LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 13 Share Posted September 13 2 hours ago, Wannabehippie said: TS Ileana in the east pac. It would be incredible to see a hypothetical high end hurricane perfectly follow the contours of the gulf of California. Waters plenty warm and just wide enough if you could get that perfect track. Also you might get the tightening micro cave effect that often occurs in the southern bay of Campeche due to mountain interactions. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted September 15 Share Posted September 15 Yagi ended up causing horrible flooding in Myanmar. Hundreds of deaths were reported there, as well as in Vietnam. So far it’s the sixth-costliest typhoon on record, with $14 billion in damages, mostly in China. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 Bebinca just made landfall in Shanghai as a marginal 65-kt typhoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 16 Author Share Posted September 16 Yagi ended up causing horrible flooding in Myanmar. Hundreds of deaths were reported there, as well as in Vietnam. So far it’s the sixth-costliest typhoon on record, with $14 billion in damages, mostly in China. Bebinca just made landfall in Shanghai as a marginal 65-kt typhoon. Wrong thread, sir. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CurlyHeadBarrett Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 This looks a bit stronger than 35 knots. When are they sending recon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 This looks a bit stronger than 35 knots. When are they sending recon?Yeah, this might even reach hurricane intensity before land interaction. The strong convention looks aligned. Would be nice to have recon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 9PM CST update from the NHC with regards to TD 10-E 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 TS John may not be a TS for long. Obvious cyan ring centrally aligned within very deep convection. Clearly, the mid and low level vortex is stacked and this TC is taking off. This is going to be a hurricane prior to landfall, and unless shear gets in the way to disrupt the current structure, it may be a significant one. Plenty of time for rapid intensification to occur when it's slowly moving towards the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 @Windspeed no doubt, last night when I saw that convection pinwheeling I thought this one is something different. Now we have an eye about to pop. They need hurricane warnings for mexico. Major Otis vibes with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 4 hours ago, Normandy said: @Windspeed no doubt, last night when I saw that convection pinwheeling I thought this one is something different. Now we have an eye about to pop. They need hurricane warnings for mexico. Major Otis vibes with this Good call-they now have it as a major heading into MX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 We won't have recon until mid-day tomorrow. John will be very near the shoreline and most likely a major hurricane by then. Given the slow crawl inland into mountainous terrain, the flooding potential with this is out the roof.1. HURRICANE JOHNFLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77A. 24/1730ZB. AFXXX 0110E JOHNC. 24/1330ZD. 15.8N 97.8WE. 24/1700Z TO 24/2030ZF. SFC TO 10,000 FTG. FIXH. NO WRA ACTIVATION 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Frightening situation with John this evening. RI appears to have continued and the storm has popped a pinhole eye. What an amazing occurrence to have two rapidly intensifying hurricanes making landfall in mainland Mexico in back to back years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Going full on Otis. Needs to get inland right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Really high end RI. Honestly it’s impressive that both the EPAC and Gulf could see rapidly intensifying hurricanes just a few days apart. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 We have landfall. All the way up to landfall, the NHC never had John's forecast correct. It started as a TS tracking east, then transitioned to a cane moving northeast, then a major cane moving north. It ended up moving northwest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Is John’s windfield actually as small as it’s shown by the NHC? I can barely make out the hurricane-force winds here. I guess the system’s inner core does look somewhat small on satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 1 minute ago, gallopinggertie said: Is John’s windfield actually as small as it’s shown by the NHC? I can barely make out the hurricane-force winds here. The system doesn’t look like a microcane on satellite imagery to me. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 What a freaking specimen to hit mainland Mexico while rapidly intensifying. I just cannot believe this happened two years in a row, though John is nowhere near Otis’s historic strength Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: What a freaking specimen to hit mainland Mexico while rapidly intensifying. I just cannot believe this happened two years in a row, though John is nowhere near Otis’s historic strength Should be a bad hit for the town of Marquelia (population just 14,000) which it looks like John will travel directly over. Hopefully damage is somewhat mitigated by the fact that the town is a couple miles inland. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Landfall: 105 kts 959 mb 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Looks like a bad flooding situation for the coasts of Oaxaca and Guerrero. John has barely moved since it made landfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Any videos out from the coast showing any impacts yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted September 25 Share Posted September 25 While John has dissipated, the rain has not. Very bad situation unfolding in Oaxaca and Guerrero states, regardless if Zombie John re-emerges like the NHC says it has a 50% chance of doing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 25 Share Posted September 25 John redux: Hurricane watch and TS warnings back up with recon on the way. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 26 Share Posted September 26 John is back from the bed and now explicitly forecast to rapidly intensify into a cat 1 possibly 2 before a second Mexico landfall. This is insane 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 29 Author Share Posted September 29 Acapulco has had it rough since Major Hurricane Otis. Hurricane John's day after day of heavy rainfall has taken its toll.https://twitter.com/Jonatan93294410/status/1839850625141547192?t=4yGiZOUnFEqv5HXACVcFPA&s=19 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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