lee59 Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 Been light rain most all afternoon here, total for the storm is .77 of an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Euro and GFS both agree that the usual warm spots could approach 100° this week. thats weird my house in the poconos at 2000 ft will be hotter than my house on long island. Isn't the water supposed to hot enough by now that the wind direction doesn't have a significant impact on hot temps? This looks much more like a late spring pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: It hasn’t been that bad. Yesterday was nice and last weekend was beautiful. Today sucks for sure. We don’t have many weekends in summer and to ruin a weekend day is brutal it's always the weekend though lol But hadn't we already had a very rainy July? why is the rain so needed now after nearly a foot of rain fell in July? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 14 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: 2009 was my favorite summer of all time, July was perfect at least in PA. I thought that was too rainy for you. I like dry and hot low humidity and blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 I had a couple of hundredths this morning, ground was dry by 9. There have been a couple of periods of very light drizzle that didn't even wet the ground. It has been just enough moisture to make it really muggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 The rain was light and showery here and it was interspersed with partial sunshine. Back to overcast so more rain may be coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: it's always the weekend though lol But hadn't we already had a very rainy July? why is the rain so needed now after nearly a foot of rain fell in July? We didn’t get that rain out here. We have had many nice weekends this summer. Do you follow the weather or just post and ask questions? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: We didn’t get that rain out here. We have had many nice weekends this summer. Do you follow the weather or just post and ask questions? Must be a Suffolk County thing, Nassau County has had plenty of rain, my pond has been overflowing and my mold allergies have been awful. I don't follow Suffolk County weather because I haven't been out there since 2019 and no media reports on Suffolk County rainfall totals. I just get the stuff for NYC and the surrounding airports. We've had rain here on 5 weekends (at least one day of the weekend at any rate) since the beginning of July. Dry went away here when June ended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: thats weird my house in the poconos at 2000 ft will be hotter than my house on long island. Isn't the water supposed to hot enough by now that the wind direction doesn't have a significant impact on hot temps? This looks much more like a late spring pattern. Even SW Nassau should reach 90° before any sea breezes arrive. You can see a deep SW flow from the 5 boroughs westward. Most spots on LI from Sunrise highway north should also reach 90°. Both the Euro and GFS have +20c 850s on Wed, Thurs, and Fri. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: Even SW Nassau should reach 90° before any sea breezes arrive. You can see a deep SW flow from the 5 boroughs westward. Most spots on LI from Sunrise highway north should also reach 90°. Both the Euro and GFS have +20c 850s on Wed, Thurs, and Fri. Thank goodness, so this is another case of the models thinking that the southern part of Long Island is in the ocean (probably wont happen for another 50 years or so lol.) We also see this in snowfall prediction algorithms. SW winds usually get us to 90 before the sea breeze kicks in from July to September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: Even SW Nassau should reach 90° before any sea breezes arrive. You can see a deep SW flow from the 5 boroughs westward. Most spots on LI from Sunrise highway north should also reach 90°. Both the Euro and GFS have +20c 850s on Wed, Thurs, and Fri. So JFK and surrounding area could hit 90 each of those 3 days, Chris? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 25 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: it's always the weekend though lol But hadn't we already had a very rainy July? why is the rain so needed now after nearly a foot of rain fell in July? Why weren’t you at your house in the Poconos this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Thank goodness, so this is another case of the models thinking that the southern part of Long Island is in the ocean (probably wont happen for another 50 years or so lol.) We also see this in snowfall prediction algorithms. SW winds usually get us to 90 before the sea breeze kicks in from July to September. Models lack the resolution to show those finer details. That’s why when they show upper 90s to near 100° in interior NJ those highs usually verify for EWR and LGA. The other thing is that the warmth on the first day of deep SW flow usually beats guidance. Then the heat on the next few days start from a higher launching point than forecast. Sometimes, more morning WSW flow verifies on Long Island before the sea breeze arrives. So areas near and north of the LIE can make a run in 95° before temperatures fall back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 13 