? Excluding 1953 of course....I'm thinking of 1980, 1983, 1993, 1995, 2001, 2002.....those were the hotter ones. And how would this compare to 1953? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 11 hours ago, nycwinter said: very small chance of a shower my local mets on tv not the thunderstorm we got Yup. That screenshot was from the evening update when storms were already moving in. At noon it was still 30%. .50" last night for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Hit 80 for the high here yesterday, already up to 77/74 now, feels pretty nasty out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 0.60 in the bucket from yesterday's bookend storms in the AM / PM but did manage 91. Today clouds and storms don't appear to be an issue and highs should soar into the mid 90s / upper 90s in the warmer spot. The heat surges tomorrow (8/12) through Sat (8/14) as 850 MB temps rise to near 20 or >20c. Outside chance of 100 in the urban spots and maybe the park can match the 97 from later June. A front comes trough Sunday and then a very humid southerly flow ahead of the remnants of Fred. Beyond that more humid / warm southerly and onshore flow before the ridge builds back in later next week for the next surge of warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 it rained so knyc has no chance at 100. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Beginning to clear out but at a relatively slow pace, 80/74. Once the clouds clear we should be able to take off up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 quick jump to 85 here now that the clouds have cleared... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 15 hours ago, SRRTA22 said: Had the best shelf ive seen all year. One of the most intimidating non svr storm ive seen Was driving on the garden state parkway and seen it too. Had white knuckles from driving thru that storm. No wind, just torrential rain and one heck of a cloud to ground light show. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Sunny here, temp 85/ DP 72/RH 68% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 3 hours ago, FPizz said: Yup. That screenshot was from the evening update when storms were already moving in. At noon it was still 30%. .50" last night for my area. There still was a 30% chance of storms though as of noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 3 hours ago, lee59 said: My dew point is 73 and temperature 74. I guess that says it all. it says we need a weather modification device that sucks up water vapor and transport it to the west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: it rained so knyc has no chance at 100. lol they dont have competent tree trimmers either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 7 hours ago, LibertyBell said: it's called logic and is specifically mentioned in the IPCC report. The point is dumb selfish humans have been living unsustainably and that needs to change. do you eat and chit...then you're guilty... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 I know it's still a little early but temps seem to be under performing today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 15 minutes ago, weathermedic said: I know it's still a little early but temps seem to be under performing today? Yeah I’m currently at 91 national weather service has me at 94 I should be able to make up 3° in the next 4 to 5 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Newark just jumped up to 91° Making it to 30 days reaching 90° again. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 2010 54 0 2 1993 49 0 3 1988 43 0 4 2002 41 0 - 1991 41 0 5 2016 40 0 - 1983 40 0 - 1959 40 0 6 1994 39 0 - 1944 39 0 7 2005 37 0 - 1987 37 0 8 2018 36 0 - 1949 36 0 9 2015 35 0 10 1961 34 0 11 2012 33 0 - 1999 33 0 - 1995 33 0 - 1966 33 0 12 1955 32 0 - 1953 32 0 - 1943 32 0 13 2020 31 0 - 2011 31 0 - 1973 31 0 - 1952 31 0 14 2021 30 142 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 88 here. Will probably make it to 92 or 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: Newark just jumped up to 91° Making it to 30 days reaching 90° again. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 2010 54 0 2 1993 49 0 3 1988 43 0 4 2002 41 0 - 1991 41 0 5 2016 40 0 - 1983 40 0 - 1959 40 0 6 1994 39 0 - 1944 39 0 7 2005 37 0 - 1987 37 0 8 2018 36 0 - 1949 36 0 9 2015 35 0 10 1961 34 0 11 2012 33 0 - 1999 33 0 - 1995 33 0 - 1966 33 0 12 1955 32 0 - 1953 32 0 - 1943 32 0 13 2020 31 0 - 2011 31 0 - 1973 31 0 - 1952 31 0 14 2021 30 142 Some amazing years on that list! The only one of the 40+ group after 2010 is 2016. Shows how our truly hot summers have become endangered by all this humidity and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 90/77 currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Current temp 92/DP 78/RH 64% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 87/77 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Current temp here as of 3PM: 92/DP 72/RH 57% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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