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Why weren’t you at your house in the Poconos this weekend? Hey I have two gardens to take care of lol, so both need to get some love. I'm going to be there for the Perseids meteor shower peak though, I had an amazing experience seeing them last year from there, first time I've ever seen shooting stars change colors as they fell- I think being away from lights made the experience much better. Some even looked like they came really close to hitting the ground- must've been an optical illusion but it was still a lot of fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 12 minutes ago, bluewave said: Models lack the resolution to show those finer details. That’s why when they show upper 90s to near 100° in interior NJ those highs usually verify for EWR and LGA. The other thing is that the warmth on the first day of deep SW flow usually beats guidance. Then the heat on the next few days start from a higher launching point than forecast. Sometimes, more morning WSW flow verifies on Long Island before the sea breeze arrives. So areas near and north of the LIE can make a run in 95° before temperatures fall back. Yes, I've noticed this often. JFK actually has higher temps than the other airports even Newark for the first half of the day and only levels off or slowly falls after about 1 PM. Imagine if it was a westerly or even northwesterly flow all day, JFK would always have the highest temps in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Yes, I've noticed this often. JFK actually has higher temps than the other airports even Newark for the first half of the day and only levels off or slowly falls after about 1 PM. Imagine if it was a westerly or even northwesterly flow all day, JFK would always have the highest temps in the region. Imagine how many 90° days JFK would have if Jamaica Bay was as warm as Biscayne Bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 The nutty GFS in Central Park is 68-99, but for JFK it is only 70-82 during this period. God Bless the sea breeze, I suppose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 A much needed soaking rain for suffolk. Anyone have totals for middle island/miller place area? Recently moved and haven’t setup weather station yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 57 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: it's always the weekend though lol But hadn't we already had a very rainy July? why is the rain so needed now after nearly a foot of rain fell in July? We barely had any rain in July here in suffolk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, CIK62 said: The nutty GFS in Central Park is 68-98, but for JFK it is only 70-82 during this period. God Bless the sea breeze, I suppose. it messed this up last time too, which was earlier in the season when the waters were much cooler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: Imagine how many 90° days JFK would have if Jamaica Bay was as warm as Biscayne Bay. wow for a second I thought that was in Virginia! with this recent report about the changing ocean currents, how will this impact SST up our way, Chris? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, justinj said: A much needed soaking rain for suffolk. Anyone have totals for middle island/miller place area? Recently moved and haven’t setup weather station yet someone sent me a link to wunderground wundermap and I clicked on precip and it showed that about 1.5-1.8 inches fell across the western and central parts of Suffolk County. Less to the west and the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 misty chilly right now in the city does not feel like summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 15 minutes ago, justinj said: We barely had any rain in July here in suffolk July rainfall in Smithtown was 7.65". 6.93" fell July 1 - 15 0.72" fell July 16 - 31 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 22 minutes ago, justinj said: A much needed soaking rain for suffolk. Anyone have totals for middle island/miller place area? Recently moved and haven’t setup weather station yet I checked on the Davis site. Two stations in Miller Place. 1.28” and 1.42” are the totals so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 1.75" as of 6:05pm in North Smithtown. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 13 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: July rainfall in Smithtown was 7.65". 6.93" fell July 1 - 15 0.72" fell July 16 - 31 Interesting. Been so busy with the new house. We barley had any rain here in north middle island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 11 minutes ago, Tatamy said: I checked on the Davis site. Two stations in Miller Place. 1.28” and 1.42” are the totals so far. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 38 minutes ago, justinj said: A much needed soaking rain for suffolk. Anyone have totals for middle island/miller place area? Recently moved and haven’t setup weather station yet I move to Holbrook and you leave. Hmmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 8, 2021 Share Posted August 8, 2021 40 minutes ago, justinj said: A much needed soaking rain for suffolk. Anyone have totals for middle island/miller place area? Recently moved and haven’t setup weather station yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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